{"id":98331,"date":"2021-01-27T12:03:34","date_gmt":"2021-01-27T11:03:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=98331"},"modified":"2021-01-27T12:18:32","modified_gmt":"2021-01-27T11:18:32","slug":"une-timide-reprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/01\/27\/une-timide-reprise\/","title":{"rendered":"Une timide reprise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La reprise \u00e9conomique europ\u00e9enne se confirme, mais est rest\u00e9e timide au dernier trimestre 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Croissance.<\/strong>&nbsp;Les pr\u00e9visions de croissance de la zone euro pour 2021 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 revues \u00e0 la baisse par la BCE, qui pr\u00e9voit un niveau de croissance de 3,9&#160;% \u2014 contre 5&#160;% selon les pr\u00e9visions initiales.&nbsp; En France, le PIB ne devrait pas retrouver son niveau d\u2019avant crise avant 2022 (Banque de France).<\/li><li><strong>Climat \u00e9conomique.<\/strong>&nbsp;L\u2019indicateur de sentiment \u00e9conomique a connu une reprise constante apr\u00e8s sa chute li\u00e9e au premier confinement, mais conna\u00eet une stagnation depuis le mois de septembre \u2014 avec m\u00eame une l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse au mois de novembre avant un retour \u00e0 un niveau stable.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/goMZT\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Taux de ch\u00f4mage<\/strong>. De 6,5&#160;% avant la pand\u00e9mie, le taux de ch\u00f4mage moyen dans les pays de l\u2019Union a atteint un maximum de 7,8&#160;% en juillet, avant d\u2019entamer une l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse. En novembre, il s\u2019\u00e9levait \u00e0 7,5&#160;% (Eurostat).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/hG4t7\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Le tourisme toujours en difficult\u00e9<\/strong>. Apr\u00e8s la baisse d\u2019activit\u00e9 (approch\u00e9e par le nombre de nuit\u00e9es) de pr\u00e8s de 100&#160;% au mois d\u2019avril par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 a sign\u00e9 une am\u00e9lioration, avec une baisse d\u2019activit\u00e9 moins importante au mois d\u2019ao\u00fbt, de 30&#160;%. Mais en octobre, cette baisse d\u2019activit\u00e9 s\u2019est accentu\u00e9e, avec une baisse de 50&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-98331' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/01\/27\/une-timide-reprise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-98331' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/05\/09\/sauver-le-tourisme\/?mc_cid=be9fc6e5bc&amp;amp;mc_eid=9d9d57a1aa&quot;&gt;Ouvrir les fronti\u00e8res pour sauver le tourisme&amp;nbsp;&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, Le Grand Continent, 9 mai 2020'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Nota bene&nbsp;<\/strong>&#160;:&nbsp;Le vaccin est un enjeu autant sanitaire qu\u2019\u00e9conomique. Sa vitesse de d\u00e9ploiement et son efficacit\u00e9 guideront \u00e0 terme les choix de politique mon\u00e9taire et budg\u00e9taire&#160;: \u00ab&#160;La politique macro\u00e9conomique devrait distinguer entre deux phases de la crise&#160;: la phase &lsquo;post-confinement mais pr\u00e9-vaccin&rsquo; que nous traversons en ce moment, et la phase &lsquo;post-vaccin&rsquo;&#160;\u00bb, \u00e9crivait Olivier Blanchard.<\/em>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-98331' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/01\/27\/une-timide-reprise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-98331' title='BLANCHARD Olivier, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/09\/23\/la-crise-economique-du-covid-19\/?mc_cid=be9fc6e5bc&amp;amp;mc_eid=9d9d57a1aa&quot;&gt;La crise \u00e9conomique du Covid-19&lt;\/a&gt;, Le Grand Continent, 23 septembre 2020'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La reprise \u00e9conomique europ\u00e9enne se confirme, mais est rest\u00e9e timide au dernier trimestre 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":90239,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727,2210],"tags":[],"staff":[1780],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-98331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","category-sante-publique","staff-le-grand-continent","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Une timide reprise | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta 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