{"id":90164,"date":"2020-11-03T11:23:38","date_gmt":"2020-11-03T10:23:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=90164"},"modified":"2020-11-03T11:23:58","modified_gmt":"2020-11-03T10:23:58","slug":"futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/11\/03\/futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope\/","title":{"rendered":"Futur des \u00c9tats-Unis, futur de l\u2019Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Aujourd&rsquo;hui, les Am\u00e9ricains \u00e9liront leur nouveau pr\u00e9sident pour 4 ans, dans un scrutin lourd d\u2019enjeux pour l\u2019Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Biden en t\u00eate des sondages.<\/strong>&nbsp;Aucun sondage d\u2019un institut vraiment reconnu ne donne le pr\u00e9sident Trump gagnant mais la surprise de 2016 invite \u00e0 ne pas vendre la peau de l\u2019ours avant de l\u2019avoir tu\u00e9 du c\u00f4t\u00e9 des pro-d\u00e9mocrates.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/RP7w4\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Trump a chang\u00e9 la g\u00e9opolitique.<\/strong>\u00a0\u00ab&#160;La premi\u00e8re chose qu\u2019il faut reconna\u00eetre \u00e0 Trump est bien d\u2019avoir provoqu\u00e9 aux \u00c9tats-Unis le plus large d\u00e9bat sur les objectifs, les moyens et la finalit\u00e9 de la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re depuis des d\u00e9cennies \u2013 l\u00e0 o\u00f9 Obama, dont c\u2019\u00e9tait \u00e9galement l\u2019ambition, n\u2019y \u00e9tait pas parvenu.&#160;\u00bb<\/li><li><strong>Trump et la nouvelle guerre froide<\/strong>. \u00ab&#160;La comp\u00e9tition strat\u00e9gique et plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment la rivalit\u00e9 \u2018syst\u00e9mique\u2019 avec la Chine a remplac\u00e9 la lutte contre le terrorisme comme finalit\u00e9 premi\u00e8re de la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re&#160;; la page de l\u2019extension des d\u00e9mocraties de march\u00e9 est tourn\u00e9e.&#160;\u00bb<\/li><li><strong>Le recul du multilat\u00e9ralisme<\/strong>. \u00ab&#160;Trump a favoris\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9mergence d\u2019une nouvelle alliance entre non-interventionnistes et nationalistes, en marginalisant cette fois les internationalistes, identifi\u00e9s aux n\u00e9oconservateurs et donc aux \u00e9lites du parti en politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re.&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-90164' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/11\/03\/futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-90164' title='KANDEL Maya, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/10\/23\/la-doctrine-trump-1\/?mc_cid=14eb617322&amp;amp;mc_eid=9d9d57a1aa&quot;&gt;La doctrine Trump, &lt;\/a&gt;Le Grand Continent, 23 octobre 2020'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-large  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/YflHb\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Dans une nouvelle tribune qui sera publi\u00e9e mardi<\/strong>, nous r\u00e9pondrons \u00e0 cette question.<\/li><li><strong>Vers une inflexion.<\/strong>\u00a0Pour Anthony Gardner, ambassadeur des \u00c9tats-Unis aupr\u00e8s des \u00c9tats-Unis de 2014 \u00e0 2017, \u00ab&#160;<em>America First <\/em>a trop souvent signifi\u00e9 Am\u00e9rique seule. Or m\u00eame les \u00c9tats-Unis ne peuvent pas relever seuls une partie grandissante des d\u00e9fis r\u00e9gionaux et mondiaux les plus urgents.Ils ont besoin de leurs alli\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens, non seulement des \u00c9tats membres, mais aussi des institutions de l\u2019Union.&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-90164' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/11\/03\/futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-90164' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/09\/21\/latlantique-devient-un-ocean\/?mc_cid=14eb617322&amp;amp;mc_eid=9d9d57a1aa&quot;&gt;L\u2019Atlantique devient un oc\u00e9an, &lt;\/a&gt;Le Grand Continent, 21 septembre 2020'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li><li><strong>Biden voudrait<\/strong>\u00a0r\u00e9animer la relation entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l\u2019Union, notamment dans le cadre du \u00ab&#160;sommet mondial pour la d\u00e9mocratie&#160;\u00bb qu\u2019il souhaiterait organiser rapidement s\u2019il remportait l\u2019\u00e9lection.<\/li><li><strong>\u00c0 travers l\u2019OTAN&#160;?<\/strong>\u00a0Des sources proches du dossier nous indiquent que les \u00c9tats membres de l\u2019Europe centrale et orientale, de m\u00eame que le Royaume-Uni et de nombreux organismes am\u00e9ricains influents comme le German Marshall Fund sont en faveur d\u2019un sommet OTAN-Union. Les d\u00e9mocrates voudraient transformer l\u2019OTAN en une alliance diff\u00e9rente, autour de valeurs communes.<\/li><li><strong>Et la g\u00e9opolitique europ\u00e9enne&#160;?<\/strong>\u00a0Un tel renforcement de l\u2019OTAN, qui rassemble par ailleurs le Royaume-Uni, la Turquie et une Pologne qui appose souvent son veto, rendrait totalement impossible l\u2019affirmation d\u2019une\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lldl.us14.list-manage.com\/track\/click?u=10762824cc6c812ec1f389f08&amp;id=59b8a79cb6&amp;e=9d9d57a1aa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Commission g\u00e9opolitique<\/a>. Les pr\u00e9sidences allemande puis fran\u00e7aise du Conseil auront donc pour vocation de convaincre Biden, s\u2019il est \u00e9lu, de parler \u00e0 l\u2019Union comme \u00e0 un bloc en mesure de prendre en charge les instabilit\u00e9s r\u00e9gionales. Ce qui lui permettrait par ailleurs de se concentrer sur la Chine.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Nota bene&#160;:<\/strong>\u00a0L\u2019autre relation transatlantique. Alors que les liens qui unissent l&rsquo;Europe et l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique latine sont anciens, la coop\u00e9ration entre ces deux espaces n&rsquo;est pas aussi d\u00e9velopp\u00e9e qu&rsquo;elle le devrait. Le Haut Repr\u00e9sentant Josep Borrell lance dans nos colonnes un appel \u00e0 \u00e9lever les relations bilat\u00e9rales entre l&rsquo;Union europ\u00e9enne et les pays d&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique latine et des Cara\u00efbes.<\/em>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-90164' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/11\/03\/futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-90164' title='BORRELL Josep, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/10\/30\/lautre-relation-transatlantique-par-josep-borrell\/?mc_cid=14eb617322&amp;amp;mc_eid=9d9d57a1aa&quot;&gt;L\u2019autre relation transatlantique, par Josep Borrell&lt;\/a&gt;, Le Grand Continent, 30 octobre 2020'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd&rsquo;hui, les Am\u00e9ricains \u00e9liront leur nouveau pr\u00e9sident pour 4 ans, dans un scrutin lourd d\u2019enjeux pour l\u2019Europe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":90165,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-90164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","staff-le-grand-continent","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Futur des \u00c9tats-Unis, futur de l\u2019Europe | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/11\/03\/futur-des-etats-unis-futur-de-leurope\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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