{"id":72936,"date":"2020-05-17T20:39:14","date_gmt":"2020-05-17T18:39:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=72936"},"modified":"2020-05-17T21:18:21","modified_gmt":"2020-05-17T19:18:21","slug":"david-frost-vs-michel-barnier-un-chicken-game-au-denouement-incertain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/05\/17\/david-frost-vs-michel-barnier-un-chicken-game-au-denouement-incertain\/","title":{"rendered":"David Frost vs. Michel Barnier : un chicken game au d\u00e9nouement incertain"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Malgr\u00e9 un contexte atypique, les n\u00e9gociations du Brexit se poursuivent par \u00e9crans interpos\u00e9s. A l\u2019issue du troisi\u00e8me cycle de discussions relatives au Brexit, Michel Barnier a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 \u00ab des ouvertures modestes \u00bb, \u00ab aucun progr\u00e8s sur les sujets les plus difficiles \u00bb, \u00ab des positions divergentes \u00bb et \u00ab un manque d\u2019ambition du Royaume-Uni \u00bb <\/span>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. La critique est franche, le ton singuli\u00e8rement pessimiste, faisant ressurgir le spectre d\u2019un Brexit sans accord. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019impasse des n\u00e9gociations <\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Si les deux n\u00e9gociateurs en chef, David Frost du c\u00f4t\u00e9 britannique et Michel Barnier du c\u00f4t\u00e9 europ\u00e9en, d\u00e9plorent mutuellement un manque de progr\u00e8s dans les n\u00e9gociations du Brexit, chacun estime avoir fait sa part de concessions acceptables, \u00e9cartant un peu plus le sc\u00e9nario d\u2019un accord \u00e0 l\u2019amiable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le premier contentieux porte sur l\u2019\u00e9ventuelle extension de la p\u00e9riode de transition<\/strong>. En effet, depuis le 31 janvier 2019, le Royaume-Uni a officiellement quitt\u00e9 l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, ouvrant ainsi une p\u00e9riode de transition durant laquelle les r\u00e8gles de l\u2019UE continuent de s\u2019appliquer et o\u00f9 les n\u00e9gociations doivent permettre de d\u00e9boucher \u00e0 un accord d\u2019ici fin 2020 <\/span>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. N\u00e9anmoins, compte tenu de l\u2019impasse actuelle et de la crise sanitaire mondiale li\u00e9e au Covid-19, l\u2019UE pr\u00e9conise une extension de cette p\u00e9riode de transition d\u2019un an ou deux, extension que le Royaume-Uni refuse cat\u00e9goriquement <\/span>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> : les Britanniques souhaitent se tenir au calendrier actuel afin d\u2019abr\u00e9ger l\u2019incertitude \u00e9conomique et \u00e9viter de nouveaux versements au budget de l\u2019UE <\/span>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Choix contradictoire selon Michel Barnier qui d\u00e9plore l\u2019attitude ambivalente du Royaume-Uni \u00ab qui ne peut pas refuser de prolonger la transition et en m\u00eame temps, ralentir les discussions sur des domaines importants \u00bb <\/span>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En effet, si le calendrier est maintenu, les n\u00e9gociations-elles, stagnent. Divers points d’achoppement persistent notamment vis-\u00e0-vis du commerce o\u00f9 le Royaume-Uni contourne les discussions sur le \u00ab  level playing field<\/em> \u00bb (principe de r\u00e8gles de comp\u00e9tition \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e) qui doit permettre une concurrence loyale et ouverte garantie par des r\u00e8gles \u00e9quitables sur les enjeux principaux tels que les questions sociales, environnementales, fiscales ou de protection des consommateurs. La question de l\u2019acc\u00e8s des p\u00eacheurs europ\u00e9ens aux eaux britanniques a notamment donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 des discussions particuli\u00e8rement acrimonieuses. De fait, si l\u2019UE souhaite un accord complet, exhaustif et d\u00e9taill\u00e9, le Royaume-Uni lui, semble aspirer \u00e0 un simple accord de libre-\u00e9change similaire \u00e0 celui avec le Canada. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

\n \n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \"Les\r\n <\/picture>\r\n \n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n

Des strat\u00e9gies antagonistes pr\u00e9sageant un \u00ab no deal<\/strong> \u00bb<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Ce troisi\u00e8me round de n\u00e9gociations illustre une fois de plus la logique de dissociation <\/span>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> ou de passager clandestin du Royaume-Uni vis-\u00e0-vis du projet europ\u00e9en, qu\u2019il s\u2019y associe ou non. Ainsi, face \u00e0 un Royaume-Uni d\u00e9termin\u00e9 \u00e0 faire plier l\u2019Union avec une strat\u00e9gie du surplace <\/span>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, l\u2019UE, quant \u00e0 elle, maintient ses exigences et refuse de s\u2019abaisser \u00e0 un accord d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibr\u00e9, mais pour combien de temps ? En effet, la situation actuelle fait in\u00e9vitablement \u00e9cho au mod\u00e8le du \u00ab chicken game \u00bb de la th\u00e9orie des jeux <\/span>8<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, selon lequel deux rivaux s\u2019attaquent sur une trajectoire aboutissant in\u00e9vitablement \u00e0 une collision. Si l\u2019un c\u00e8de, l\u2019autre remporte le duel. Si aucun ne fl\u00e9chit, les deux font les frais de leur t\u00e9nacit\u00e9. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e9sormais engag\u00e9s dans un bras de fer contre-la-montre, l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne et le Royaume-Uni se retrouvent dans une situation inextricable. Une impasse qui fait resurgir la perspective d\u2019un no deal<\/em>, et de ses cons\u00e9quences sur le commerce et la croissance \u00e9conomique d\u00e9j\u00e0 mise \u00e0 mal des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de la Manche par la crise sanitaire actuelle. Face \u00e0 cette \u00e9ventualit\u00e9, Michel Barnier se dit \u00ab d\u00e9termin\u00e9 \u00bb mais \u00ab pessimiste \u00bb, il exhorte le Royaume-Uni \u00e0 \u00ab \u00eatre plus r\u00e9aliste \u00bb et \u00e0 \u00ab changer de strat\u00e9gie \u00bb <\/span>9<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> afin de faire avancer les discussions, dont la prochaine \u00e9tape est pr\u00e9vue pour le 1er juin. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Malgr\u00e9 un contexte atypique, les n\u00e9gociations du Brexit se poursuivent par \u00e9crans interpos\u00e9s. A l\u2019issue du troisi\u00e8me cycle de discussions relatives au Brexit, Michel Barnier a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 \u00ab  des ouvertures modestes  \u00bb, \u00ab  aucun progr\u00e8s sur les sujets les plus difficiles  \u00bb, \u00ab  des positions divergentes  \u00bb et \u00ab  un manque d\u2019ambition du Royaume-Uni  \u00bb. La critique est franche, le ton singuli\u00e8rement pessimiste, faisant ressurgir le spectre d\u2019un Brexit sans accord. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":58367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"staff":[2335],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[534,547],"class_list":["post-72936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","staff-lucille-fradin","geo-bulles","geo-nordiques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"\nDavid Frost vs. Michel Barnier : un chicken game au d\u00e9nouement incertain | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/05\/17\/david-frost-vs-michel-barnier-un-chicken-game-au-denouement-incertain\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"David Frost vs. Michel Barnier : un chicken game au d\u00e9nouement incertain | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Malgr\u00e9 un contexte atypique, les n\u00e9gociations du Brexit se poursuivent par \u00e9crans interpos\u00e9s. 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