{"id":56199,"date":"2020-01-08T11:21:39","date_gmt":"2020-01-08T10:21:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=56199"},"modified":"2020-01-08T13:46:45","modified_gmt":"2020-01-08T12:46:45","slug":"quelle-europe-en-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/01\/08\/quelle-europe-en-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Quelle Europe en 2020 ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bruxelles.<\/em> Qu’attendre de l’Europe en 2020 ? Alors que l’Union entre dans un nouveau cycle politique, nous proposons quelques pr\u00e9dictions. Le nouveau leadership politique de l’UE a fait des promesses excessives en g\u00e9n\u00e9rant des attentes d\u00e9mesur\u00e9es qui pourraient s’av\u00e9rer trop difficiles \u00e0 g\u00e9rer, notamment sur les questions suivantes :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. D\u00e9fendre les int\u00e9r\u00eats de l’UE contre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la Chine\u00a0<\/li>
  2. Prendre l’initiative en mati\u00e8re de changement climatique\u00a0<\/li>
  3. S’attaquer aux d\u00e9mocraties rebelles et illib\u00e9rales de l’UE\u00a0<\/li>
  4. Apprivoiser les grandes soci\u00e9t\u00e9s technologiques\u00a0<\/li>
  5. Terminer avec succ\u00e8s le Brexit<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n
    1. L’assassinat de Suleimani <\/strong>met d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 l’\u00e9preuve la premi\u00e8re Commission  \u00bb g\u00e9opolitique  \u00bb autoproclam\u00e9e, qui a perdu en quelques heures le principal h\u00e9ritage de politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re de Jean-Claude Juncker et de l’ancienne HRVP, Federica Mogherini : l’accord nucl\u00e9aire JCPOA. Maintenant, l’UE ne sera plus qu\u2019un spectateur de la situation en Iran.<\/li>
    2. L’UE a surestim\u00e9 son nouveau Green Deal,<\/strong> avec la cons\u00e9quence involontaire de soumettre son acceptation \u00e0 la forte demande de la Pologne et \u00e0 d’autres m\u00e9contentements verts dans d’autres domaines politiques litigieux, comme le nouveau budget pluriannuel et les questions \u201cligne rouge\u201d telles que l’\u00c9tat de droit. Nous devrions nous attendre \u00e0 une route cahoteuse vers la mise en \u0153uvre du Green Deal, dont la formule politique reste \u00e0 d\u00e9finir entre les diff\u00e9rentes groupes politiques europ\u00e9ens, notamment ceux des populaires, socialistes, lib\u00e9raux et verts.<\/li>
    3. En ce qui concerne l’\u00c9tat de droit<\/strong>, la Commission von der Leyen se trouve dans une position de faiblesse par rapport aux m\u00eames dirigeants politiques qu’elle devrait tenir pour responsables : les partis au pouvoir en Hongrie et en Pologne ont tous deux jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le d\u00e9terminant dans le choix et approbation de Mme von der Leyen en tant que pr\u00e9sidente de la Commission europ\u00e9enne. Ses nouveaux commissaires se sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9s trop timides et prudents en ce qui concerne le contr\u00f4le du respect de l’\u00c9tat de droit, qui s’annonce comme une ligne de bataille majeure. <\/li>
    4. Pour ce qui est des GAFA,<\/strong> l’UE est destin\u00e9e \u00e0 consolider son r\u00f4le de leader global des r\u00e9gulateurs tandis que la Chine et les \u00c9tats-Unis renforcent leur domination sur le march\u00e9 de l’intelligence artificielles et autres d\u00e9veloppements technologiques y compris les r\u00e9seaux sociaux comme instruments de surveillance permanente Cependant, un autre r\u00e9gime r\u00e9glementaire ne suffira pas \u00e0 donner \u00e0 l’UE la \u00ab souverainet\u00e9 num\u00e9rique \u00bb \u00e0 laquelle elle aspire. <\/li>
    5. L’ann\u00e9e 2020 verra une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration du processus du Brexit<\/strong> par la mise en \u0153uvre difficile d’un accord de retrait sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent et la ren\u00e9gociation contest\u00e9e de la future relation entre le Royaume-Uni et l’UE. Attendez-vous \u00e0 ce que l’UE-27 ne parle plus d’une seule voix et soit plus expos\u00e9e que jamais \u00e0 la demande du Royaume-Uni.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      Dans ce contexte, la Conf\u00e9rence imminente sur le futur de l’Europe va encore accro\u00eetre les attentes, en particulier vis-\u00e0-vis des citoyens de l’UE, mais elle se r\u00e9v\u00e9lera finalement incapable de tenir ses promesses. Il y a un risque \u00e9lev\u00e9 qu’elle devienne une exp\u00e9rience top-down masqu\u00e9e par un moment participatif align\u00e9 sur le Zeitgeist.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Pour r\u00e9sumer : alors que l’europ\u00e9anisation de nos soci\u00e9t\u00e9s et de nos \u00e9conomies se poursuivra, les syst\u00e8mes politiques nationaux continueront \u00e0 pr\u00e9tendre \u00eatre sur le si\u00e8ge conducteur de notre avenir commun, mais r\u00e9v\u00e9leront au contraire leur inad\u00e9quation inh\u00e9rente aux d\u00e9fis actuels. L’Europe a besoin de sa propre politique afin que nos gouvernants commencent \u00e0 penser \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle pertinente !<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Qu’attendre de l’Europe en 2020  ? Alors que l’Union entre dans un nouveau cycle politique, nous proposons cinq pr\u00e9dictions. Le nouveau leadership politique de l’UE a fait des promesses excessives en g\u00e9n\u00e9rant des attentes d\u00e9mesur\u00e9es qui pourraient s’av\u00e9rer trop difficiles \u00e0 g\u00e9rer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":12798,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"staff":[1581],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[534],"class_list":["post-56199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","staff-alberto-alemanno","geo-bulles"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"\nQuelle Europe en 2020 ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"%\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2020\/01\/08\/quelle-europe-en-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quelle Europe en 2020 ? 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