{"id":49944,"date":"2019-10-21T12:48:34","date_gmt":"2019-10-21T10:48:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=49944"},"modified":"2019-10-21T12:48:55","modified_gmt":"2019-10-21T10:48:55","slug":"notre-pari-pas-de-majorite-au-canada-ce-soir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/10\/21\/notre-pari-pas-de-majorite-au-canada-ce-soir\/","title":{"rendered":"Notre pari&#160;: pas de majorit\u00e9 au Canada ce soir"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Ce texte a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 originellement dans l\u2019\u00e9dition 79 de La Lettre du Lundi, la newsletter op\u00e9rationnelle hebdomadaire du Grand Continent. Vous pouvez retrouver l\u2019\u00e9dition compl\u00e8te <a href=\"https:\/\/mailchi.mp\/be1c335bf12b\/la-catalogne-senflamme-analyse-du-vote-suisse-daesh-les-kurdes-et-nous-la-bolivie-de-morales-la-commission-aura-un-mois-de-retard\">ici<\/a>. Abonnez-vous par <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/gegeurope.us14.list-manage.com\/subscribe\/post?u=10762824cc6c812ec1f389f08&amp;id=54c71b157b\"><em>ici.<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ottawa.<\/em> Aujourd\u2019hui, le Canada vote pour \u00e9lire ses 338 d\u00e9put\u00e9s de la Chambre des communes. Le Parti Lib\u00e9ral du Canada (PLC) du Premier ministre Trudeau devrait conna\u00eetre une importante d\u00e9convenue (183 d\u00e9put\u00e9s en 2015). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\"\n    data-shadow=\"false\"\n    data-use-original-file=\"false\">\n    <a\n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1.png\"\n        class=\"inline-block gallery-item no-underline \"\n        data-pswp-width=\"1378\"\n        data-pswp-height=\"500\">\n                                        <picture>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-330x120.png\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-690x250.png\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-990x359.png\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-690x250.png\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-990x359.png\"\r\n                media=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/unnamed-1-125x45.png\" \/>\r\n        <\/picture>\r\n                            \n            <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<p><strong>Attention aux projections<\/strong>. Le syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectoral canadien est complexe et notre sondage ci-dessus est \u00e0 prendre avec des pincettes. En mati\u00e8re de suffrages estim\u00e9s (et non de si\u00e8ges), le Parti conservateur (PCC) domine l\u00e9g\u00e8rement le Parti Lib\u00e9ral dans les sondages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Aucun parti ne devrait \u00eatre majoritaire<\/strong>. personne ne semble \u00e0 m\u00eame d\u2019atteindre les 170 si\u00e8ges n\u00e9cessaires et il faudra une importante coalition pour gouverner. Trudeau a refus\u00e9 de parler alliances.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Une mauvaise campagne pour les deux gagnants potentiels<\/strong>. De l\u2019avis Y. Malo de Radio-Canada, cit\u00e9 par\u00a0TV5 Monde, \u201cTrudeau avait un bilan \u00e0 d\u00e9fendre et il l\u2019a d\u00e9fendu, tr\u00e8s maladroitement, il manquait de conviction\u201d&#160;; Andrew Scheer (PCC) \u201cn\u2019est pas un grand communicant, il ne suscitait aucune engouement\u201d.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-49944' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/10\/21\/notre-pari-pas-de-majorite-au-canada-ce-soir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-49944' title='FRAN\u00c7OIS Catherine,&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/information.tv5monde.com\/info\/fin-de-campagne-electorale-au-canada-rien-n-est-joue-327406?utm_source=LLDL+-+Fran%C3%A7ais&amp;amp;utm_campaign=0bd72ee53d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_10_20_03_50&amp;amp;utm_medium=email&amp;amp;utm_term=0_8dff9a737a-0bd72ee53d-123122823&amp;amp;mc_cid=0bd72ee53d&amp;amp;mc_eid=f9b412825a&quot;&gt; Fin de campagne \u00e9lectorale au Canada&amp;#160;: rien n&amp;rsquo;est jou\u00e9&lt;\/a&gt;, TV5 Monde, 18 octobre 2019'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Malgr\u00e9 des th\u00e8mes sujets \u00e0 controverse<\/strong>, la\u00efcit\u00e9 (le d\u00e9bat sur le voile existe aussi outre-Atlantique) et climat (th\u00e9matique phare de Trudeau, pourtant critiqu\u00e9 pour son achat de l\u2019ol\u00e9oduc Trans Mountain) en priorit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Le local est crucial<\/strong>. Par exemple, la presse a beaucoup mis en avant, dans le d\u00e9bat national, les sujets qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois (troisi\u00e8me lien et projets de transports dans la r\u00e9gion) ou les \u00eeles Madeleine (p\u00eache et p\u00e9nurie de main-d\u2019\u0153uvre).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><strong>Perspectives&#160;:<\/strong><\/em><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>L\u2019une des principales pr\u00e9occupations de l\u2019Union au sujet du Canada est le r\u00f4le du pays dans la gouvernance de la r\u00e9gion arctique.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-49944' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/10\/21\/notre-pari-pas-de-majorite-au-canada-ce-soir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-49944' title='VERRIER Nicolas, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/10\/05\/lunion-europeenne-en-arctique-vers-un-aboutissement-du-projet\/?utm_source=LLDL+-+Fran%C3%A7ais&amp;amp;utm_campaign=0bd72ee53d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_10_20_03_50&amp;amp;utm_medium=email&amp;amp;utm_term=0_8dff9a737a-0bd72ee53d-123122823&amp;amp;mc_cid=0bd72ee53d&amp;amp;mc_eid=f9b412825a&quot;&gt;L\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne en Arctique&amp;#160;: vers un aboutissement du projet&lt;\/a&gt;, Le Grand Continent, 5 octobre 2019'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, le Canada vote pour \u00e9lire ses 338 d\u00e9put\u00e9s de la Chambre des communes. Le Parti Lib\u00e9ral du Canada (PLC) du Premier ministre Trudeau devrait conna\u00eetre une importante d\u00e9convenue.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"staff":[1780],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-49944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","staff-le-grand-continent","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Notre pari : pas de majorit\u00e9 au Canada ce soir | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/10\/21\/notre-pari-pas-de-majorite-au-canada-ce-soir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Notre pari : pas de majorit\u00e9 au Canada ce soir | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Aujourd\u2019hui, le Canada vote pour \u00e9lire ses 338 d\u00e9put\u00e9s de la Chambre des communes. 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