{"id":370121,"date":"2026-11-13T13:26:46","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T12:26:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=370121"},"modified":"2026-11-13T13:27:02","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T12:27:02","slug":"la-crise-petroliere-est-elle-terminee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crise-petroliere-est-elle-terminee\/","title":{"rendered":"La crise p\u00e9troli\u00e8re est-elle termin\u00e9e&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les stocks de p\u00e9trole ont augment\u00e9 de 52 millions de barils en octobre, soit 1,7 million de barils par jour en moyenne, tir\u00e9s vers le haut par le p\u00e9trole en mer. Dans son rapport mensuel sur le march\u00e9 p\u00e9trolier publi\u00e9 vendredi 13 novembre, l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie estime que l\u2019offre mondiale d\u00e9passe d\u00e9sormais la demande \u2013 pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis le lancement de la guerre contre l\u2019Iran, le 28 f\u00e9vrier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-370121' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crise-petroliere-est-elle-terminee\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-370121' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-november-2026&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report &amp;#8211; November 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, 13 novembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les flux de p\u00e9trole du Golfe persique montrent une dynamique positive depuis la fin de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon Kpler, les exportations en provenance du Moyen-Orient ont bri\u00e8vement <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/21\/les-flux-de-petrole-du-golfe-persique-ont-depasse-leur-niveau-pre-guerre\/\">d\u00e9pass\u00e9<\/a> leur niveau d\u2019avant-guerre \u00e0 la mi-octobre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sur l\u2019ensemble du mois d\u2019octobre, l\u2019AIE estime toutefois que les exportations du Golfe, hors Oman, restent inf\u00e9rieures de 26&#160;% \u00e0 leur niveau d\u2019avant-guerre, \u00e0 18,4 millions de barils par jour.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Signe tangible du retour du p\u00e9trole du Golfe sur les march\u00e9s, l\u2019Inde en importe d\u00e9sormais plus que de p\u00e9trole russe, pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis f\u00e9vrier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-370121' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crise-petroliere-est-elle-terminee\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-370121' title='Rakesh Sharma, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-11-12\/india-gulf-oil-imports-surpass-russia-for-first-time-in-iran-war&quot;&gt;India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 novembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/eBYaj\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019am\u00e9lioration des perspectives du march\u00e9 p\u00e9trolier tient \u00e0 une hausse des exportations des principaux producteurs, malgr\u00e9 les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/15\/liran-multiplie-les-attaques-dans-le-detroit-dormuz\/\">attaques<\/a> contre les p\u00e9troliers et les infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques, mais aussi \u00e0 la faiblesse de la demande&#160;: une baisse de 2,7 millions de barils par jour est attendue sur l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026, avant une reprise partielle en 2027 avec une hausse de la demande de 2 millions de barils par jour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les prix du p\u00e9trole brut ont significativement baiss\u00e9 depuis d\u00e9but octobre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le prix du Brent dat\u00e9, r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du brut physique de la mer du Nord, a ainsi chut\u00e9 de 32&#160;% entre son pic du 8 octobre (136 dollars le baril) et la mi-novembre (93 dollars), selon l\u2019AIE, tandis que le WTI a recul\u00e9 d\u2019environ 20&#160;% depuis son pic du 19 octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/bNSkk\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ces baisses prendront toutefois du temps \u00e0 se r\u00e9percuter sur le prix pay\u00e9 \u00e0 la pompe pour les consommateurs, les agriculteurs et les entreprises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis d\u00e9but octobre, le prix du gazole \u00e0 la pompe n\u2019a baiss\u00e9 que de 2&#160;% en moyenne dans l\u2019Union, et reste 32&#160;% au-dessus de son niveau d\u2019avant-guerre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le brut constituant la majeure partie du p\u00e9trole suppl\u00e9mentaire arriv\u00e9 sur les march\u00e9s ces derni\u00e8res semaines, le prix des produits raffin\u00e9s \u2013 en particulier le gazole et le k\u00e9ros\u00e8ne \u2013 devrait rester \u00e9lev\u00e9, notamment en raison de la perte de capacit\u00e9s de raffinage dans le Golfe et en Russie, qui a fait bondir les prix.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sans accord entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l\u2019Iran pour mettre fin \u00e0 la guerre, toute reprise des frappes serait susceptible de provoquer une nouvelle flamb\u00e9e des cours.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis f\u00e9vrier, l\u2019offre de p\u00e9trole d\u00e9passe la demande<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":370118,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-370121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-monde"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":370118,"excerpt":"Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis f\u00e9vrier, l\u2019offre de p\u00e9trole d\u00e9passe la demande","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La crise 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