{"id":368915,"date":"2026-11-06T19:00:02","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T18:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=368915"},"modified":"2026-11-06T19:00:09","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T18:00:09","slug":"face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/","title":{"rendered":"Face aux frappes russes incessantes, la capitale ukrainienne peut-elle tenir&#160;?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La situation dans les grandes villes ukrainiennes s\u2019est consid\u00e9rablement d\u00e9t\u00e9rior\u00e9e ces derni\u00e8res semaines, notamment \u00e0 Kiev, alors que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe acc\u00e9l\u00e8re sa <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/09\/a-lapproche-de-lhiver-poutine-accelere-sa-guerre-contre-les-infrastructures-energetiques-ukrainiennes\/\">campagne<\/a> de frappes sur les r\u00e9seaux de production et de distribution d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. Les centrales de production, lignes \u00e0 haute tension et sous-stations sont prises pour cible de mani\u00e8re syst\u00e9matique&#160;: 238 frappes ayant touch\u00e9 des infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 recens\u00e9es en octobre, selon ACLED.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un record depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle, en f\u00e9vrier 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les centrales thermiques de Kiev ne produisent plus d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, et la capitale d\u00e9pend en majorit\u00e9 de trois centrales nucl\u00e9aires situ\u00e9es \u00e0 environ 300 kilom\u00e8tres.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les longues distances parcourues par les lignes \u00e0 haute tension pour transporter le courant depuis l\u2019ouest et le sud du pays vers la capitale rendent la ville tr\u00e8s vuln\u00e9rable aux attaques, notamment car la port\u00e9e des drones russes d\u00e9passe aujourd\u2019hui les 1 000 kilom\u00e8tres.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les autorit\u00e9s de Kiev ont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 un r\u00e9seau de petites centrales \u00e0 gaz qui permettent d\u2019assurer le fonctionnement de services essentiels \u2013 h\u00f4pitaux, une partie des stations de pompage d\u2019eau, etc. \u2013, mais celles-ci ne couvrent qu\u2019une fraction des besoins de la ville.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container iframe-dynamic wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"w-full\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/iframes\/kiev-centrales.html\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Volodymyr Zelensky a d\u00e9crit vendredi 6 novembre la situation \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique \u00e0 Kiev comme \u00ab&#160;la pire&#160;\u00bb du pays, \u00e9voquant des d\u00e9fis \u00ab&#160;tr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieux&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-368915' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-368915' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/V_Zelenskiy_official\/21696&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram de Volodymyr Zelensky&lt;\/a&gt;, 6 novembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. En plus des coupures d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, des frappes russes ont priv\u00e9 mardi 3 novembre l\u2019ensemble de la capitale d\u2019eau pendant plus de 24 heures, selon les autorit\u00e9s municipales&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-368915' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-368915' title='Dominic Culverwell, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russian-strikes-cause-kyivs-worst-water-outage-of-full-scale-war\/&quot;&gt;Russian strikes cause Kyiv\u2019s worst water outage of full-scale war&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Kyiv Independent&lt;\/em&gt;, 4 novembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La situation pourrait davantage se d\u00e9grader \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 l\u2019asym\u00e9trie entre les capacit\u00e9s offensives russes et d\u00e9fensives ukrainiennes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La Russie serait en mesure de tirer entre 130 et 190 projectiles balistiques par mois cet hiver. Ces vecteurs sont trop rapides pour \u00eatre intercept\u00e9s par des drones ou d\u2019autres moyens <em>low cost<\/em>, et n\u00e9cessitent des intercepteurs&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-368915' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-368915' title='Fabian Hoffmann et Anastasiia Lapatina, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/missilematters.substack.com\/p\/an-important-message-the-coming-winter&quot;&gt;An Important Message&amp;#160;: The Coming Winter in Ukraine&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Missile Matters \u2013 with Fabian Hoffmann&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er novembre 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or, l\u2019Ukraine ne re\u00e7oit en moyenne que 12 missiles intercepteurs Patriot livr\u00e9s par les \u00c9tats-Unis chaque mois, soit moins de 5&#160;% du nombre n\u00e9cessaire. Les intercepteurs europ\u00e9ens, comme les missiles Aster du syst\u00e8me SAMP\/T, ne compensent qu\u2019\u00e0 la marge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En octobre, l\u2019Ukraine n\u2019a abattu que 11 des 150 missiles balistiques tir\u00e9s par la Russie \u2013 soit environ 7&#160;%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mOE5m\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019hiver 2026-2027 sera vraisemblablement le plus difficile pour les Ukrainiens depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle. La strat\u00e9gie russe vise \u00e0 rendre la capitale du pays inhabitable, en ciblant les infrastructures qui assurent le chauffage, l\u2019\u00e9clairage ou l\u2019approvisionnement en eau, afin de faire pression sur la population et d\u2019user son moral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La Banque nationale d\u2019Ukraine estime que l\u2019intensification des bombardements russes sur les infrastructures du pays amputera la croissance ukrainienne de pr\u00e8s de 2 points en 2026&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-368915' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-368915' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/bank.gov.ua\/ua\/news\/all\/natsionalniy-bank-ukrayini-pidvischiv-oblikovu-stavku-do-165&quot;&gt;\u041d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0431\u0430\u043d\u043a \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0432\u0438\u0449\u0438\u0432 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0456\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0443 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0443 \u0434\u043e 16,5&amp;#160;%&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque nationale d&amp;rsquo;Ukraine, 29 octobre 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le PIB r\u00e9el devrait se contracter de 0,4&#160;% cette ann\u00e9e, pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 2022. Il avait enregistr\u00e9 une hausse de 1,8&#160;% en 2025, 3,2&#160;% en 2024 et 5,5&#160;% en 2023.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les frappes russes menacent l\u2019approvisionnement de Kiev en \u00e9nergie<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":368927,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-368915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":368927,"excerpt":"Les frappes russes menacent l\u2019approvisionnement de Kiev en \u00e9nergie","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Face aux frappes russes, la capitale ukrainienne peut-elle tenir ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/06\/face-aux-frappes-russes-incessantes-la-capitale-ukrainienne-peut-elle-tenir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Face aux frappes russes, la capitale ukrainienne peut-elle tenir ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les frappes russes menacent l\u2019approvisionnement de Kiev en \u00e9nergie\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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