{"id":368733,"date":"2026-11-05T15:37:20","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T14:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=368733"},"modified":"2026-11-05T15:37:26","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T14:37:26","slug":"iran-israel-russie-apres-la-defaite-lors-des-midterms-vers-un-changement-de-cap-de-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-russie-apres-la-defaite-lors-des-midterms-vers-un-changement-de-cap-de-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran, Isra\u00ebl, Russie&#160;: apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9faite lors des midterms, vers un changement de cap de Trump&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les r\u00e9publicains ont subi une lourde <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/04\/5-points-sur-les-resultats-des-elections-de-mi-mandat\/\">d\u00e9faite<\/a> aux \u00e9lections de mi-mandat, perdant le contr\u00f4le des deux chambres du Congr\u00e8s et, si les tendances se confirment, la majorit\u00e9 des chambres l\u00e9gislatives des \u00c9tats, apr\u00e8s 16 ann\u00e9es de domination. Les d\u00e9mocrates sont \u00e9galement sur le point de gouverner des \u00c9tats qui concentrent 75&#160;% de la population du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le vice-pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain, qui se positionne en vue d\u2019une candidature en 2028, attribue la d\u00e9faite \u00e0 quatre facteurs&#160;: le co\u00fbt de la vie, la guerre en Iran, l\u2019abandon du mantra \u00ab&#160;<em>America First<\/em>&#160;\u00bb et la relation avec Isra\u00ebl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was &quot;composition&quot;\u2014whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story&#160;: in some states turnout was\u2026<\/p>&mdash; JD Vance (@JDVance) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JDVance\/status\/2118004988433641835?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans les heures qui ont suivi le message de Vance, le prix du Brent a connu une baisse de plus de 7&#160;%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/fCnMU\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Si Trump ne semble pas avoir pris de d\u00e9cision quant \u00e0 une fin de la guerre en Iran, dont la prolongation pourrait encore nuire aux chances des r\u00e9publicains en 2028, des signaux sugg\u00e8rent que les lignes pourraient commencer \u00e0 bouger sur plusieurs sujets clefs, notamment en mati\u00e8re de politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le jour du scrutin, mardi 3, Trump avait annonc\u00e9 mettre fin \u00e0 une aide de 3,8 milliards de dollars par an que l\u2019\u00c9tat d\u2019Isra\u00ebl devait recevoir jusqu\u2019en 2028.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La politique de l\u2019administration de soutien au gouvernement de Netanyahou a \u00e9t\u00e9 un argument de campagne de plusieurs candidats d\u00e9mocrates, notamment du s\u00e9nateur \u00e9lu du Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Vance n\u2019est pas le seul \u00e0 avoir attribu\u00e9 la d\u00e9faite \u00e0 la guerre en Iran et \u00e0 la politique de l\u2019administration vis-\u00e0-vis d\u2019Isra\u00ebl&#160;: Donald Trump Jr., le fils a\u00een\u00e9 du pr\u00e9sident, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 sur X approuver chaque mot du message du vice-pr\u00e9sident.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les prises de distance de figures clefs de l\u2019entourage de Trump pourraient peser sur la d\u00e9cision de relancer ou non des op\u00e9rations offensives contre l\u2019Iran, comme le r\u00e9clame Netanyahou et comme l\u2019administration l\u2019envisageait avant les <em>midterms<\/em>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine m\u00e8ne depuis plusieurs semaines des frappes limit\u00e9es contre l\u2019Iran, sans les rendre publiques et en \u00e9vitant de faire des victimes, afin de ne pas attirer l\u2019attention avant les \u00e9lections du 3 novembre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-368733' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-russie-apres-la-defaite-lors-des-midterms-vers-un-changement-de-cap-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-368733' title='Natalie Andrews, Alexander Ward, Lara Seligman et Robbie Gramer, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/policy\/vances-break-with-trump-on-iran-follows-weeks-of-handwringing-over-war-6b43c90c&quot;&gt;Vance\u2019s Break With Trump on Iran Follows Weeks of Handwringing Over War&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 4 novembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Republicans were destroyed because Trump took us to war in Iran for Israel.<br><br>A near-extinction level defeat was the only appropriate outcome and proportionate to the depth of the betrayal.<br><br>Anything less would not have humbled the \u201cPlan Trusters\u201d or set a strong enough precedent.<\/p>&mdash; Nicholas J. Fuentes (@NickJFuentes) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/NickJFuentes\/status\/2118064257497522608?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>La guerre en Ukraine et la politique de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/18\/ladministration-trump-veut-normaliser-ses-relations-avec-la-russie-de-poutine\/\">\u00ab&#160;normalisation&#160;\u00bb<\/a> des relations avec Moscou ont occup\u00e9 une place moins importante dans les semaines qui ont pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9 le scrutin. Signe des r\u00e9ticences que suscite ce rapprochement, deux des trois cargaisons de diesel russe \u00e0 destination des \u00c9tats-Unis ont modifi\u00e9 leurs itin\u00e9raires, en l\u2019absence apparente d\u2019acheteurs am\u00e9ricains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019accord pass\u00e9 le 9 octobre entre Trump et Poutine pour acheter du carburant russe \u2013 dont les livraisons seraient les premi\u00e8res autoris\u00e9es depuis l\u2019embargo am\u00e9ricain de 2022 \u2013 afin de faire baisser les prix aux \u00c9tats-Unis avait \u00e9t\u00e9 vivement critiqu\u00e9 par les d\u00e9mocrates et plusieurs r\u00e9publicains&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-368733' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-russie-apres-la-defaite-lors-des-midterms-vers-un-changement-de-cap-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-368733' title='Jamie Smyth et Alice Hancock, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/f66ebf48-6d09-4a91-9af5-8bf7adca65ba?syn-25a6b1a6=1&quot;&gt;Trump diesel deal with Russia falters as US fuel supplies hit 20-year low&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 4 novembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La gouverneure d\u00e9mocrate du New Jersey, Mikie Sherrill, avait averti les exploitants de ports de son \u00c9tat qu\u2019ils s\u2019exposeraient \u00e0 de lourdes sanctions s\u2019ils ne refusaient pas les p\u00e9troliers transportant du diesel russe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019envoy\u00e9 de Poutine, Kirill Dmitriev, doit toutefois participer aujourd\u2019hui, jeudi 5, \u00e0 un \u00e9v\u00e9nement organis\u00e9 par Melania Trump \u00e0 la Maison-Blanche et rencontrer plusieurs membres de l\u2019administration.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le Kremlin a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 esp\u00e9rer que Trump poursuivrait ses efforts de paix malgr\u00e9 la d\u00e9faite du Parti r\u00e9publicain&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-368733' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-russie-apres-la-defaite-lors-des-midterms-vers-un-changement-de-cap-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-368733' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/russias-dmitriev-washington-first-us-contact-since-trumps-midterm-setback-2026-11-05\/&quot;&gt;Russia&amp;rsquo;s Dmitriev in Washington for first US contact since Trump&amp;rsquo;s midterm setback&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 5 novembre 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plusieurs signaux semblent le sugg\u00e9rer<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":368736,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-368733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":368736,"excerpt":"Plusieurs signaux semblent le sugg\u00e9rer","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9faite aux midterms, vers un changement de cap de Trump 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