{"id":368479,"date":"2026-11-04T08:09:26","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T07:09:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=368479"},"modified":"2026-11-04T08:09:32","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T07:09:32","slug":"midterms-pres-de-99-des-comtes-et-circonscriptions-ont-glisse-vers-les-democrates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/04\/midterms-pres-de-99-des-comtes-et-circonscriptions-ont-glisse-vers-les-democrates\/","title":{"rendered":"Midterms&#160;: pr\u00e8s de 99&#160;% des comt\u00e9s et circonscriptions ont gliss\u00e9 vers les d\u00e9mocrates"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les d\u00e9mocrates ont <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/04\/5-points-sur-les-resultats-des-elections-de-mi-mandat\/\">remport\u00e9<\/a> dans la nuit les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/observatoire-des-elections-de-mi-mandat-2026\/\">\u00e9lections de mi-mandat<\/a>, s\u2019emparant d\u2019au moins 20 si\u00e8ges au S\u00e9nat (en plus des 34 si\u00e8ges qu\u2019ils d\u00e9tenaient et qui n\u2019\u00e9taient pas soumis au vote), et d\u2019au moins 218 \u00e0 la Chambre des repr\u00e9sentants, soit le seuil requis pour une majorit\u00e9. Ils sont en t\u00eate dans 39 autres circonscriptions, ce qui pourrait porter leur majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 257 si\u00e8ges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon l\u2019analyste Sean Trende, sp\u00e9cialiste des \u00e9lections chez RealClearPolitics, il s\u2019agit \u00ab&#160;de loin&#160;\u00bb de la pire d\u00e9faite pour un parti depuis 1974&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-368479' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/04\/midterms-pres-de-99-des-comtes-et-circonscriptions-ont-glisse-vers-les-democrates\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-368479' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/SeanTrende\/status\/2117814894988763256&quot;&gt;Publication de Sean Trende sur X&lt;\/a&gt;, 4 novembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le rejet du Parti r\u00e9publicain et de Trump est visible dans presque tous les comt\u00e9s&#160;: le glissement en faveur des candidats d\u00e9mocrates au S\u00e9nat par rapport \u00e0 2024 est d\u2019environ 16 points cette ann\u00e9e, alors qu\u2019il \u00e9tait d\u2019environ 5 points en faveur de Trump en 2024 par rapport \u00e0 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/9PAFq\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pour les \u00e9lections au S\u00e9nat, les candidats d\u00e9mocrates ont fait mieux que Kamala Harris dans 99,7&#160;% des comt\u00e9s, selon les r\u00e9sultats provisoires \u00e0 7h50, heure de Paris.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les candidats r\u00e9publicains n\u2019ont fait mieux que Donald Trump que dans 5 comt\u00e9s&#160;: Grant, Traverse et Le Sueur, dans le Minnesota, Sumter, en Floride, et Adams, dans l\u2019Illinois.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/8Qvt7\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 la Chambre, le glissement vers les d\u00e9mocrates est de pr\u00e8s de 15 points en moyenne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il d\u00e9passe 40 points dans deux circonscriptions hispaniques du Texas&#160;: la 28e, que Trump avait remport\u00e9e de 10 points en 2024 et o\u00f9 le d\u00e9mocrate Henry Cuellar m\u00e8ne d\u00e9sormais de 36 points, et la 15e, o\u00f9 un \u00e9cart de 18 points en faveur de Trump s\u2019est transform\u00e9 en avance d\u00e9mocrate de 23 points.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans la 4e circonscription du Tennessee, que Trump avait gagn\u00e9e de 24 points, d\u00e9mocrates et r\u00e9publicains sont au coude-\u00e0-coude&#160;: moins de 300 voix les s\u00e9parent, \u00e0 99&#160;% de d\u00e9pouillement.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Au total, les d\u00e9mocrates sont en t\u00eate dans 56 circonscriptions remport\u00e9es par Trump en 2024, selon les r\u00e9sultats provisoires \u00e0 7h50 (Paris).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The biggest shift towards Democrats is coming from the reddest areas <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ftrsYtdRqF\">pic.twitter.com\/ftrsYtdRqF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Lenny Bronner (@lennybronner) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lennybronner\/status\/2117808964129931650?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u2019est dans les r\u00e9gions les plus solidement r\u00e9publicaines de G\u00e9orgie, de Caroline du Nord et du Sud que les d\u00e9mocrates ont r\u00e9alis\u00e9 parmi leurs gains les plus importants. Dans les bureaux de vote les plus favorables \u00e0 Trump, alors que la participation baisse toujours lors des <em>midterms<\/em>, les candidats d\u00e9mocrates ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 le nombre de voix obtenues par Harris en 2024. Les r\u00e9publicains, eux, n\u2019ont retrouv\u00e9 que 6 \u00e0 7 \u00e9lecteurs de Trump sur 10.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les d\u00e9mocrates ont fait mieux que Harris dans la quasi-totalit\u00e9 du pays<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":368480,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3468],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-368479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donnees-qui-changent-la-donne","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":368480,"excerpt":"Les d\u00e9mocrates ont fait mieux que Harris dans la quasi-totalit\u00e9 du pays","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Midterms : 99 % des circonscriptions ont gliss\u00e9 vers les d\u00e9mocrates<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/04\/midterms-pres-de-99-des-comtes-et-circonscriptions-ont-glisse-vers-les-democrates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Midterms : 99 % des circonscriptions ont gliss\u00e9 vers les d\u00e9mocrates\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les d\u00e9mocrates ont fait mieux que Harris dans la quasi-totalit\u00e9 du pays\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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