{"id":368228,"date":"2026-11-03T12:13:05","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=368228"},"modified":"2026-11-03T13:59:37","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T12:59:37","slug":"leurope-se-dirige-t-elle-vers-une-nouvelle-crise-energetique-cet-hiver","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/03\/leurope-se-dirige-t-elle-vers-une-nouvelle-crise-energetique-cet-hiver\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019Europe se dirige-t-elle vers une nouvelle crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique cet hiver&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le vortex polaire stratosph\u00e9rique, une vaste circulation hivernale qui s\u2019\u00e9tend au-dessus de chaque p\u00f4le, s\u2019effondre g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00e0 la fin du mois de janvier. Cette ann\u00e9e, plusieurs mod\u00e8les m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques indiquent qu\u2019il pourrait s\u2019effondrer d\u00e8s les prochains jours, ce qui en ferait l\u2019effondrement le plus pr\u00e9coce jamais enregistr\u00e9 et serait susceptible d\u2019entra\u00eener, dans les semaines suivantes, un afflux d\u2019air arctique vers l\u2019Am\u00e9rique du Nord et l\u2019Europe&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-368228' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/03\/leurope-se-dirige-t-elle-vers-une-nouvelle-crise-energetique-cet-hiver\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-368228' title='Joe Wertz et Mary Hui, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2026-11-02\/energy-traders-scrutinize-record-early-polar-vortex-collapse&quot;&gt;Record-Early Polar Vortex Collapse Puts Energy Traders on Alert&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 novembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Une vague de froid pr\u00e9coce p\u00e8serait sur les stocks europ\u00e9ens de gaz naturel, qui se trouvent \u00e0 leur niveau le plus faible \u00e0 ce moment de l\u2019ann\u00e9e depuis le d\u00e9but des relev\u00e9s de Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE), en 2011.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les capacit\u00e9s de stockage de l\u2019Union n\u2019\u00e9taient remplies qu\u2019\u00e0 74,6&#160;% au 1er novembre, contre 82,8&#160;% l\u2019an dernier et 95,2&#160;% en 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6yf7r\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans un rapport publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui, mardi 3 novembre, l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie estime que des temp\u00e9ratures hivernales plus froides que la normale en Europe, combin\u00e9es \u00e0 une fermeture du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz jusqu\u2019\u00e0 fin mars, pourraient augmenter la consommation de gaz dans les b\u00e2timents de plus de 10&#160;%, et de 7&#160;% dans le secteur de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 entre novembre et mars, par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019hiver dernier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-368228' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/11\/03\/leurope-se-dirige-t-elle-vers-une-nouvelle-crise-energetique-cet-hiver\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-368228' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/global-gas-security-review-2026&quot;&gt;Global Gas Security Review 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Agence internationale de l&amp;rsquo;\u00e9nergie, 3 novembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans l\u2019industrie, les prix \u00e9lev\u00e9s conduiraient \u00e0 un recul de 15&#160;% de la consommation, soit une destruction de la demande similaire \u00e0 celle de la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique de 2022-2023, apr\u00e8s l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le prix du m\u00e9gawattheure de gaz avait alors d\u00e9pass\u00e9 330 euros en ao\u00fbt 2022, soit plus de 1 000&#160;% de plus qu\u2019un an plus t\u00f4t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ftvNS\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans son sc\u00e9nario le plus d\u00e9favorable, l\u2019AIE estime que les stocks europ\u00e9ens de gaz pourraient tomber en dessous de 10&#160;% de leur capacit\u00e9 d\u00e8s d\u00e9but mars 2027, et finir l\u2019hiver \u00e0 7&#160;%. Il s\u2019agirait de leur niveau le plus faible jamais enregistr\u00e9 \u2013 m\u00eame en mars 2022, leur niveau n\u2019\u00e9tait pas pass\u00e9 sous les 25&#160;%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00c0 un tel niveau, les capacit\u00e9s de soutirage des sites de stockage souterrain seraient r\u00e9duites en raison de la baisse de pression dans les r\u00e9servoirs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Une vague de froid tardive, associ\u00e9e notamment \u00e0 une faible production d\u2019\u00e9nergie \u00e9olienne, pourrait alors accro\u00eetre le risque de volatilit\u00e9 des prix et de ruptures d\u2019approvisionnement, ce qui p\u00e8serait sur les industries et les budgets des m\u00e9nages.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019effondrement pr\u00e9coce du vortex polaire pourrait entra\u00eener une vague de froid<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":368230,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-368228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":368230,"excerpt":"L\u2019effondrement pr\u00e9coce du vortex polaire pourrait entra\u00eener une vague de froid","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019Europe se 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