{"id":366993,"date":"2026-10-28T17:56:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T16:56:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=366993"},"modified":"2026-10-28T18:17:05","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:17:05","slug":"aucun-gagnant-clair-en-israel-apres-les-elections-vers-de-longues-negociations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/28\/aucun-gagnant-clair-en-israel-apres-les-elections-vers-de-longues-negociations\/","title":{"rendered":"Aucun gagnant clair en Isra\u00ebl&#160;: apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections, vers de longues n\u00e9gociations&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Plus de 85&#160;% des bulletins des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives isra\u00e9liennes qui se sont tenues hier, mardi 27 octobre, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9pouill\u00e9s ce mercredi 28 \u00e0 17h (heure de Paris). Le bloc du Premier ministre Benyamin Netanyahou devrait recueillir 53 si\u00e8ges \u00e0 la Knesset (contre 64 en 2022), et celui de son principal opposant, Gadi Eisenkot, 48 si\u00e8ges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les r\u00e9sultats pourraient continuer d\u2019\u00e9voluer d\u2019ici jeudi. La commission \u00e9lectorale a jusqu\u2019au 4 novembre pour communiquer les r\u00e9sultats officiels au pr\u00e9sident Herzog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le scrutin est une victoire en demi-teinte pour le Likoud, le parti de Netanyahou, qui devrait terminer en t\u00eate avec pr\u00e8s de 21&#160;% des voix.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yashar&#160;!, le parti d\u2019Eisenkot, est cr\u00e9dit\u00e9 \u00e0 ce stade d\u2019environ 16&#160;% des voix, et la Liste unifi\u00e9e, qui regroupe trois partis \u00e0 dominante arabe (Hadash, Balad et Ta\u2019al), de plus de 9&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il s\u2019agirait de la meilleure performance de la liste depuis 2020, lorsqu\u2019elle incluait encore Ra\u2019am. Avec les 7 si\u00e8ges de Ra\u2019am, les partis arabes totaliseraient 19 si\u00e8ges.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container iframe-dynamic wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"w-full\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/iframes\/knesset.html\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Faute de majorit\u00e9 claire pour les deux principaux blocs \u2013 61 si\u00e8ges sont n\u00e9cessaires pour disposer de la majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 la Knesset \u2013, les partis arabes pourraient \u00eatre amen\u00e9s \u00e0 jouer un r\u00f4le d\u00e9terminant. Plusieurs semaines pourraient toutefois \u00eatre n\u00e9cessaires pour tenter de former une coalition, p\u00e9riode au cours de laquelle la situation en Isra\u00ebl et dans la r\u00e9gion pourrait \u00e9voluer, notamment vis-\u00e0-vis de l\u2019Iran et des \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Netanyahou a tent\u00e9 de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/\">raviver<\/a> la guerre avec T\u00e9h\u00e9ran une semaine avant le scrutin, en envoyant des dizaines d\u2019avions jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re iranienne, dans une man\u0153uvre qui aurait pu conduire \u00e0 une riposte iranienne.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Donald Trump, aupr\u00e8s de qui le Premier ministre isra\u00e9lien s\u2019est tourn\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res semaines pour tenter d\u2019obtenir des marques de soutien, s\u2019est attribu\u00e9 mercredi 28 le m\u00e9rite de la performance de Netanyahou.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans une publication sur Truth Social, le pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain a relay\u00e9 une d\u00e9claration attribu\u00e9e \u00e0 un certain Irving C. Schwartz&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Lorsque le pr\u00e9sident Trump a apport\u00e9 son soutien \u00e0 Bibi Netanyahou, le vent a compl\u00e8tement tourn\u00e9, et aujourd\u2019hui, plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une d\u00e9faite cuisante pour un grand Premier ministre, on semble assister \u00e0 une remont\u00e9e spectaculaire qui aboutit \u00e0 une impasse, voire \u00e0 une VICTOIRE pour Netanyahou&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\"\n    data-shadow=\"false\"\n    data-use-original-file=\"false\">\n    <a\n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet.jpg\"\n        class=\"inline-block gallery-item no-underline \"\n        data-pswp-width=\"1452\"\n        data-pswp-height=\"916\">\n                                        <picture>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-330x208.jpg\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-690x435.jpg\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-990x625.jpg\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-690x435.jpg\"\r\n                media=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n                    <source\r\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-990x625.jpg\"\r\n                media=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/10\/Truthnet-125x79.jpg\" \/>\r\n        <\/picture>\r\n                            \n                    <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content \">Publication de Donald Trump sur son r\u00e9seau Truth Social, le 28 octobre 2026.<\/figcaption>\n            <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<p>En Isra\u00ebl, le pr\u00e9sident joue un r\u00f4le institutionnel dans la formation du gouvernement. C\u2019est aupr\u00e8s de lui que les responsables des partis politiques \u00e9mettront des \u00ab&#160;recommandations&#160;\u00bb pour d\u00e9signer la personnalit\u00e9 charg\u00e9e de former un gouvernement, qui n\u2019est pas n\u00e9cessairement le chef du premier parti. Celle-ci disposera alors de 28 jours pour tenter d\u2019obtenir une majorit\u00e9, avec la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00e9tendre cette p\u00e9riode de 14 jours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si cette premi\u00e8re tentative \u00e9choue, le pr\u00e9sident pourra d\u00e9signer un deuxi\u00e8me candidat, qui disposera de 28 jours, sans possibilit\u00e9 de prolongation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Herzog pourrait confier ce mandat \u00e0 Netanyahou, dont le parti devrait arriver en t\u00eate du scrutin. Tous les partis d\u2019opposition ont toutefois exclu de gouverner sous sa direction, ce qui compliquerait l\u2019exercice de formation d\u2019une coalition.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il pourrait \u00e9galement se tourner vers Gadi Eisenkot, dont le parti, Yashar&#160;!, deviendrait la deuxi\u00e8me force politique de la Knesset avec environ 21 si\u00e8ges, derri\u00e8re le Likoud (26 si\u00e8ges).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Eisenkot aurait toutefois besoin du soutien, explicite ou tacite, des deux formations politiques arabes isra\u00e9liennes, sur lequel il a dit durant la campagne \u00eatre pr\u00eat \u00e0 s\u2019appuyer pour diriger une coalition minoritaire.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00eame s\u2019il restait au pouvoir \u00e0 la t\u00eate d\u2019un gouvernement de transition, Netanyahou pourrait faire face \u00e0 une commission d\u2019enqu\u00eate d\u2019\u00c9tat sur les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/08\/en-israel-letau-se-referme-t-il-autour-de-netanyahou\/\">d\u00e9faillances<\/a> ayant conduit \u00e0 l\u2019attaque du 7 octobre 2023, que la nouvelle Knesset pourrait chercher \u00e0 instaurer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon <em>Haaretz<\/em>, dont les informations ont depuis \u00e9t\u00e9 confirm\u00e9es par le<em> New York Times<\/em>, le dirigeant isra\u00e9lien aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 averti par le pr\u00e9sident \u00e9mirati Mohammed ben Zayed dix jours avant l\u2019attaque que le Hamas, alors dirig\u00e9 par Yahya Sinwar, pr\u00e9parait une op\u00e9ration majeure contre Isra\u00ebl.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le bureau du Premier ministre isra\u00e9lien a d\u00e9menti ces informations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les coalitions de Netanyahou et d&rsquo;Eisenkot sont au coude-\u00e0-coude<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":367028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[543],"class_list":["post-366993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-mediterranee"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":367028,"excerpt":"Les coalitions de Netanyahou et d'Eisenkot sont au coude-\u00e0-coude","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Aucun gagnant clair en Isra\u00ebl : apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections, vers de longues n\u00e9gociations ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/28\/aucun-gagnant-clair-en-israel-apres-les-elections-vers-de-longues-negociations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Aucun gagnant clair en Isra\u00ebl : apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections, vers de longues n\u00e9gociations ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les coalitions de Netanyahou et d&#039;Eisenkot sont au coude-\u00e0-coude\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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