{"id":366839,"date":"2026-10-27T13:15:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T12:15:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=366839"},"modified":"2026-10-27T13:28:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T12:28:32","slug":"economie-russe-jusqua-quand-moscou-peut-il-financer-la-guerre-contre-lukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/economie-russe-jusqua-quand-moscou-peut-il-financer-la-guerre-contre-lukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: jusqu\u2019\u00e0 quand Moscou peut-il financer la guerre contre l\u2019Ukraine&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dans son projet de budget pour 2027, le gouvernement russe pr\u00e9voit de consacrer 35&#160;% de ses d\u00e9penses \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense nationale, qui finance l\u2019essentiel de la guerre en Ukraine. Au total, les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense devraient atteindre 17 100 milliards de roubles (soit environ 190 milliards d\u2019euros), ce qui repr\u00e9sente le <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/29\/economie-russe-la-russie-de-poutine-na-jamais-autant-depense-pour-la-guerre\/\">triple<\/a> du budget des arm\u00e9es fran\u00e7aises pour 2027 (63,4 milliards d\u2019euros).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Il n\u2019est pas certain que le Kremlin puisse financer durablement un tel niveau de d\u00e9penses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Celles-ci seront en partie financ\u00e9es par la dette&#160;: le minist\u00e8re des Finances pr\u00e9voit d\u2019\u00e9mettre 7 700 milliards de roubles (85 milliards d\u2019euros) d\u2019obligations, contre 5 400 milliards (60 milliards d\u2019euros) dans le budget de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Malgr\u00e9 une hausse de la TVA en janvier 2026 et la cr\u00e9ation de nouvelles taxes, ces d\u00e9penses devraient s\u2019accompagner d\u2019un d\u00e9ficit plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu&#160;: 5 500 milliards de roubles (60 milliards d\u2019euros, 2,2&#160;% du PIB) en 2027, contre 3 200 milliards (35 milliards d\u2019euros) dans le budget de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/fPOzF\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans le m\u00eame temps, Moscou peine de plus en plus \u00e0 trouver preneur pour sa dette.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le minist\u00e8re des Finances a d\u00fb d\u00e9clarer infructueuses des adjudications d\u2019obligations en juillet puis en septembre, faute d\u2019offres \u00e0 un prix acceptable&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-366839' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/economie-russe-jusqua-quand-moscou-peut-il-financer-la-guerre-contre-lukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-366839' title='Illia Kabachynskyi, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/united24media.com\/war-in-ukraine\/russia-has-no-more-money-to-throw-at-its-war-in-ukraine-its-2027-budget-shows-why-23735&quot;&gt;Russia Has No More Money to Throw at Its War in Ukraine. Its 2027 Budget Shows Why&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;United24 Media&lt;\/em&gt;, 23 octobre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Entre-temps, les \u00e9missions ont \u00e9t\u00e9 suspendues pendant plusieurs semaines.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Afin d\u2019attirer des acheteurs, le gouvernement russe doit offrir des rendements de pr\u00e8s de 17&#160;%&#160;: le 14 octobre, il a emprunt\u00e9 \u00e0 16,77&#160;%, soit son taux le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 depuis f\u00e9vrier 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La demande repose de plus en plus sur les grandes banques, qui ont achet\u00e9 le 2 septembre 84&#160;% d\u2019une \u00e9mission de 1 000 milliards de roubles, apr\u00e8s avoir emprunt\u00e9 la veille un montant quasi \u00e9quivalent aupr\u00e8s de la Banque centrale&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-366839' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/economie-russe-jusqua-quand-moscou-peut-il-financer-la-guerre-contre-lukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-366839' title='Alexandra Prokopenko, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/storage.googleapis.com\/crng\/russia-budget-war-overview.html&quot;&gt;\u041f\u0443\u0448\u043a\u0438 \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u043c\u0430\u0441\u043b\u0430. \u041a\u0442\u043e \u0437\u0430\u043f\u043b\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0442 \u0437\u0430 \u0432\u043e\u0439\u043d\u0443 \u0432 2027 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443&lt;\/a&gt;, Carnegie Politika, 29 septembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/cfDsO\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La strat\u00e9gie ukrainienne de frappes \u00e0 moyenne et longue port\u00e9e en Russie accro\u00eet la pression sur le Kremlin. Le 1er septembre, Poutine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que les frappes ukrainiennes en mer Noire et en mer d\u2019Azov visant des navires et des infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques auraient provoqu\u00e9 des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts repr\u00e9sentant \u00ab&#160;<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/04\/economie-russe-en-40-jours-de-frappes-lukraine-aurait-cause-des-degats-equivalant-a-1-du-pib-selon-poutine\/\">environ 1&#160;% du PIB<\/a>&#160;\u00bb russe, soit environ 23 milliards d\u2019euros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/12\/les-frappes-ukrainiennes-sur-des-centres-de-donnees-de-yandex-ont-elles-affaibli-les-fermes-a-trolls-russes\/\">frappes<\/a> ukrainiennes se sont poursuivies depuis et ont notamment vis\u00e9 des centres de donn\u00e9es de Yandex, qui soutiennent l\u2019\u00e9conomie civile russe (recherche en ligne, taxis, livraisons, services de messagerie, cloud\u2026).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Certains de ces centres de donn\u00e9es abritent des supercalculateurs parmi les plus puissants du pays selon TOP500, comme Galouchkine, h\u00e9berg\u00e9 dans le centre de donn\u00e9es de Vladimir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019entreprise affirme que ces supercalculateurs, qui permettent de faire tourner l\u2019IA de Yandex, utilis\u00e9e dans l\u2019ensemble des logiciels et applications de l\u2019entreprise, n\u2019ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 endommag\u00e9s par les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/19\/la-guerre-des-centres-de-donnees-lukraine-frappe-le-coeur-de-fer-de-linternet-russe\/\">frappes<\/a>. Ils ont toutefois \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;transf\u00e9r\u00e9s vers de nouveaux sites&#160;\u00bb, selon le service de presse de Yandex&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-366839' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/economie-russe-jusqua-quand-moscou-peut-il-financer-la-guerre-contre-lukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-366839' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/technology_and_media\/26\/10\/2026\/6adf3a4a7d19f4969af052b5&quot;&gt;\u042f\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043a\u0441&amp;#160;\u00bb \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0441\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0430\u043b \u043e \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u0443\u043f\u0435\u0440\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u044c\u044e\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 \u0430\u0442\u0430\u043a \u043d\u0430 \u0426\u041e\u0414\u044b&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;RBC&lt;\/em&gt;, 26 octobre 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>La fragilit\u00e9 du budget russe tient aussi \u00e0 l\u2019impr\u00e9visibilit\u00e9 inh\u00e9rente \u00e0 la guerre&#160;: les d\u00e9penses pour renforcer les capacit\u00e9s anti-drones, remplacer du mat\u00e9riel ou payer les primes d\u2019engagement aux combattants d\u00e9pendront de l\u2019\u00e9volution des \u00e9quilibres sur le front.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Kremlin pr\u00e9voit de consacrer 35&#160;% de son budget 2027 \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":366841,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-366839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":366841,"excerpt":"Le Kremlin pr\u00e9voit de consacrer 35 % de son budget 2027 \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO 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