{"id":366741,"date":"2026-10-27T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=366741"},"modified":"2026-10-27T00:42:26","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T23:42:26","slug":"en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/","title":{"rendered":"En Isra\u00ebl, Netanyahou compte sur la guerre pour se maintenir au pouvoir"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ces derni\u00e8res semaines, le Premier ministre isra\u00e9lien, qui pourrait perdre sa majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 la Knesset \u00e0 l\u2019issue des \u00e9lections d\u2019aujourd\u2019hui, mardi 27 octobre, a tent\u00e9 \u00e0 plusieurs reprises de convaincre Trump de reprendre les frappes contre l\u2019Iran. Contrairement \u00e0 l\u2019arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine, Tsahal n\u2019est plus actif offensivement autour de l\u2019Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon les donn\u00e9es d\u2019ACLED, les derni\u00e8res frappes isra\u00e9liennes remontent au 8 juin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Netanyahou aurait plaid\u00e9 directement aupr\u00e8s de Trump pour la reprise des frappes \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle au cours de plusieurs appels t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tsahal s\u2019\u00e9tait notamment pr\u00e9par\u00e9 \u00e0 une op\u00e9ration de bombardement de grande envergure, pr\u00e9vue pour durer plusieurs jours \u00e0 partir du week-end du 10 octobre, qui aurait eu pour cible des centrales \u00e9lectriques, des installations nucl\u00e9aires et des cibles li\u00e9es au r\u00e9gime&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-366741' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-366741' title='Neri Zilber, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/eb4d1101-45ed-4d03-9beb-42f7c87a58ea?syn-25a6b1a6=1&quot;&gt;Netanyahu made plans to restart Iran strikes earlier this month&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 21 octobre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/bHxzS\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon un responsable am\u00e9ricain, le dirigeant isra\u00e9lien, arriv\u00e9 au pouvoir pour la premi\u00e8re fois en 1996, \u00ab&#160;estime que sa force r\u00e9side dans le fait d\u2019\u00eatre un Premier ministre en temps de guerre&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-366741' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-366741' title='Barak Ravid et Marc Caputo, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/10\/13\/netanyahu-trump-iran-war-elections&quot;&gt;Inside Trump, Netanyahu&amp;rsquo;s dilemma&amp;#160;: Strike Iran before elections or wait&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Axios&lt;\/em&gt;, 13 octobre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Netanyahou semble avoir multipli\u00e9 les tentatives visant \u00e0 provoquer une escalade dans les jours qui ont men\u00e9 au scrutin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lundi 19 octobre, plusieurs dizaines d\u2019avions de l\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne, dont des chasseurs et des ravitailleurs, ont vol\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re iranienne dans ce qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 par Isra\u00ebl comme un \u00ab&#160;exercice d\u2019entra\u00eenement&#160;\u00bb. Selon <em>Axios<\/em>, cette sortie \u00ab&#160;aurait pu conduire \u00e0 une erreur d\u2019appr\u00e9ciation, d\u00e9clenchant une riposte iranienne et ravivant la guerre&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-366741' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-366741' title='Barak Ravid, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/10\/21\/israel-military-training-sortie-iran-border&quot;&gt;Israeli military conducts massive \u00ab&amp;#160;power projection&amp;#160;\u00bb operation near Iran&amp;rsquo;s border&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Axios&lt;\/em&gt;, 21 octobre 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vendredi 23, Netanyahou a annonc\u00e9 le lancement d\u2019op\u00e9rations militaires en Cisjordanie suite \u00e0 la mort de deux soldats isra\u00e9liens pr\u00e8s d\u2019H\u00e9bron. Dans une allocution film\u00e9e, il a d\u00e9clar\u00e9&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Le ministre de la D\u00e9fense et moi-m\u00eame envisageons une op\u00e9ration de tr\u00e8s grande ampleur, comme il n\u2019y en a pas eu depuis la guerre des Six-Jours&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Dimanche 25, la cha\u00eene isra\u00e9lienne Channel 12 a rapport\u00e9 que des tensions avaient \u00e9clat\u00e9 ces derniers jours entre le chef d\u2019\u00e9tat-major de l\u2019arm\u00e9e, Eyal Zamir, et Netanyahou au sujet d\u2019une instruction donn\u00e9e par le Premier ministre \u00ab&#160;concernant une action militaire non pr\u00e9cis\u00e9e&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-366741' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-366741' title='Yaron Avraham, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.mako.co.il\/news-military\/2026_q4\/Article-5790e669a7471a1027.htm&quot;&gt;\u05d7\u05e9\u05d9\u05e4\u05d4&amp;#160;: \u05e2\u05d9\u05de\u05d5\u05ea \u05d1\u05d9\u05df \u05e0\u05ea\u05e0\u05d9\u05d4\u05d5 \u05dc\u05d6\u05de\u05d9\u05e8 \u05e1\u05d1\u05d9\u05d1 \u05e4\u05e2\u05d5\u05dc\u05d4 \u05e9\u05e2\u05dc\u05d5\u05dc\u05d4 \u05dc\u05d4\u05d5\u05d1\u05d9\u05dc \u05dc\u05e2\u05d9\u05de\u05d5\u05ea \u05e2\u05dd \u05d0\u05d9\u05e8\u05d0\u05df&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Canal 12&lt;\/em&gt;, 25 octobre 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Des responsables de la D\u00e9fense estiment que celle-ci pourrait conduire \u00e0 une \u00ab&#160;rapide confrontation avec l\u2019Iran&#160;\u00bb peu avant les \u00e9lections.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Netanyahou a d\u00e9menti, mais Gale\u00ef Tsahal, la radio de l\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne, a publi\u00e9 des informations similaires hier, citant deux responsables de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u00e9but octobre, Zamir avait pr\u00e9venu son homologue am\u00e9ricain, Dan Caine, qu\u2019une reprise de la guerre dans les semaines suivantes pourrait conduire au report des \u00e9lections.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/NXVhz\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le bloc de Netanyahou devrait perdre une vingtaine de si\u00e8ges lors du scrutin d\u2019aujourd\u2019hui, et plafonner \u00e0 environ 50 d\u00e9put\u00e9s, selon les derniers sondages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019ancien chef d\u2019\u00e9tat-major Gadi Eizenkot et ses alli\u00e9s ne seraient en avance que de justesse, avec entre 54 et 56 si\u00e8ges.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cr\u00e9dit\u00e9s d\u2019une quinzaine de si\u00e8ges, les partis arabes pourraient jouer un r\u00f4le d\u00e9cisif malgr\u00e9 les r\u00e9ticences d\u2019une partie de la droite \u00e0 s\u2019allier avec eux.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Faute de majorit\u00e9 alternative, Netanyahou resterait \u00e0 la t\u00eate d\u2019un gouvernement de transition jusqu\u2019\u00e0 de nouvelles \u00e9lections. Selon plusieurs sources proches du dossier, le Premier ministre privil\u00e9gierait ce sc\u00e9nario, misant sur l\u2019affaiblissement de son principal rival, Gadi Eisenkot, et sur de nouveaux succ\u00e8s militaires.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En amont des \u00e9lections, Netanyahou a multipli\u00e9 les tentatives pour obtenir aupr\u00e8s de Trump une reprise des frappes contre l\u2019Iran<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":366742,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[543],"class_list":["post-366741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-mediterranee"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":366742,"excerpt":"En amont des \u00e9lections, Netanyahou a multipli\u00e9 les tentatives pour obtenir aupr\u00e8s de Trump une reprise des frappes contre l\u2019Iran","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Netanyahou compte sur la guerre pour se maintenir au pouvoir<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/27\/en-israel-netanyahou-compte-sur-la-guerre-pour-se-maintenir-au-pouvoir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Netanyahou compte sur la guerre pour se maintenir au pouvoir\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En amont des \u00e9lections, Netanyahou a multipli\u00e9 les tentatives pour obtenir aupr\u00e8s de Trump une reprise des frappes contre l\u2019Iran\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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