{"id":365644,"date":"2026-10-22T12:57:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T10:57:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=365644"},"modified":"2026-10-22T13:10:35","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T11:10:35","slug":"la-crise-francaise-de-la-dette-saccelere","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/22\/la-crise-francaise-de-la-dette-saccelere\/","title":{"rendered":"La crise fran\u00e7aise de la dette s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e8re"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Hier, mercredi 21 octobre, le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat demand\u00e9 par les acteurs des march\u00e9s financiers sur les titres de la dette publique fran\u00e7aise \u00e0 10 ans a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 5&#160;% par an pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis juillet 2002, quelques mois apr\u00e8s la mise en circulation de l\u2019euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 5,1&#160;%, ce taux d\u00e9passe celui qui est exig\u00e9 pour financer la dette am\u00e9ricaine \u2013 une premi\u00e8re depuis 2013.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans le m\u00eame temps, le spread, soit l\u2019\u00e9cart des taux \u00e0 10 ans entre la dette fran\u00e7aise et la dette allemande, d\u00e9passe 170 points de base, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire 1,7 point de pourcentage.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un niveau in\u00e9dit depuis novembre 2011, au plus fort de la crise de la zone euro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/eAUpe\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La France emprunte aussi d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 un taux sup\u00e9rieur d\u2019environ 1 point de pourcentage \u00e0 celui de l\u2019Espagne et d\u2019environ 0,5 point \u00e0 celui de l\u2019Italie, dont la dette est pourtant plus importante rapport\u00e9e \u00e0 son PIB. Au rythme actuel, et selon les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/13\/au-rythme-actuel-la-france-deviendrait-le-pays-le-plus-endette-de-lunion-au-cours-des-annees-2030\/\">calculs<\/a> de la revue, la France pourrait toutefois d\u00e9passer la Gr\u00e8ce en termes de dette rapport\u00e9e au PIB d\u00e8s 2028 ou 2029, et l\u2019Italie entre 2033 et 2040, devenant ainsi le pays le plus endett\u00e9 de l\u2019Union d\u2019ici sept ans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le spread mesure la prime de risque que les acteurs financiers associent \u00e0 la dette fran\u00e7aise par rapport \u00e0 la dette allemande. Il refl\u00e8te notamment le risque qu\u2019ils per\u00e7oivent de ne pas \u00eatre rembours\u00e9s au terme pr\u00e9vu par les obligations qu\u2019ils d\u00e9tiennent.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Du fait de la grave <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/21\/manifestations-la-tentation-de-lingerence-etrangere\/\">crise<\/a> sociale et politique que traverse le pays et de l\u2019absence de perspective de solution cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 court terme, ces acteurs estiment que ce risque s\u2019accro\u00eet, et la d\u00e9fiance monte rapidement vis-\u00e0-vis de la dette publique fran\u00e7aise.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>De ce fait, la perspective d\u2019une crise financi\u00e8re majeure avant m\u00eame l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle, dont le premier tour se tiendra le 18 avril 2027, se rapproche \u00e0 grands pas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/pm3xD\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La d\u00e9fiance entra\u00eene la d\u00e9fiance, et la d\u00e9gradation des conditions de cr\u00e9dit que subit la dette fran\u00e7aise alourdit m\u00e9caniquement la charge de la dette, ce qui accro\u00eet \u00e0 son tour le risque d\u2019un d\u00e9faut. Une spirale qui s\u2019auto-entretient, que seule une intervention massive de la BCE, voire du FMI, pourrait interrompre, risque de s\u2019enclencher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La France, deuxi\u00e8me puissance \u00e9conomique et d\u00e9mographique de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, n\u2019est toutefois pas la Gr\u00e8ce.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un sauvetage financier de la France poserait \u00e0 la zone euro et \u00e0 l\u2019Union un d\u00e9fi politique et \u00e9conomique d\u2019une toute autre ampleur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9cart entre les taux d\u2019emprunt fran\u00e7ais et allemand est \u00e0 son plus haut niveau depuis 2011<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":365646,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[4180],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-365644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","staff-guillaume-duval","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":365646,"excerpt":"L\u2019\u00e9cart entre les taux d\u2019emprunt fran\u00e7ais et allemand est \u00e0 son plus haut niveau depuis 2011","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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