{"id":364778,"date":"2026-10-18T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=364778"},"modified":"2026-10-18T01:30:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T23:30:46","slug":"economie-russe-les-depenses-publiques-se-rapprochent-de-la-moyenne-de-locde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/18\/economie-russe-les-depenses-publiques-se-rapprochent-de-la-moyenne-de-locde\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: les d\u00e9penses publiques se rapprochent de la moyenne de l\u2019OCDE"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Selon Alexandre Isakov, directeur du Centre de recherches macro\u00e9conomiques de Sber et \u00e9conomiste en chef de la banque publique de d\u00e9veloppement Vnesheconombank (VEB), les d\u00e9penses du budget consolid\u00e9 de la Russie repr\u00e9senteraient environ 39&#160;% du PIB, soit un niveau proche de la moyenne des pays membres de l\u2019OCDE (42,6&#160;% en 2023)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-364778' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/18\/economie-russe-les-depenses-publiques-se-rapprochent-de-la-moyenne-de-locde\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-364778' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/economics\/15\/10\/2026\/6acf95e7dc8803018721f28e&quot;&gt;\u0410\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0440 \u0418\u0441\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u2014 \u0420\u0411\u041a&amp;#160;: \u00ab&amp;#160;\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u2014 \u0432 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0434\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043d\u044f\u0442\u0438\u044f \u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0435\u0431\u044f&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;RBC&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 octobre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isakov note que la part du budget dans le PIB de la Russie a consid\u00e9rablement augment\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En 2018-2019, soit avant le lancement de l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine, les d\u00e9penses du budget consolid\u00e9 repr\u00e9sentaient environ un tiers du PIB (32 \u00e0 33&#160;% selon Isakov).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette part aurait ainsi progress\u00e9 de plus de 6 points entre 2018 et 2025, alors qu\u2019elle n\u2019a gagn\u00e9 qu\u2019environ 2,4 points pour l\u2019OCDE entre 2018 et 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9cart entre la Russie et les pays de l\u2019OCDE se situe aujourd\u2019hui \u00e0 3,3 points (sur la base des chiffres de 2023 pour l\u2019OCDE), contre pr\u00e8s de 10 points en 2011.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/8eGi2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La Russie s\u2019approcherait ainsi de la limite sup\u00e9rieure de la taille du secteur public compatible avec des taux de croissance \u00e9lev\u00e9s et durables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon Isakov, le franchissement du seuil de 40&#160;% p\u00e8serait sur les entreprises, l\u2019investissement et sur la capacit\u00e9 du budget \u00e0 collecter les imp\u00f4ts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il estime en effet que les entreprises russes reportent d\u00e9j\u00e0 leurs investissements en raison de l\u2019incertitude fiscale et du risque macro\u00e9conomique, ce qui r\u00e9duit la demande et la base fiscale potentielle de l\u2019\u00c9tat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette incertitude est aliment\u00e9e par les hausses d\u2019imp\u00f4ts successives destin\u00e9es \u00e0 financer l\u2019augmentation des d\u00e9penses publiques&#160;: l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices est pass\u00e9 de 20 \u00e0 25&#160;% en 2025, la TVA de 20 \u00e0 22&#160;% le 1er janvier 2026.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/cfDsO\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La hausse des d\u00e9penses de l\u2019\u00c9tat russe est principalement aliment\u00e9e par le budget de la d\u00e9fense, qui devrait bondir de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/29\/economie-russe-la-russie-de-poutine-na-jamais-autant-depense-pour-la-guerre\/\">32&#160;%<\/a> en 2027 pour atteindre 17 100 milliards de roubles (environ 182 milliards d\u2019euros).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, les d\u00e9penses militaires russes pourraient ainsi d\u00e9passer les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/10\/comment-poutine-est-en-train-de-ruiner-leconomie-russe\/\">10&#160;% du PIB<\/a> pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis l\u2019\u00e9poque sovi\u00e9tique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 des d\u00e9penses publiques dans les pays de l\u2019OCDE, et notamment dans ceux qui sont \u00e9galement membres de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, o\u00f9 la moyenne atteint 49,2&#160;% du PIB (contre 42,6&#160;% en moyenne dans l\u2019OCDE en 2023 et 39&#160;% en Russie en 2025), s\u2019explique principalement par le poids de la protection sociale.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La part du PIB consacr\u00e9e aux d\u00e9penses sociales, \u00e0 la sant\u00e9 et \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9ducation repr\u00e9sente en effet environ 27&#160;% dans les pays de l\u2019OCDE (13,4&#160;% pour la protection sociale, 8,4&#160;% pour la sant\u00e9 et 4,9&#160;% pour l\u2019\u00e9ducation), et 31&#160;% dans ceux de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, contre 19&#160;% en Russie en 2021, selon nos calculs \u00e0 partir des donn\u00e9es du minist\u00e8re des Finances.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9cart entre la Russie et l\u2019OCDE est pass\u00e9 de 10 \u00e0 3 points de PIB depuis 2011<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":364780,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-364778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":364780,"excerpt":"L\u2019\u00e9cart entre la Russie et l\u2019OCDE est pass\u00e9 de 10 \u00e0 3 points de PIB depuis 2011\r\n","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with 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