{"id":362269,"date":"2026-10-01T19:50:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T17:50:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=362269"},"modified":"2026-10-01T19:50:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T17:50:24","slug":"les-prix-agricoles-enregistrent-leur-plus-forte-hausse-depuis-linvasion-russe-de-lukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/01\/les-prix-agricoles-enregistrent-leur-plus-forte-hausse-depuis-linvasion-russe-de-lukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Les prix agricoles enregistrent leur plus forte hausse depuis l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Selon l&rsquo;indice Agriculture Spot de <em>Bloomberg<\/em>, qui suit l&rsquo;\u00e9volution des prix de 10 cultures clefs (ma\u00efs, bl\u00e9, soja, sucre, caf\u00e9\u2026), les prix agricoles ont bondi de 13&#160;% au cours du troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026. Il s&rsquo;agit de sa plus forte hausse depuis le premier trimestre 2022, qui avait \u00e9t\u00e9 marqu\u00e9 par l&rsquo;invasion russe \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l&rsquo;Ukraine, lorsque l&rsquo;indice avait connu une augmentation de 19,5&#160;%&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-362269' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/10\/01\/les-prix-agricoles-enregistrent-leur-plus-forte-hausse-depuis-linvasion-russe-de-lukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-362269' title='Hallie Gu et Eleanor Thornber, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-10-01\/the-biggest-jump-in-global-crop-prices-since-2022-threatens-to-boost-inflation&quot;&gt;The Biggest Jump in Global Crop Prices Since 2022 Threatens to Boost Inflation&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er octobre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La forte hausse des prix agricoles traduit les craintes relatives \u00e0 la d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration des conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques et, notamment, \u00e0 la multiplication de ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes extr\u00eames, qui sont favoris\u00e9s par <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/20\/lannee-2026-va-t-elle-etre-marquee-par-le-retour-dun-super-el-nino\/\">El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon la plupart des pr\u00e9visions, ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne s&rsquo;annonce comme l&rsquo;un des plus puissants de l&rsquo;histoire r\u00e9cente&#160;: dans la zone Ni\u00f1o 3.4, dans le centre de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an Pacifique \u00e9quatorial, la temp\u00e9rature moyenne de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an a d\u00e9j\u00e0 atteint 3,1 \u00b0C au-dessus de la moyenne, soit l&rsquo;anomalie la plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e jamais enregistr\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/KClaK\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les prix agricoles sont \u00e9galement sensibles \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/23\/economie-russe-lukraine-exporte-desormais-plus-de-cereales-que-la-russie\/\">la chute<\/a> des exportations russes de c\u00e9r\u00e9ales, qui s\u2019est acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e depuis le mois de septembre. En raison des frappes ukrainiennes contre les terminaux c\u00e9r\u00e9aliers de la mer Noire, les exportations de Moscou \u00e9taient 17&#160;% inf\u00e9rieures \u00e0 celles de l\u2019Ukraine entre le 1er et le 20 septembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019an dernier, \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode, elles \u00e9taient plus de deux fois sup\u00e9rieures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La hausse du prix des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res ne devrait pas, dans un premier temps, se r\u00e9percuter sur les prix pay\u00e9s par les consommateurs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La flamb\u00e9e des prix agricoles risque toutefois d\u2019alimenter davantage l\u2019inflation, alors que les prix \u00e9lev\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, provoqu\u00e9s par la guerre au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e8sent d\u00e9j\u00e0 sur les budgets des m\u00e9nages et des agriculteurs notamment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Entre f\u00e9vrier et septembre, les prix de l\u2019essence ont augment\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 50&#160;% aux \u00c9tats-Unis, de 35&#160;% en Indon\u00e9sie et en Afrique du Sud, de 17&#160;% en Chine et de 24&#160;% en moyenne dans l\u2019Union.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/beCvv\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En raison de la fermeture par T\u00e9h\u00e9ran du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz, qui a conduit \u00e0 une chute des exportations d\u2019engrais du Golfe, l\u2019un des principaux producteurs d\u2019ur\u00e9e au monde, les semis de bl\u00e9 et de ma\u00efs notamment ont \u00e9t\u00e9 moins importants \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/24\/economie-russe-avec-la-fermeture-dormuz-moscou-renforce-son-pouvoir-sur-le-marche-des-engrais\/\">s\u00e9quence<\/a> est m\u00e9canique&#160;: un agriculteur qui n\u2019a pas les moyens d\u2019acheter de l\u2019ur\u00e9e en d\u00e9but de semis peut r\u00e9duire ses doses d\u2019application, se replier sur des cultures moins exigeantes, ou tout simplement renoncer \u00e0 semer.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trois \u00e0 six mois plus tard, cette d\u00e9cision se refl\u00e8te dans les donn\u00e9es de r\u00e9colte. Un \u00e0 trois mois plus tard encore, elle se r\u00e9percute sur les prix pour les consommateurs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>De mauvaises conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9o et la guerre en Ukraine pourraient davantage alimenter l\u2019inflation<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":362270,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-362269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-monde"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":362270,"excerpt":"De mauvaises conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9o et la guerre en Ukraine pourraient davantage alimenter l\u2019inflation","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site 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