{"id":359698,"date":"2026-09-25T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=359698"},"modified":"2026-09-26T12:26:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T10:26:28","slug":"la-chine-et-les-etats-unis-peuvent-ils-saccorder-sur-la-securite-de-lia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/25\/la-chine-et-les-etats-unis-peuvent-ils-saccorder-sur-la-securite-de-lia\/","title":{"rendered":"La Chine et les \u00c9tats-Unis peuvent-ils s\u2019accorder sur la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l\u2019IA&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>L\u2019IA est d\u00e9sormais au c\u0153ur de la confrontation sino-am\u00e9ricaine. La mani\u00e8re dont les deux puissances pourraient s\u2019accorder pour continuer \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper la technologie tout en d\u00e9limitant un cadre pour en g\u00e9rer les risques est l\u2019une des questions clefs de la visite d\u2019\u00c9tat de Xi aux \u00c9tats-Unis qui s\u2019ach\u00e8ve aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si leurs motivations diff\u00e8rent, P\u00e9kin et Washington tendent \u00e0 rel\u00e9guer la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 au second plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L&rsquo;administration Trump a tendance \u00e0 consid\u00e9rer la course \u00e0 l&rsquo;IA comme une question de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale&#160;: une victoire chinoise donnerait \u00e0 P\u00e9kin un avantage strat\u00e9gique consid\u00e9rable.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En Chine, certains chercheurs estiment que la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des mod\u00e8les les plus avanc\u00e9s est moins urgente, puisque les laboratoires chinois accusent un retard sur leurs concurrents am\u00e9ricains&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-359698' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/25\/la-chine-et-les-etats-unis-peuvent-ils-saccorder-sur-la-securite-de-lia\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-359698' title='Stu Woo et Raffaele Huang, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/ai\/china-also-thinks-ai-could-kill-us-but-first-it-wants-to-match-the-u-s-5ab6ba31&quot;&gt;China Also Thinks AI Could Kill Us. But First, It Wants to Match the U.S.&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 septembre 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans les deux cas, ralentir le d\u00e9veloppement de l&rsquo;IA au profit de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 rel\u00e8verait d&rsquo;un choix qu&rsquo;aucune des deux puissances ne pense pouvoir assumer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Pour Cheryl Wu, doctorante en \u00e9conomie \u00e0 Yale, l&rsquo;id\u00e9e que le retard chinois permettrait de diff\u00e9rer les questions de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 repose sur une pr\u00e9misse fragile&#160;: un retard en capacit\u00e9s ne garantirait pas un retard en incidents. Elle avance ainsi trois hypoth\u00e8ses&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-359698' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/25\/la-chine-et-les-etats-unis-peuvent-ils-saccorder-sur-la-securite-de-lia\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-359698' title='Cheryl Wu, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/cherylwu3.github.io\/blog\/chinas-ai-safety-trajectory-is-not-necessarily-a-delayed-version-of-americas.html&quot;&gt;China\u2019s AI-safety trajectory is not necessarily a delayed version of America\u2019s&lt;\/a&gt;, 23 septembre 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>&#160;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tout d&rsquo;abord, les incidents pourraient survenir \u00e0 un niveau de capacit\u00e9 plus faible pour les mod\u00e8les chinois, notamment en raison de la diffusion de mod\u00e8les open-weight.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leur nature et leur gravit\u00e9 pourraient aussi varier en fonction de la mani\u00e8re dont les mod\u00e8les sont exploit\u00e9s par les utilisateurs. Les mod\u00e8les am\u00e9ricains pourraient notamment plus souvent entreprendre des actions sans autorisation, tandis que les mod\u00e8les chinois pourraient exploiter des failles dans leur syst\u00e8me de r\u00e9compense plut\u00f4t que d&rsquo;accomplir la t\u00e2che donn\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mlVaO\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il faut \u00e9galement prendre en compte la mani\u00e8re dont les deux pays peuvent traiter la divulgation des incidents de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Contrairement aux \u00c9tats-Unis, o\u00f9 METR a notamment pu tester les syst\u00e8mes de surveillance d&rsquo;Anthropic, il n\u2019y a aucun cas d&rsquo;int\u00e9gration d&rsquo;\u00e9valuateurs tiers au sein d&rsquo;entreprises chinoises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Moins d&rsquo;incidents signal\u00e9s ne signifierait donc pas moins d&rsquo;incidents.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ngdcJ\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Enfin, il reste \u00e0 savoir comment r\u00e9agirait la Chine face \u00e0 un incident d&rsquo;ampleur li\u00e9 \u00e0 un mod\u00e8le d&rsquo;IA, et notamment quel serait le seuil \u00e0 partir duquel le pouvoir chinois consid\u00e9rerait qu&rsquo;un \u00ab&#160;probl\u00e8me&#160;\u00bb m\u00e9rite une intervention.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/66ziA\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Au-del\u00e0 des questions \u00e9conomiques, le Parti communiste s\u2019inqui\u00e8te des cons\u00e9quences que pourrait faire peser l\u2019IA sur sa ma\u00eetrise du processus politique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans un article <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/21\/la-grande-peur-du-parti-face-a-lia\/\">publi\u00e9<\/a> le 13 septembre, le secr\u00e9taire du Parti et ministre du D\u00e9partement de la S\u00e9curit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00c9tat, Chen Yixin, \u00e9voque notamment le risque que des \u00ab&#160;individus aux intentions malveillantes&#160;\u00bb utilisent la technologie pour \u00ab&#160;inventer des rumeurs politiques, diffuser des informations malveillantes, inciter au conflit et attiser les tensions dans l\u2019opinion publique&#160;\u00bb, et cela \u00ab&#160;dans des proportions importantes et \u00e0 des co\u00fbts tr\u00e8s faibles&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pourquoi le retard de P\u00e9kin ne garantit pas une absence d\u2019incidents<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":359699,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3412],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[531],"class_list":["post-359698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-puissances-de-lia","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-chine"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":359699,"excerpt":"Pourquoi le retard de P\u00e9kin ne garantit pas une absence d\u2019incidents","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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