{"id":357601,"date":"2026-09-12T16:02:35","date_gmt":"2026-09-12T14:02:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=357601"},"modified":"2026-09-12T20:07:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-12T18:07:45","slug":"la-guerre-en-iran-creuse-lecart-de-croissance-entre-les-brics-et-le-g7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/09\/12\/la-guerre-en-iran-creuse-lecart-de-croissance-entre-les-brics-et-le-g7\/","title":{"rendered":"La guerre en Iran creuse l&rsquo;\u00e9cart de croissance entre les BRICS et le G7"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les pays du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/18\/les-principaux-producteurs-dhydrocarbures-du-golfe-devraient-connaitre-une-croissance-quasi-nulle-en-2026\/\">Golfe<\/a>, europ\u00e9ens et plusieurs grandes \u00e9conomies asiatiques figurent parmi les plus impact\u00e9es par la guerre en Iran, notamment en raison de la perturbation des approvisionnements \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques et de la hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole et du gaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les entreprises \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques am\u00e9ricaines ont quant \u00e0 elles vu leurs b\u00e9n\u00e9fices <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/08\/26\/pres-de-la-moitie-de-lapprovisionnement-mondial-en-petrole-provient-de-pays-engages-dans-un-conflit\/\">exploser<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Malgr\u00e9 cela, les perspectives de croissance des \u00c9tats-Unis pour 2026 ont recul\u00e9 entre janvier et juillet, selon les projections du Fonds mon\u00e9taire international (FMI), passant de 2,4&#160;% \u00e0 2,3&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019ailleurs, tous les autres pays membres du G7 \u2013 Canada, France, Allemagne, Italie, Japon et Royaume-Uni \u2013 ont vu leurs perspectives de croissance \u00eatre r\u00e9vis\u00e9es \u00e0 la baisse apr\u00e8s le lancement de la guerre contre l&rsquo;Iran.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Parmi les 7 pays membres du groupe, seulement deux (les \u00c9tats-Unis et le Canada) devraient ainsi conna\u00eetre une croissance sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 1&#160;% cette ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/jbwP7\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Parmi les cinq pays fondateurs des BRICS \u2013 Chine, Russie, Inde, Afrique du Sud et Br\u00e9sil \u2013, un seul (l\u2019Afrique du Sud, avec -0,3 point) a vu sa croissance revue \u00e0 la baisse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Des facteurs exog\u00e8nes \u00e0 la guerre au Moyen-Orient expliquent ces \u00e9carts&#160;: l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie d&rsquo;une hausse de ses exportations agricoles vers la Chine, tandis que la croissance indienne continue d&rsquo;\u00eatre port\u00e9e par la consommation domestique et les services.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/exm3y\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La guerre a moins d\u2019impact sur les perspectives de croissance des BRICS que sur celles des pays du G7 dans leur ensemble.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En moyenne (non pond\u00e9r\u00e9es par le PIB), les pays du G7 devraient conna\u00eetre une croissance de 0,97&#160;% en 2026, selon les derni\u00e8res perspectives de juillet du FMI.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C\u2019est plus de deux points de moins que les cinq pays fondateurs des BRICS, pour qui la croissance moyenne devrait atteindre 3,12&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9cart de croissance moyenne entre les deux blocs, qui se situait \u00e0 1,68 point en janvier, soit avant la guerre, a ainsi augment\u00e9 de 0,5 point et atteint d\u00e9sormais 2,15 points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En 2026, la croissance des BRICS devrait \u00eatre sup\u00e9rieure de 2 points \u00e0 celle du G7<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":357604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":2,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3468],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-357601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donnees-qui-changent-la-donne","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-monde"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":357604,"excerpt":"En 2026, la croissance des BRICS devrait \u00eatre sup\u00e9rieure de 2 points \u00e0 celle du G7","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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