{"id":353051,"date":"2026-08-16T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=353051"},"modified":"2026-08-15T22:49:25","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T20:49:25","slug":"trump-peut-il-faire-basculer-la-campagne-au-bresil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/08\/16\/trump-peut-il-faire-basculer-la-campagne-au-bresil\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump peut-il faire basculer la campagne au Br\u00e9sil&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ce dimanche 16 ao\u00fbt marque le d\u00e9but officiel de la campagne en vue des \u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales d&rsquo;octobre au Br\u00e9sil, au cours desquelles le mandat du pr\u00e9sident et des \u00e9lus du Congr\u00e8s national sera renouvel\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le pr\u00e9sident Lula est actuellement en t\u00eate des sondages. Il se maintient depuis le d\u00e9but de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e autour de 40&#160;% d&rsquo;intentions de vote, soit une avance d&rsquo;environ 7 points sur son principal adversaire, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce dernier ne semble pas avoir b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9, pour le moment, du soutien apport\u00e9 fin juillet par le pr\u00e9sident argentin Javier Milei, qui s&rsquo;\u00e9tait rendu \u00e0 S\u00e3o Paulo pour participer \u00e0 la convention nationale du Parti lib\u00e9ral (PL).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le Premier ministre isra\u00e9lien, Benyamin Netanyahou, avait \u00e9galement pr\u00e9enregistr\u00e9 un message pour affirmer son soutien \u00e0 Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/df7vX\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, Trump n\u2019a pas explicitement appel\u00e9 \u00e0 voter pour Bolsonaro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les proches de l\u2019ex-pr\u00e9sident Jair Bolsonaro, actuellement assign\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9sidence pour avoir tent\u00e9 un coup d\u2019\u00c9tat apr\u00e8s avoir perdu l\u2019\u00e9lection de 2022, cherchent toutefois activement \u00e0 obtenir le soutien du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain, notamment via le fr\u00e8re de Flavio, Eduardo Bolsonaro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il s\u2019est install\u00e9 aux \u00c9tats-Unis en 2025 apr\u00e8s avoir <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/02\/10\/le-fils-bolsonaro-et-lopposition-montenegrine-rejoignent-linternationale-neo-nationaliste-de-bannon\/\">rejoint<\/a> en 2017 \u00ab&#160;The Movement&#160;\u00bb, une organisation cr\u00e9\u00e9e par Steve Bannon qui rassemble aussi des mouvements souverainistes europ\u00e9ens.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Si Lula est donn\u00e9 gagnant dans un sc\u00e9nario de second tour l\u2019opposant \u00e0 Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, sa campagne pourrait \u00eatre affect\u00e9e par l\u2019ouverture, fin juillet, d\u2019une enqu\u00eate visant l\u2019un de ses fils pour trafic d&rsquo;influence et corruption. L\u2019actuel pr\u00e9sident, qui vise un quatri\u00e8me mandat, avait lui-m\u00eame \u00e9t\u00e9 condamn\u00e9 pour corruption en 2017, avant d\u2019\u00eatre lib\u00e9r\u00e9 un an et demi plus tard. Ses condamnations ont \u00e9t\u00e9 annul\u00e9es par la Cour supr\u00eame en 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lula fait figure de dernier dirigeant de gauche \u00e0 r\u00e9sister \u00e0 l\u2019effet domino que conna\u00eet l\u2019Am\u00e9rique latine depuis l\u2019an dernier.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Suite \u00e0 la victoire de Trump, en novembre 2024, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/07\/01\/effet-domino-en-amerique-latine-7-presidents-proches-ou-alignes-sur-trump-ont-ete-elus-depuis-2025\/\">7 pr\u00e9sidents<\/a> proches ou align\u00e9s sur le pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9lus ou r\u00e9\u00e9lus.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/8VZFg\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les tarifs douaniers et les menaces prof\u00e9r\u00e9es par la Maison-Blanche contre Lula, notamment concernant la condamnation de Jair Bolsonaro, semblent renforcer sa campagne plut\u00f4t que de la fragiliser. Depuis l&rsquo;entr\u00e9e en vigueur, le 22 juillet, de droits de douane suppl\u00e9mentaires de 25&#160;% sur un grand nombre de produits, le Br\u00e9sil est la deuxi\u00e8me grande \u00e9conomie la plus lourdement tax\u00e9e par les \u00c9tats-Unis, apr\u00e8s la Chine.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lors du congr\u00e8s national du parti, d\u00e9but ao\u00fbt, le pr\u00e9sident du Parti des travailleurs, Edinho Silva, a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 l&rsquo;\u00e9lection comme un choix entre un \u00ab&#160;Br\u00e9sil autoritaire qui se vend&#160;\u00bb et un \u00ab&#160;Br\u00e9sil souverain qui d\u00e9fend ses int\u00e9r\u00eats&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019autres sujets structurants comme l\u2019\u00e9conomie, la sant\u00e9, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et les gangs devraient toutefois \u00e9galement dominer les d\u00e9bats.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La moiti\u00e9 des \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9clarent ne jamais vouloir voter pour Lula, peu importe quel candidat lui fait face. Une part similaire refuse quant \u00e0 elle de voter pour le fils de Jair Bolsonaro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pour l&rsquo;heure, les tarifs douaniers et les menaces de la Maison-Blanche semblent renforcer la campagne de Lula plut\u00f4t que de la fragiliser.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":353052,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-353051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":353052,"excerpt":"Pour l'heure, les tarifs douaniers et les menaces de la Maison-Blanche semblent renforcer la campagne de Lula plut\u00f4t que de la fragiliser.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump peut-il faire basculer la campagne au Br\u00e9sil ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/08\/16\/trump-peut-il-faire-basculer-la-campagne-au-bresil\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump peut-il faire basculer la campagne au Br\u00e9sil ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pour l&#039;heure, les tarifs douaniers et les menaces de la Maison-Blanche semblent renforcer la campagne de Lula plut\u00f4t que de la fragiliser.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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