{"id":341958,"date":"2026-06-20T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-20T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=341958"},"modified":"2026-06-19T21:54:08","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T19:54:08","slug":"economie-russe-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-moscou-va-consacrer-15-de-son-pib-au-paiement-des-interets-de-sa-dette","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/20\/economie-russe-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-moscou-va-consacrer-15-de-son-pib-au-paiement-des-interets-de-sa-dette\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: au cours de la prochaine d\u00e9cennie, Moscou va consacrer 15&#160;% de son PIB au paiement des int\u00e9r\u00eats de sa dette"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><br>La dette int\u00e9rieure contract\u00e9e par Moscou pour financer sa guerre contre l\u2019Ukraine devrait continuer d&rsquo;augmenter cette ann\u00e9e, en raison notamment de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/\">la hausse<\/a> des d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense. Au cours des dix prochaines ann\u00e9es, la Russie devrait ainsi allouer au moins 15&#160;% de son PIB au paiement des int\u00e9r\u00eats sur sa dette, soit l&rsquo;\u00e9quivalent de l&rsquo;encours total de sa dette publique&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-341958' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/20\/economie-russe-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-moscou-va-consacrer-15-de-son-pib-au-paiement-des-interets-de-sa-dette\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-341958' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-18\/russia-piles-up-debt-as-costs-of-war-in-ukraine-outrun-budget&quot;&gt;Russia Piles Up Debt as Costs of War in Ukraine Outrun Budget&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 18 juin 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon des sources russes, les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense pourraient d\u00e9passer de 5 000 milliards de roubles (60 milliards d&rsquo;euros) soit une hausse de 40&#160;% par rapport au le montant initialement pr\u00e9vu dans le budget.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le co\u00fbt du service de la dette russe a \u00e9t\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/12\/14\/economie-russe-le-cout-du-service-de-la-dette-a-ete-multiplie-par-trois-depuis-le-debut-de-la-guerre\/\">multipli\u00e9 par trois<\/a> depuis le lancement de l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine, en 2022, passant de 1 300 milliards de roubles (15 milliards d\u2019euros) \u00e0 3 200 milliards l\u2019an dernier (38 milliards d\u2019euros).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette ann\u00e9e, Moscou devrait consacrer pr\u00e8s de 4 000 milliards de roubles (48 milliards d\u2019euros) pour sa dette, soit pr\u00e8s de 9&#160;% du budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, ce qui en fait le cinqui\u00e8me poste de d\u00e9pense apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9fense, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale, la politique sociale et l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6M3eR\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la Russie pr\u00e9sente un ratio dette\/PIB inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui de nombreux pays (environ 16&#160;%, contre 138&#160;% en Italie, 118&#160;% en France et 103&#160;% en Espagne), le co\u00fbt de la dette int\u00e9rieure est \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour l&rsquo;\u00c9tat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Malgr\u00e9 une baisse de 6,75 points par rapport au pic de 21&#160;% atteint \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2025, les taux directeurs de la Banque centrale restent deux fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s qu\u2019avant la guerre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les rendements des obligations d\u2019\u00c9tat \u00e0 long terme sont quant \u00e0 eux proches de 15&#160;%, soit environ le double de leurs niveaux sur la p\u00e9riode 2017-2019.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ainsi, si le niveau de la dette russe est assez bas, Moscou a consacr\u00e9 en 2025 la m\u00eame part de son budget au paiement des int\u00e9r\u00eats que le Royaume-Uni, dont la dette repr\u00e9sente plus de 90&#160;% du PIB.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/MpOUT\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En raison du co\u00fbt \u00e9lev\u00e9 de la guerre, la chambre basse du Parlement russe a adopt\u00e9 d\u00e9but juin une loi autorisant le minist\u00e8re des Finances \u00e0 relever le plafond de la dette au-del\u00e0 des 44 000 milliards de roubles (525 milliards d\u2019euros) initialement pr\u00e9vus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/gJ0S0\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Outre le financement de la guerre, la dette sert \u00e9galement \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/\">compenser la baisse<\/a> des recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res qui, malgr\u00e9 la hausse des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie provoqu\u00e9e par la guerre en Iran, sont \u00e0 leur niveau le plus faible niveau depuis 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sur la p\u00e9riode mars-mai, Moscou n\u2019a per\u00e7u que 2 100 milliards de roubles pour ses ventes d\u2019hydrocarbures, contre 2 700 milliards en 2025 et 3 300 milliards en 2024.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon l\u2019\u00e9conomiste allemand Janis Kluge, la part des recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res est pass\u00e9e de 9&#160;% du PIB en 2018 \u00e0 3,5&#160;% au premier trimestre 2026. Cette baisse a \u00e9t\u00e9 partiellement compens\u00e9e par <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/25\/economie-russe-pour-financer-la-guerre-le-kremlin-veut-augmenter-la-tva\/\">une hausse de la TVA<\/a>, qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 relev\u00e9e \u00e0 22&#160;% en d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e, contre 20&#160;% auparavant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sur les cinq premiers mois de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire russe a atteint 6 000 milliards de roubles, soit 2,6&#160;% du produit int\u00e9rieur brut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":341959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-341958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":341959,"excerpt":"Sur les cinq premiers mois de l'ann\u00e9e, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire russe a atteint 6 000 milliards de roubles, soit 2,6 % du produit int\u00e9rieur brut.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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