{"id":341635,"date":"2026-06-19T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=341635"},"modified":"2026-06-19T03:47:08","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T01:47:08","slug":"la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"La hausse des temp\u00e9ratures pourrait co\u00fbter \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie indienne jusqu\u2019\u00e0 4,5&#160;% de son PIB d\u2019ici 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le 27 avril dernier, les 50 villes les plus chaudes de la plan\u00e8te se trouvaient toutes en Inde&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-341635' title='Laura Paddison, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2026\/05\/11\/climate\/50-hottest-cities-aqi-india-heatwave&quot;&gt;\u2018Not normal\u2019&amp;#160;: On one April day, all of the planet\u2019s top 50 hottest cities were in a single country&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;CNN&lt;\/em&gt;, 11 mai 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Le pays, qui compte plus de m\u00e9ga-villes que la Chine (cinq ont une population sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 10 millions d\u2019habitants, contre quatre pour la Chine) subit depuis plusieurs semaines une vague de chaleur intense qui fait r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement monter la temp\u00e9rature au-dessus des 40\u00b0C \u00e0 New Delhi notamment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le changement climatique constitue l\u2019une des menaces les plus importantes pour la sant\u00e9 des travailleurs indiens et pour la croissance du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e en 2020, l\u2019Inde pourrait devenir l\u2019un des premiers pays au monde \u00e0 conna\u00eetre des vagues de chaleur d\u00e9passant le seuil de survie d\u2019un \u00eatre humain en bonne sant\u00e9 assis \u00e0 l\u2019ombre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-341635' title='Jonathan Woetzel, Dickon Pinner, Hamid Samandari, Rajat Gupta, Hauke Engel, Mekala Krishnan et Carter Powis, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/~\/media\/mckinsey\/business%20functions\/sustainability\/our%20insights\/will%20india%20get%20too%20hot%20to%20work\/will-india-get%20too-hot-to-work-vf.pdf&quot;&gt;Will India get too hot to work&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, McKinsey Global Institute, novembre 2020.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 partir de 2030, jusqu\u2019\u00e0 200 millions de personnes (soit 1\/7 de la population du pays) pourraient \u00eatre expos\u00e9es \u00e0 un risque de 5&#160;% de subir une vague de chaleur mortelle, soit une probabilit\u00e9 cumul\u00e9e d\u2019environ 40&#160;% sur la prochaine d\u00e9cennie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En raison du nombre d\u2019heures de travail perdues, entre 2,5 et 4,5&#160;% du PIB pourrait ainsi \u00eatre amput\u00e9 \u00e0 la croissance du pays d\u2019ici 2030, soit 150 \u00e0 250 milliards de dollars.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/LeWtN\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie de l\u2019Inde est particuli\u00e8rement expos\u00e9e \u00e0 la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures en raison de la part \u00e9lev\u00e9e de travailleurs qui passent plusieurs heures par jour <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/02\/linde-frappee-par-la-crise-des-engrais-pourrait-connaitre-cette-annee-sa-pire-mousson-depuis-2015\/\">\u00e0 l&rsquo;ext\u00e9rieur<\/a> ou dans des environnements mal climatis\u00e9s.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En 2024, pr\u00e8s de 250 milliards d\u2019heures de travail auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 perdues en Inde en raison de l\u2019exposition \u00e0 la chaleur, selon une \u00e9tude de Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change, soit plus du double par rapport aux ann\u00e9es 1990&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-341635' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/lancetcountdown.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/India_Lancet-Countdown_2025_Data-Sheet-2.pdf&quot;&gt;Lancet countdown on health and climate change data sheet 2025&lt;\/a&gt;, India, octobre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En plus d\u2019affecter la productivit\u00e9 des travailleurs, la chaleur a \u00e9galement un impact sur la qualit\u00e9 des produits (transpiration, poussi\u00e8re, erreurs\u2026) et perturbe la fiabilit\u00e9 des livraisons&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-341635' title='Azman Usmani, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-09\/extreme-heat-risks-losses-for-indian-suppliers-to-uniqlo-tesco&quot;&gt;Extreme Heat Risks Losses for Indian Suppliers to Uniqlo, Tesco&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 juin 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/EpSLh\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Si elles sont les plus impact\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale par la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures, les m\u00e9galopoles indiennes sont \u00e9galement parmi les plus mal adapt\u00e9es au changement climatique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00c0 New Delhi, pr\u00e8s d\u2019un tiers de la population vivrait dans des logements informels, construits avec des mat\u00e9riaux qui retiennent la chaleur et qui sont d\u00e9pourvus de ventilation&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-341635' title='Shalinee Kumari, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.preventionweb.net\/news\/indian-cities-struggle-plan-heat-most-vulnerable-suffer&quot;&gt;As Indian cities struggle to plan for heat, the most vulnerable suffer&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;PreventionWeb&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 avril 2026.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le manque d\u2019investissement dans les transports publics et la d\u00e9gradation des infrastructures favorisent la congestion, ce qui contribue \u00e0 la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures dans les villes et \u00e0 la d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration de la qualit\u00e9 de l\u2019air.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En raison de l\u2019\u00e9talement urbain et du manque de v\u00e9g\u00e9tation, la capacit\u00e9 de New Delhi \u00e0 se rafra\u00eechir durant la nuit a diminu\u00e9 de 9&#160;% ces 10 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-341635' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-341635' title='Mitashi Singh, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cseindia.org\/making-delhi-heat-resilient-13109&quot;&gt;Making Delhi Heat-Resilient. A roadmap with the focus on vulnerable groups&lt;\/a&gt;, Centre for Science and Environment, 18 mai 2026.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Dans le centre-ville, l\u2019\u00e9cart avec les zones mixtes rurales-urbaines est ainsi proche de 4\u00b0C.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Depuis plusieurs semaines, New Delhi subit une vague de chaleur intense, avec des temp\u00e9ratures d\u00e9passant fr\u00e9quemment les 40\u00b0C.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":341637,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[531],"class_list":["post-341635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-chine"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":341637,"excerpt":"Depuis plusieurs semaines, New Delhi subit une vague de chaleur intense, avec des temp\u00e9ratures d\u00e9passant fr\u00e9quemment les 40\u00b0C.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La hausse des temp\u00e9ratures pourrait co\u00fbter \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie indienne 4,5 % de son PIB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/19\/la-hausse-des-temperatures-pourrait-couter-a-leconomie-indienne-jusqua-45-de-son-pib-dici-2030\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La hausse des temp\u00e9ratures pourrait co\u00fbter \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie indienne 4,5 % de son PIB\" \/>\n<meta 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