{"id":340285,"date":"2026-06-14T15:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=340285"},"modified":"2026-06-14T15:45:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T13:45:31","slug":"economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: hausse des d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense ou artifice comptable&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><br>Selon les derni\u00e8res donn\u00e9es f\u00e9d\u00e9rales analys\u00e9es par l&rsquo;\u00e9conomiste Janis Kluge, les d\u00e9penses militaires de la Russie ont atteint un niveau particuli\u00e8rement \u00e9lev\u00e9 au premier trimestre 2026 par rapport aux objectifs fix\u00e9s initialement dans le budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-340285' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-340285' title='Janis Kluge, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/janiskluge.substack.com\/p\/russian-military-spending-surges?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe079cc3-d455-449b-893a-26871dc9fd7d_1416x1051.png&amp;amp;open=false&quot;&gt;Russian military spending surges by 30&amp;#160;% in early 2026, raising doubts about budget plans&lt;\/a&gt;, 12 juin 2026'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les d\u00e9penses militaires se sont \u00e9tablies \u00e0 5 900 milliards de roubles (70 milliards d\u2019euros), contre 4 500 milliards un an plus t\u00f4t (55 milliards), soit une hausse d&rsquo;environ 30&#160;% en un an.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L&rsquo;essentiel de cette hausse provient des d\u00e9penses classifi\u00e9es (non publiques), en augmentation de 43&#160;% sur un an, qui sont pass\u00e9es de 3 400 (40 milliards) \u00e0 4 900 milliards de roubles (60 milliards).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ainsi, sur un total de 12 800 milliards de roubles (150 milliards d\u2019euros) de d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales, 38,2&#160;% concernaient des lignes classifi\u00e9es. Selon la loi budg\u00e9taire russe pour 2026, environ 85&#160;% de ces d\u00e9penses seraient consacr\u00e9es au secteur militaire.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/lPatI\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La loi de finances pr\u00e9voyait une diminution de l&rsquo;effort de guerre, ramen\u00e9 \u00e0 6,2&#160;% du PIB en 2026, contre 7,8&#160;% en 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sur ce seul trimestre, les d\u00e9penses militaires \u00e9quivalent d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 2,5&#160;% du PIB annuel attendu, et \u00e0 environ 12&#160;% du PIB nominal de la p\u00e9riode (estim\u00e9 \u00e0 48 400 milliards de roubles, soit environ 580 milliards d\u2019euros).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si ces d\u00e9penses ont tendance \u00e0 se mod\u00e9rer habituellement au deuxi\u00e8me et au troisi\u00e8me trimestre (par exemple, en cas de paiements anticip\u00e9s de contrats d&rsquo;armement), un niveau de 9 \u00e0 10&#160;% du PIB sur l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e serait envisageable si le rythme actuel se maintenait.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon des sources cit\u00e9es par <em>Bloomberg<\/em>, des responsables du minist\u00e8re des Finances et de la Banque centrale russes auraient averti Vladimir Poutine que les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es \u00e0 la guerre en Ukraine suivaient une trajectoire insoutenable&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-340285' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-340285' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-01\/russia-finance-officials-tell-putin-war-spending-is-unaffordable&quot;&gt;Russia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is Unaffordable&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er juin 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette hausse pourrait \u00e9galement s&rsquo;expliquer par un simple exercice comptable&#160;: le minist\u00e8re des Finances aurait en effet pu reporter sur 2026 des d\u00e9penses initialement pr\u00e9vues pour 2025, afin de ne pas d\u00e9passer l&rsquo;objectif de d\u00e9ficit affich\u00e9 l&rsquo;an dernier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon Kluge, plusieurs \u00e9l\u00e9ments pourraient aller dans ce sens, notamment des d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales \u00e9tonnamment faibles en d\u00e9cembre 2025 et un volume de d\u00e9penses classifi\u00e9es anormalement bas au quatri\u00e8me trimestre de la m\u00eame ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bloomberg notait \u00e9galement au mois de janvier que les d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires russe de d\u00e9cembre ont baiss\u00e9 de 19&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-340285' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-340285' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-01-19\/russia-slashes-spending-at-end-of-2025-to-meet-budget-gap-target&quot;&gt;Russia Slashes Spending at End of 2025 to Meet Budget Gap Target&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 19 janvier 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense russes ont repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de la moiti\u00e9 du total des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires au premier trimestre 2026. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":340279,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-340285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":340279,"excerpt":"Les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense russes ont repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de la moiti\u00e9 du total des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires au premier trimestre 2026. ","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9conomie russe : hausse des d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense ou artifice comptable ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/14\/economie-russe-hausse-des-depenses-de-defense-ou-artifice-comptable\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c9conomie russe : hausse des d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense ou artifice comptable ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense russes ont repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de la moiti\u00e9 du total des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires au premier trimestre 2026.\" 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