{"id":337546,"date":"2026-06-02T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=337546"},"modified":"2026-06-02T00:07:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T22:07:00","slug":"la-progression-russe-en-ukraine-est-desormais-quasi-nulle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/02\/la-progression-russe-en-ukraine-est-desormais-quasi-nulle\/","title":{"rendered":"La progression russe en Ukraine est d\u00e9sormais quasi-nulle\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>L\u2019arm\u00e9e russe n\u2019a occup\u00e9 que 14 km\u00b2 de territoire ukrainien suppl\u00e9mentaire au cours du mois de mai, selon le groupe d\u2019analystes ukrainiens Deep State&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-337546' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/02\/la-progression-russe-en-ukraine-est-desormais-quasi-nulle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-337546' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/DeepStateUA\/23546&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram de Deep State&lt;\/a&gt;, 1er juin 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Il s\u2019agit de son rythme de progression le plus faible depuis octobre 2023, lorsque le front s\u2019est stabilis\u00e9 suite \u00e0 la lib\u00e9ration de Kherson, la chute de Bakhmout puis la destruction du barrage de Kakhovka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Si le chiffre \u00e9tabli par Deep State est toujours positif, le groupe affirme que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe a dans les faits recul\u00e9 le mois dernier.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Deep State ne publie pas toutes les avanc\u00e9es de l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne en temps r\u00e9el pour des raisons de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, et int\u00e8gre parfois avec du retard certaines \u00e9volutions du front dans ses donn\u00e9es.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le mois dernier, l\u2019Institute for the Study of War estimait que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 perdu 116 km\u00b2 de terrain en avril&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-337546' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/06\/02\/la-progression-russe-en-ukraine-est-desormais-quasi-nulle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-337546' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/understandingwar.org\/research\/russia-ukraine\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-2-2026\/&quot;&gt;Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 2, 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Institute for the Study of War.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/kUZjV\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le ralentissement de la progression de l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe sur le front est \u00e0 mettre en parall\u00e8le avec la hausse du nombre d\u2019assauts, qui a bondi de 37,5&#160;% en mai, d\u00e9passant 7 000 attaques \u2013 soit environ 225 par jour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne de ralentissement malgr\u00e9 une intensification des attaques, d\u00e9j\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/05\/04\/en-ukraine-larmee-russe-attaque-plus-mais-avance-moins\/\">observ\u00e9<\/a> en avril, sugg\u00e8re une d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration consid\u00e9rable de la qualit\u00e9 des assauts russes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>De nombreuses vid\u00e9os diffus\u00e9es sur les r\u00e9seaux sociaux montrent en effet des assauts men\u00e9s par seulement quelques soldats.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Parfois, un combattant est envoy\u00e9 seul. Celui-ci est alors g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00e9limin\u00e9 par un drone ou un tir avant d\u2019atteindre son objectif.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/sen1D\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Il est difficile de voir comment l\u2019\u00e9tat-major russe pourrait renverser la tendance \u00e0 son avantage sur le front, tant les raisons de son incapacit\u00e9 \u00e0 progresser sont structurelles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L&rsquo;avantage dont jouit Moscou en mati\u00e8re de personnel et de mat\u00e9riel ne suffit plus \u00e0 lui assurer une domination tactique sur le front.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La saturation du front par des drones FPV de reconnaissance et d\u2019attaque a permis d&rsquo;\u00e9tendre la zone de combat jusqu\u2019\u00e0 plusieurs dizaines de kilom\u00e8tres en profondeur.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tandis que les troupes et les v\u00e9hicules situ\u00e9s \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 du front sont syst\u00e9matiquement rep\u00e9r\u00e9s puis cibl\u00e9s, Kiev m\u00e8ne \u00e9galement des frappes contre des d\u00e9p\u00f4ts de carburant et de munitions, des centres de commandement, des n\u0153uds logistiques, etc.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Si cet \u00e9quilibre venait \u00e0 perdurer, l\u2019Ukraine devrait continuer d&rsquo;allouer des ressources consid\u00e9rables \u00e0 son arm\u00e9e pour maintenir une pression suffisante sur le front. Cela t\u00e9moigne toutefois de l\u2019\u00e9chec de Moscou, qui subit toujours environ 1 000 pertes par jour, soit autant qu\u2019il y a un an, sans parvenir \u00e0 obtenir de r\u00e9sultats significatifs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pr\u00e8s de 34 000 combattants russes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tu\u00e9s ou bless\u00e9s sur le front en Ukraine le mois dernier, soit environ 1 100 par jour, pour une progression de 14 km\u00b2, soit la plus faible depuis l\u2019automne 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":337548,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-337546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":337548,"excerpt":"Pr\u00e8s de 34 000 combattants russes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tu\u00e9s ou bless\u00e9s sur le front en Ukraine le mois dernier, soit environ 1 100 par jour, pour une progression de 14 km\u00b2, soit la plus faible depuis l\u2019automne 2023.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site 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