{"id":333372,"date":"2026-05-13T16:17:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T14:17:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=333372"},"modified":"2026-05-13T16:17:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T14:17:29","slug":"deux-mois-et-demi-apres-le-debut-de-la-guerre-le-trafic-dans-le-detroit-dormuz-sest-effondre-de-97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/05\/13\/deux-mois-et-demi-apres-le-debut-de-la-guerre-le-trafic-dans-le-detroit-dormuz-sest-effondre-de-97\/","title":{"rendered":"Deux mois et demi apr\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de la guerre, le trafic dans le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz s\u2019est effondr\u00e9 de 97&#160;%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Avant le lancement de la guerre contre l\u2019Iran et le blocage du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/observatoire-de-la-bataille-dormuz\/\">d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz<\/a> par T\u00e9h\u00e9ran dans les jours qui ont suivi, 135 navires en moyenne entraient ou sortaient chaque jour du golfe Persique. Au cours des 7 derniers jours, ce chiffre est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 4 par jour. Il s\u2019\u00e9tablit \u00e0 10 sur la p\u00e9riode allant du 1er mars au 12 mai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le volume de marchandises qui transite par le d\u00e9troit a ainsi chut\u00e9 de 97&#160;%, et a atteint ces derniers jours son niveau le plus faible depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre&#160;: 120 000 tonnes par jour en moyenne.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si ces chiffres ne tiennent pas compte d\u2019une partie du commerce iranien, notamment du p\u00e9trole transport\u00e9 sur des navires de la flotte fant\u00f4me qui ne communiquent pas leurs positions, ce trafic a lui aussi ralenti en raison du blocus am\u00e9ricain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/izOfK\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Un signe du ralentissement du commerce de p\u00e9trole iranien, dont la majeure partie est export\u00e9e vers la Chine, est l\u2019arr\u00eat depuis le 8 mai du chargement de p\u00e9troliers sur l\u2019\u00eele de Kharg, o\u00f9 se trouve le principal terminal d\u2019exportation du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Des images satellites europ\u00e9ennes ne montrent en effet aucune activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente sur l\u2019\u00eele, o\u00f9 des p\u00e9troliers continuaient \u00e0 \u00eatre charg\u00e9s quasi-quotidiennement apr\u00e8s l\u2019imposition du blocus am\u00e9ricain, il y a un mois, le 13 avril&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-333372' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/05\/13\/deux-mois-et-demi-apres-le-debut-de-la-guerre-le-trafic-dans-le-detroit-dormuz-sest-effondre-de-97\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-333372' title='Julian Lee, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-12\/iran-kharg-island-oil-shipments-show-first-prolonged-halt-since-start-of-war&quot;&gt;Iran\u2019s Kharg Island Oil Shipments Show First Prolonged Halt Since Start of War&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 mai 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon des sources iraniennes, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran aurait d\u00e9j\u00e0 commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9duire sa production de p\u00e9trole afin de ralentir la vitesse \u00e0 laquelle ses r\u00e9serves terrestres se remplissent.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un remplissage \u00e0 100&#160;% des r\u00e9serves iraniennes contraindrait les producteurs \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/13\/un-blocus-americain-du-detroit-dormuz-pourrait-couter-a-liran-plus-de-400-millions-de-dollars-par-jour\/\">fermer leurs puits<\/a>, ce qui pourrait avoir un impact sur le long terme et conduire \u00e0 la perte d\u00e9finitive d\u2019une capacit\u00e9 de production de 300 000 \u00e0 500 000 barils par jour (9 \u00e0 15 milliards de dollars de recettes par an).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4FdIj\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans un rapport publi\u00e9 hier, mardi 12 mai, l\u2019Agence am\u00e9ricaine d&rsquo;information sur l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie estime que les stocks mondiaux de p\u00e9trole diminuent en moyenne de 2,6 millions de barils par jour \u2014 soit une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de 760&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 ses pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes pr\u00e9visions d\u2019avril (300 000 barils par jour)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-333372' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/05\/13\/deux-mois-et-demi-apres-le-debut-de-la-guerre-le-trafic-dans-le-detroit-dormuz-sest-effondre-de-97\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-333372' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/pdf\/steo_full.pdf&quot;&gt;Short-Term Energy Outlook&lt;\/a&gt;, U.S. Energy Information Administration, 12 mai 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>M\u00eame si les flux de p\u00e9trole dans le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz reprenaient d\u00e8s le mois de juin \u2013 un sc\u00e9nario qui semble aujourd\u2019hui optimiste \u2013, les niveaux d\u2019exportation devraient rester inf\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 la p\u00e9riode pr\u00e9-guerre au moins jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019agence am\u00e9ricaine anticipe ainsi un prix du p\u00e9trole \u00e9lev\u00e9 au moins jusqu\u2019en 2027, avec un baril de Brent moyen \u00e0 95 dollars cette ann\u00e9e et 79 dollars l\u2019an prochain.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019an dernier, un baril de Brent s\u2019\u00e9changeait contre 69 dollars en moyenne.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Au cours des 7 derniers jours, 4 navires par jour en moyenne sont entr\u00e9s ou sortis du golfe Persique, contre 135 avant le d\u00e9but de la guerre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":333376,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4813],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[530],"class_list":["post-333372","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran-la-guerre-du-changement-de-regime","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-asie-intermediaire"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":333376,"excerpt":"Au cours des 7 derniers jours, 4 navires par jour en moyenne sont entr\u00e9s ou sortis du golfe Persique, contre 135 avant le d\u00e9but de la guerre.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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