{"id":327835,"date":"2026-04-16T15:30:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T13:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=327835"},"modified":"2026-04-16T15:31:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T13:31:02","slug":"sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/","title":{"rendered":"Sur le front ukrainien, l\u2019offensive russe de printemps s\u2019enlise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Cela fait pr\u00e8s d\u2019un mois que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe a lanc\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/24\/larmee-russe-a-lance-son-offensive-de-printemps\/\">son offensive de printemps<\/a> en Ukraine. Toutefois, au cours des deux derni\u00e8res semaines, soit depuis le d\u00e9but du mois d\u2019avril, Moscou n\u2019a conduit aucune op\u00e9ration offensive majeure sur la ligne de front, mais a regroup\u00e9 ses forces et men\u00e9 plusieurs ajustements de ses plans de campagne&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-327835' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-327835' title='Dmytro Putiata, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twomarines.substack.com\/p\/battlefield-update-march-31-april&quot;&gt;Battlefield Update&amp;#160;: March 31 \u2013 April 11&lt;\/a&gt;, Two Marines, 15 avril 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cette baisse de l\u2019intensit\u00e9 est perceptible dans les chiffres communiqu\u00e9s par l\u2019\u00c9tat-major des forces arm\u00e9es ukrainiennes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le nombre d\u2019assauts russes quotidien, mesur\u00e9 sur une moyenne de 30 jours, est ainsi pass\u00e9 de 200 en novembre \u00e0 156 au mercredi 15 avril.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il s\u2019agit du niveau le plus faible enregistr\u00e9 depuis un an.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/LKjHx\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ces chiffres n\u2019indiquent pas que les combats sont \u00e0 l\u2019arr\u00eat sur le front \u2014 ces derniers jours, Moscou a notamment intensifi\u00e9 ses efforts offensifs dans le secteur de Kostiantynivka, dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-327835' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-327835' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/zvizdecmanhustu\/3352&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram de Zv\u0438\u0437\u0434\u0435\u0446 \u041c\u0430\u043d\u0433\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0443&lt;\/a&gt;, 15 avril 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> \u2014, mais plut\u00f4t que le commandement russe peine \u00e0 r\u00e9g\u00e9n\u00e9rer ses forces suite \u00e0 de lourdes pertes mat\u00e9rielles et humaines subies durant l\u2019hiver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La disponibilit\u00e9 de ressources humaines est particuli\u00e8rement pr\u00e9occupante pour Moscou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon l\u2019\u00e9conomiste Janis Kluge, les donn\u00e9es budg\u00e9taires r\u00e9gionales russes indiquent que le rythme de recrutement s\u2019est contract\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 20&#160;% entre le premier trimestre 2025 et 2026, passant de 1 100 nouvelles recrues par jour en moyenne \u00e0 900 cette ann\u00e9e&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-327835' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-327835' title='Janis Kluge, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/janiskluge.substack.com\/p\/russian-recruitment-fell-by-20-in&quot;&gt;Russian recruitment fell by 20&amp;#160;% in Q1\/2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Russianomics, 12 avril 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>La diminution du nombre d\u2019hommes disponible pourrait, si la tendance se confirme au cours des prochains mois, avoir un impact sur les objectifs militaires fix\u00e9s par le pouvoir russe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon sources militaires ukrainiennes, le Kremlin veut capturer la ville de Kostiantynivka d\u2019ici le 25 avril, et toute la r\u00e9gion de Donetsk d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e \u2014 deux objectifs qui semblent, pour l\u2019heure, irr\u00e9alistes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-327835' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-327835' title='\u0423\u043b\u044c\u044f\u043d\u0430 \u0411\u0435\u0437\u043f\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e et \u041c\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044f \u041a\u0443\u0447\u0435\u0440\u044f\u0432\u0435\u0446, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/ukr\/news\/rosiya-hoche-okupuvati-kostyantinivku-25-1775031056.html&quot;&gt;\u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0445\u043e\u0447\u0435\u0442 \u043e\u043a\u043a\u0443\u043f\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0438\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043a\u0443 \u0434\u043e 25 \u0430\u043f\u0440\u0435\u043b\u044f, &amp;#8211; \u0412\u0421\u0423&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;RBC-Ukraine&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er avril 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le directeur adjoint de la Direction des renseignements de d\u00e9fense ukrainienne, Vadym Skibitskyi, estime quant \u00e0 lui que Moscou vise \u00e0 s&#8217;emparer de l&rsquo;ensemble de la totalit\u00e9 du Donbass, qui inclut \u00e9galement la r\u00e9gion de Louhansk, actuellement contr\u00f4l\u00e9e \u00e0 plus de 99&#160;% par l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe, d&rsquo;ici septembre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-327835' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-327835' title='Christopher Miller, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d47abaa2-8cfc-48eb-a996-909580b8c816?syn-25a6b1a6=1&quot;&gt;Russia hits Ukraine with largest air attack this year&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 16 avril 2026.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/XP1k9\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Plusieurs analystes estiment que les \u00e9checs offensifs r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s contraignent le commandement russe \u00e0 diminuer le nombre de secteurs dans lesquels il conduit des op\u00e9rations afin de se concentrer sur un nombre r\u00e9duit d\u2019objectifs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019enlisement russe dans le secteur de Kostiantynivka et Droujkivka, sur la route de Kramatorsk, r\u00e9duit consid\u00e9rablement la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une perc\u00e9e en direction de la ceinture de forteresses ukrainiennes de Donetsk.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette situation r\u00e9sulte autant d&rsquo;une d\u00e9connexion entre les objectifs fix\u00e9s par le Kremlin et les capacit\u00e9s de l&rsquo;arm\u00e9e russe que d&rsquo;une strat\u00e9gie efficace de contre-attaques localis\u00e9es men\u00e9es par l&rsquo;arm\u00e9e ukrainienne.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les assauts ukrainiens en direction d\u2019Oleksandrivka et d&rsquo;Houlia\u00efpole, dans l\u2019oblast de Zaporijia, contraignent en effet le commandement russe \u00e0 allouer des ressources qui aurait pu \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es dans le cadre des efforts offensifs visant les forteresses de Donetsk, et \u00e0 puiser dans ses r\u00e9serves.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tandis que l\u2019offensive de printemps lanc\u00e9e le mois dernier par l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe en Ukraine peine \u00e0 engranger des succ\u00e8s sur le front, le Kremlin continue de fixer des objectifs militaires maximalistes.<\/p>\n<p>Selon les services de renseignement ukrainiens, le pouvoir russe souhaiterait s\u2019emparer du Donbass d\u2019ici septembre, ce qui semble irr\u00e9aliste au vu de la dynamique actuelle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":327839,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4850],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-327835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","editorial_format-briefings","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":327839,"excerpt":"Tandis que l\u2019offensive de printemps lanc\u00e9e le mois dernier par l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe en Ukraine peine \u00e0 engranger des succ\u00e8s sur le front, le Kremlin continue de fixer des objectifs militaires maximalistes.\r\n\r\nSelon les services de renseignement ukrainiens, le pouvoir russe souhaiterait s\u2019emparer du Donbass d\u2019ici septembre, ce qui semble irr\u00e9aliste au vu de la dynamique actuelle.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Sur le front ukrainien, l\u2019offensive russe de printemps s\u2019enlise<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sur le front ukrainien, l\u2019offensive russe de printemps s\u2019enlise\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Tandis que l\u2019offensive de printemps lanc\u00e9e le mois dernier par l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe en Ukraine peine \u00e0 engranger des succ\u00e8s sur le front, le Kremlin continue de fixer des objectifs militaires maximalistes.  Selon les services de renseignement ukrainiens, le pouvoir russe souhaiterait s\u2019emparer du Donbass d\u2019ici septembre, ce qui semble irr\u00e9aliste au vu de la dynamique actuelle.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/sur-le-front-ukrainien-loffensive-russe-de-printemps-senlise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-16T13:30:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-16T13:31:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/gc-share-enlisement-russe-ua.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1890\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1056\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta 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