{"id":320464,"date":"2026-03-04T11:49:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T10:49:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=320464"},"modified":"2026-03-04T11:49:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T10:49:58","slug":"le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/","title":{"rendered":"Le r\u00e9gime iranien a-t-il encore les capacit\u00e9s de tirer des missiles&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Une analyse pr\u00e9liminaire, sur la base d\u2019estimations r\u00e9alis\u00e9es par des experts et d\u2019informations en source ouverte, sugg\u00e8re que l\u2019Iran a tir\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de 700 missiles en quatre jours, depuis le lancement des op\u00e9rations isra\u00e9lo-am\u00e9ricaines le 28 f\u00e9vrier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-320464' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-320464' title='Andrew Fox, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/mrandrewfox.substack.com\/p\/lions-roar-day-four-update&quot;&gt;Lion&amp;rsquo;s Roar, Day Four update&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, Substack, 3 mars 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hier, mardi 3 mars, seulement 50 missiles auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 tir\u00e9s par T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, soit sept fois moins que lors du premier jour de la guerre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019analyste de l\u2019Eurasia Group Firas Maksad note une baisse de pr\u00e8s de 80&#160;% des missiles tir\u00e9s sur Isra\u00ebl&#160;: 90 samedi, contre seulement 20 hier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-320464' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-320464' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/FirasMaksad\/status\/2028972933121462620&quot;&gt;Publication de Firas Maksad sur X&lt;\/a&gt;, 4 mars 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C\u2019est significativement moins que durant la Guerre des douze jours, en juin 2025, lorsque le territoire isra\u00e9lien avait \u00e9t\u00e9 vis\u00e9 par plus de 500 missiles iraniens.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/rBFkb\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La forte baisse de la cadence iranienne de tirs de missiles en l\u2019espace de quelques jours indique que les frappes am\u00e9ricaines et isra\u00e9liennes ont consid\u00e9rablement d\u00e9grad\u00e9 les capacit\u00e9s de riposte de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran. Tsahal revendique avoir d\u00e9truit \u00e0 ce jour environ 300 lanceurs de missiles iraniens, ce qui repr\u00e9sente plus de la moiti\u00e9 de la capacit\u00e9 totale de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Avec des stocks estim\u00e9s \u00e0 2 500 missiles par l\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne au d\u00e9but de la guerre, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran pourrait n\u2019avoir \u00e9puis\u00e9 \u00e0 ce jour que 30&#160;% de ses r\u00e9serves&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-320464' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-320464' title='Lisa Beyer et Marissa Newman, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-03-03\/how-many-missiles-does-iran-have-what-are-its-drone-capabilities&quot;&gt;What Are Iran\u2019s Missile and Drone Capabilities&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 3 mars 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Toutefois, sans lanceurs, ces missiles sont <em>de facto <\/em>inutilisables, ce qui contraint les forces iraniennes \u00e0 se reposer principalement sur des drones, moins destructeurs mais disponibles en plus grand nombre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/nOmA3\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Pour les pays du Golfe, et notamment les \u00c9mirats arabes unis, qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 vis\u00e9s par 65&#160;% des projectiles tir\u00e9s par l\u2019Iran depuis le 28 f\u00e9vrier, l\u2019\u00e9puisement des capacit\u00e9s iraniennes de frappes de missiles pourrait r\u00e9duire consid\u00e9rablement <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/03\/leau-potable-le-talon-dachille-des-pays-du-golfe-face-aux-frappes-iraniennes\/\">les risques pos\u00e9s<\/a> par la riposte de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-320464' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-320464' title='Nadim Koteich, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/opinion\/article-888692&quot;&gt;Targeting the new Middle East&amp;#160;: Iran attacked the UAE because it cannot defeat its model &amp;#8211; opinion&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Jerusalem Post&lt;\/em&gt;, 3 mars 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les drones, contrairement aux missiles, qui n\u00e9cessitent des intercepteurs tr\u00e8s co\u00fbteux, au prix unitaire de plusieurs millions de dollars, peuvent \u00eatre d\u00e9truits par des munitions moins on\u00e9reuses, comme des roquettes APKWS.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine notamment dispose \u00e9galement de syst\u00e8mes C-RAM et Coyote, ainsi que de capacit\u00e9s de brouillage avec des moyens de guerre \u00e9lectronique, similaires \u00e0 ceux utilis\u00e9s par les arm\u00e9es russe et ukrainienne.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>En privant T\u00e9h\u00e9ran de sa capacit\u00e9 de riposter \u00e0 l\u2019aide de missiles balistiques, les arm\u00e9es am\u00e9ricaine et isra\u00e9lienne pourraient consacrer plus de moyens au ciblage d\u2019infrastructures nucl\u00e9aires et de sites de production d\u2019armement. L\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne a frapp\u00e9 hier, mardi 3, le complexe nucl\u00e9aire de Minzadehei, dans la province de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, apr\u00e8s avoir vis\u00e9 le 2 mars avec l\u2019arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine le site de Natanz, dans la r\u00e9gion d\u2019Ispahan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En quatre jours, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran aurait ripost\u00e9 avec pr\u00e8s de 700 missiles et plus d\u2019un millier de drones contre Isra\u00ebl, les \u00c9tats du Golfe et les bases et ambassades am\u00e9ricaines au Moyen-Orient.<\/p>\n<p>Apr\u00e8s une campagne isra\u00e9lo-am\u00e9ricaine de destruction syst\u00e9matique des lanceurs iraniens, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran pourrait toutefois ne plus \u00eatre en mesure de tirer des missiles, ce qui contraindrait le r\u00e9gime \u00e0 se reposer principalement sur des drones.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":320468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4813],"tags":[],"geo":[530],"class_list":["post-320464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran-la-guerre-du-changement-de-regime","geo-asie-intermediaire"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le r\u00e9gime iranien a-t-il encore les capacit\u00e9s de tirer des missiles ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/04\/le-regime-iranien-a-t-il-encore-les-capacites-de-tirer-des-missiles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le r\u00e9gime iranien a-t-il encore les capacit\u00e9s de tirer des missiles ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En quatre jours, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran aurait ripost\u00e9 avec pr\u00e8s de 700 missiles et plus d\u2019un millier de drones contre Isra\u00ebl, les \u00c9tats du Golfe et les bases et ambassades am\u00e9ricaines au Moyen-Orient.  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