{"id":320001,"date":"2026-03-02T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=320001"},"modified":"2026-03-01T22:23:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T21:23:47","slug":"la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/02\/la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine\/","title":{"rendered":"La crise p\u00e9troli\u00e8re au Moyen-Orient va-t-elle profiter \u00e0 Poutine&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Face aux sanctions am\u00e9ricaines et europ\u00e9ennes et aux risques auxquels s\u2019exposent les acheteurs en important du p\u00e9trole russe, Moscou a \u00e9t\u00e9 contraint de baisser consid\u00e9rablement les prix de ses barils d\u2019Oural afin de maintenir ses exportations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les barils de p\u00e9trole russe provenant des ports occidentaux du pays se vendent d\u00e9sormais avec une d\u00e9cote moyenne de plus de 30 dollars par rapport au Brent, soit l\u2019\u00e9cart le plus important depuis le printemps 2023&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-320001' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/02\/la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-320001' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-02-23\/russian-oil-most-discounted-since-2023-on-western-sanctions&quot;&gt;Russian Oil Most Discounted Since 2023 on Western Sanctions&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 23 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Malgr\u00e9 les r\u00e9ductions offertes par Moscou pour encourager les acheteurs, le nombre de barils de brut russe en mer a \u00e9t\u00e9 presque multipli\u00e9 par deux depuis janvier 2025, et atteint 135 millions de barils.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon le CREA, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/24\/en-quatre-ans-de-guerre-les-revenus-fossiles-russes-ont-diminue-de-27\/\">les revenus fossiles russes ont diminu\u00e9 de 19&#160;% l\u2019an dernier<\/a>, et de 27&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 2021, avant le lancement de l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/dkXki\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 les propos du ministre des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res iranien, Abbas Araghchi, qui a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 hier \u00e0 <em>Al Jazeera <\/em>que T\u00e9h\u00e9ran n\u2019avait \u00ab&#160;aucune intention&#160;\u00bb de fermer le d\u00e9troit, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/01\/trois-navires-attaques-pres-du-detroit-dormuz-se-dirige-t-on-vers-la-crise-energetique-la-plus-importante-depuis-2022\/\">au moins trois p\u00e9troliers ont \u00e9t\u00e9 cibl\u00e9s par des frappes<\/a> hier, dimanche 1er, vraisemblablement iraniennes. Les signaux num\u00e9riques sugg\u00e8rent que le trafic des p\u00e9troliers via Ormuz a quasiment cess\u00e9, apr\u00e8s une baisse de 70&#160;% du trafic maritime global enregistr\u00e9e entre vendredi et samedi&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-320001' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/02\/la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-320001' title='Christiaan Triebert et Alexander Cardia, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/02\/28\/world\/middleeast\/strait-of-hormuz-ship-traffic.html&quot;&gt;Shipping Traffic Through Strait of Hormuz Plummets After Attacks on Iran&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The New York Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 28 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique qui se dessine au Moyen-Orient pourrait s\u2019av\u00e9rer tr\u00e8s opportune pour la Russie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La majeure partie des analyses anticipent une forte hausse du prix du baril, qui pourrait atteindre pr\u00e8s de 110 dollars en cas de fermeture effective du d\u00e9troit \u00e0 la navigation, selon Bloomberg Economics.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un tel sc\u00e9nario pourrait retirer 15 millions de barils par jour du march\u00e9, ce qui r\u00e9duirait consid\u00e9rablement l\u2019offre mondiale et pourrait rendre attractifs les 135 millions de barils d\u2019Oural actuellement en mer.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ceux-ci pourraient notamment \u00eatre sollicit\u00e9s par l\u2019Inde \u2014 qui repr\u00e9sente 15&#160;% du p\u00e9trole transport\u00e9 par le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz \u2014, dont les importations de p\u00e9trole russe ont chut\u00e9 depuis le mois de d\u00e9cembre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/flQrX\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La capacit\u00e9 des exportateurs russes \u00e0 tirer profit de la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique au Moyen-Orient d\u00e9pendra en grande partie de sa dur\u00e9e. Une reprise des n\u00e9gociations entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l\u2019Iran, \u00e9voqu\u00e9e par Trump hier, dimanche 1er, pourrait produire une hausse limit\u00e9e du baril et ainsi rassurer les assureurs et les march\u00e9s quant \u00e0 la reprise d\u2019un trafic maritime stable dans le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un blocage effectif du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz pourrait de nouveau rendre le p\u00e9trole russe tr\u00e8s attractif pour des acheteurs d\u00e9sireux de s\u00e9curiser un approvisionnement malgr\u00e9 les sanctions impos\u00e9es par Washington.<\/p>\n<p>Avec un prix du baril de Brent plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, le Kremlin pourrait consid\u00e9rablement b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier de la guerre au Moyen-Orient.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":320005,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"geo":[530],"class_list":["post-320001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","geo-asie-intermediaire"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La crise p\u00e9troli\u00e8re au Moyen-Orient va-t-elle profiter \u00e0 Poutine ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/02\/la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La crise p\u00e9troli\u00e8re au Moyen-Orient va-t-elle profiter \u00e0 Poutine ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Un blocage effectif du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz pourrait de nouveau rendre le p\u00e9trole russe tr\u00e8s attractif pour des acheteurs d\u00e9sireux de s\u00e9curiser un approvisionnement malgr\u00e9 les sanctions impos\u00e9es par Washington.  Avec un prix du baril de Brent plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, le Kremlin pourrait consid\u00e9rablement b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier de la guerre au Moyen-Orient.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/03\/02\/la-crise-petroliere-au-moyen-orient-va-t-elle-profiter-a-poutine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-02T05:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/gc-share-guerre-profite-poutine.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"810\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" 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