{"id":316716,"date":"2026-02-11T18:35:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T17:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=316716"},"modified":"2026-02-11T18:36:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T17:36:00","slug":"en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/","title":{"rendered":"En Ukraine, l\u2019organisation d\u2019\u00e9lections en temps de guerre pourrait favoriser Valeri Zaloujny"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le cabinet de Zelensky n\u2019a, pour l\u2019heure, pas encore confirm\u00e9 son intention d\u2019annoncer, le 24 f\u00e9vrier, \u00e0 l\u2019occasion du quatri\u00e8me anniversaire du lancement de l\u2019invasion russe, la tenue d\u2019une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle et d\u2019un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur un accord avec la Russie pour mettre fin \u00e0 la guerre d\u2019ici le 15 mai&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-316716' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-316716' title='Christopher Miller, Henry Foy et Max Seddon, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/50d3d86b-2d2a-4d06-845e-a4e089382cad&quot;&gt;Zelenskyy planning elections in Ukraine and vote on peace deal&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 11 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis l\u2019entr\u00e9e en vigueur de la loi martiale en f\u00e9vrier 2022, l\u2019organisation d\u2019\u00e9lections est impossible en Ukraine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019article 108 de la Constitution pr\u00e9voit que le chef de l\u2019\u00c9tat doit remplir ses fonctions jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce qu\u2019un nouveau pr\u00e9sident soit \u00e9lu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Des travaux ont \u00e9t\u00e9 lanc\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019initiative de Zelensky pour modifier la l\u00e9gislation \u00e9lectorale durant la loi martiale, mais aucun amendement n\u2019a pour l\u2019heure \u00e9t\u00e9 adopt\u00e9 par la Rada&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-316716' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-316716' title='Tim Zadorozhnyy, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/zelensky-wont-announce-elections-on-invasion-anniversary\/&quot;&gt;Zelensky won&amp;rsquo;t announce elections on war anniversary amid talks of US-driven timeline, source says&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Kyiv Independent&lt;\/em&gt;, 11 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/U8R5A\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelensky demeure une figure tr\u00e8s populaire en Ukraine. Si la confiance des \u00e9lecteurs a diminu\u00e9 par rapport aux premiers mois de l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle, qui avaient contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 un \u00ab&#160;effet drapeau&#160;\u00bb, celle-ci est toujours sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 60&#160;% selon la derni\u00e8re enqu\u00eate r\u00e9alis\u00e9e fin janvier par le KIIS&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-316716' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-316716' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.kiis.com.ua\/?lang=ukr&amp;amp;cat=reports&amp;amp;id=1584&amp;amp;page=1&quot;&gt;\u0414\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0456\u043a\u0430 \u0434\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0440\u0438 \u041f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0443 \u0412. \u0417\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443, \u0441\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0439\u043d\u044f\u0442\u0442\u044f \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0441\u043f\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432 \u0443\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0457 \u0432\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d \u0434\u0435\u043c\u043e\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0456\u0457&amp;#160;: \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u043e\u043f\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e 23-29 \u0441\u0456\u0447\u043d\u044f 2026 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0443&lt;\/a&gt;, KIIS, 4 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 ce jour, le principal rival de Zelensky semble \u00eatre l&rsquo;ancien commandant en chef des arm\u00e9es, Valeri Zaloujny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Une enqu\u00eate Ipsos r\u00e9alis\u00e9e en novembre place Zaloujny devant Zelensky au cours d\u2019un hypoth\u00e9tique premier tour, avec 23&#160;% d\u2019intentions de vote contre 20&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zaloujny, en poste \u00e0 l\u2019ambassade de Londres depuis 2024, semble par ailleurs disposer d\u2019une r\u00e9serve plus importante&#160;: 7&#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs seulement disent \u00ab&#160;refuser&#160;\u00bb de voter pour lui, contre 27&#160;% pour Zelensky, selon ce m\u00eame sondage.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La majeure partie des sondages indiquent que, dans l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019un second tour l\u2019opposant \u00e0 Zelensky, Zaloujny remporterait la majorit\u00e9 des voix (entre 60 \u00e0 70&#160;%, selon les enqu\u00eates)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-316716' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-316716' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/socis.kiev.ua\/ua\/2025-12-24\/&quot;&gt;\u0417\u0430\u0433\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0430 \u0441\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456.\u0411\u0410\u0420\u041e\u041c\u0415\u0422\u0420 &amp;#8211; \u0413\u0440\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u044c, 2025&lt;\/a&gt;, SOCIS, 24 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/QfVxA\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Zaloujny, qui avait \u00e9t\u00e9 nomm\u00e9 \u00e0 la t\u00eate des arm\u00e9es ukrainiennes seulement quelques mois avant le lancement de l\u2019invasion russe, est devenu un h\u00e9ros de guerre pour avoir repouss\u00e9 les forces russes. Si des rumeurs annon\u00e7aient qu\u2019il allait quitter son poste \u00e0 Londres pour revenir en Ukraine en janvier, une publication sur son compte Telegram dat\u00e9e du 4 f\u00e9vrier indique qu\u2019il n\u2019a pas renonc\u00e9 \u00e0 ses fonctions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son temps pass\u00e9 hors d\u2019Ukraine pourrait jouer en sa faveur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/28\/les-scandales-de-corruption-menacent-le-soutien-a-lukraine\/\">scandales de corruption<\/a> de ces derniers mois ont \u00e9clabouss\u00e9 le gouvernement de Zelensky, poussant fin novembre \u00e0 la d\u00e9mission son influent directeur de cabinet, Andriy Yermak, et plusieurs ministres.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019image de Zaloujny est par ailleurs toujours associ\u00e9e \u00e0 celle de l\u2019arm\u00e9e, l\u2019institution qui suscite le plus grand degr\u00e9 de confiance de la population en Ukraine, avec 81&#160;% contre seulement 26&#160;% pour la pr\u00e9sidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Son opposition \u00e0 la tenue d\u2019\u00e9lections alors que la guerre est toujours active correspond \u00e0 l\u2019opinion de la majorit\u00e9 des Ukrainiens.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zaloujny est par ailleurs rest\u00e9 discret sur ses \u00e9ventuelles ambitions politiques, et n\u2019a ni confirm\u00e9 ni ni\u00e9 son intention de se pr\u00e9senter si un scrutin \u00e9tait organis\u00e9.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019Ukraine aurait commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 pr\u00e9parer l\u2019organisation d\u2019une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle et d\u2019un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur un \u00e9ventuel accord de paix avec la Russie, avant le 15 mai, sous la pression de la Maison-Blanche.<\/p>\n<p>Les derniers sondages indiquent que l\u2019ex-commandant en chef des arm\u00e9es, Valeri Zaloujny, serait le favori devant Zelensky.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":316721,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-316716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>En Ukraine, des \u00e9lections durant la guerre pourraient favoriser Zaloujny<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/11\/en-ukraine-lorganisation-delections-en-temps-de-guerre-pourrait-favoriser-valeri-zaloujny\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En Ukraine, des \u00e9lections durant la guerre pourraient favoriser Zaloujny\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019Ukraine aurait commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 pr\u00e9parer l\u2019organisation d\u2019une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle et d\u2019un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur un \u00e9ventuel accord de paix avec la Russie, avant le 15 mai, sous la pression de la Maison-Blanche.  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