{"id":315771,"date":"2026-02-03T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=315771"},"modified":"2026-02-02T21:09:49","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T20:09:49","slug":"le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Le r\u00e9gime cubain s\u2019appr\u00eate-t-il \u00e0 c\u00e9der aux menaces de Trump&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La capture du dirigeant venezuelien Maduro d\u00e9but janvier et son remplacement par sa vice-pr\u00e9sidente, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/29\/pres-de-quatre-semaines-apres-la-capture-de-maduro-quest-ce-qui-a-change-au-venezuela\/\">Delcy Rodr\u00edguez, d\u00e9sormais align\u00e9e sur les int\u00e9r\u00eats de Washington<\/a>, a consid\u00e9rablement impact\u00e9 la situation \u00e0 Cuba.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis la fin des ann\u00e9es 1990 et l\u2019arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir d\u2019Hugo Ch\u00e1vez, l\u2019\u00eele b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie d\u2019un approvisionnement stable en p\u00e9trole \u00e0 prix r\u00e9duit.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Parmi les dizaines de militaires tu\u00e9s lors de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/04\/lenlevement-de-maduro-analyse-operationnelle-et-consequences-strategiques\/\">l\u2019op\u00e9ration militaire \u00e0 Caracas<\/a> le 3 janvier, 32 \u00e9taient des Cubains appartenant \u00e0 la garde rapproch\u00e9e de Maduro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/gplkp\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les \u00c9tats-Unis ont mis fin aux exportations de p\u00e9trole venezu\u00e9lien vers Cuba \u2014 depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, aucune cargaison de brut v\u00e9n\u00e9zu\u00e9lien n\u2019a ainsi approvisionn\u00e9 l\u2019\u00eele. C\u2019est d\u00e9sormais le Mexique qui assure la quasi-totalit\u00e9 des livraisons de p\u00e9trole, la dirigeante mexicaine Claudia Sheinbaum ayant averti hier, lundi 2 f\u00e9vrier, qu\u2019un arr\u00eat des livraisons serait susceptible de d\u00e9clencher une crise humanitaire&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-315771' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-315771' title='Manuela Tobias, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-02-02\/mexico-to-continue-diplomatic-talks-to-keep-sending-oil-to-cuba&quot;&gt;Mexico to Continue Diplomatic Talks to Keep Sending Oil to Cuba&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les livraisons mexicaines sont menac\u00e9es par un d\u00e9cret sign\u00e9 par Trump jeudi 29 janvier qui lui conf\u00e9rerait le droit d\u2019imposer des tarifs sur les pays fournissant du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 l\u2019\u00eele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La strat\u00e9gie de la Maison-Blanche consiste \u00e0 asphyxier \u00e9conomiquement Cuba de mani\u00e8re \u00e0 provoquer un soul\u00e8vement, ou de contraindre le r\u00e9gime \u00e0 accepter des concessions dict\u00e9es par Washington.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fin janvier, des sources am\u00e9ricaines confiaient que l&rsquo;administration Trump recherchait activement des membres du gouvernement cubain susceptibles de l&rsquo;aider \u00e0 conclure un accord visant \u00e0 renverser le r\u00e9gime \u00ab&#160;d&rsquo;ici la fin de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-315771' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-315771' title='Jos\u00e9 de C\u00f3rdoba, Vera Bergengruen et Deborah Acosta, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/americas\/the-u-s-is-actively-seeking-regime-change-in-cuba-by-the-end-of-the-year-1d0f178a&quot;&gt;The U.S. Is Actively Seeking Regime Change in Cuba by the End of the Year&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 22 janvier 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump accuse le gouvernement cubain de constituer une \u00ab&#160;menace pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale&#160;\u00bb des \u00c9tats-Unis, notamment en laissant la Russie installer sur son territoire \u00ab&#160;des capacit\u00e9s militaires et de renseignement sophistiqu\u00e9es&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-315771' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-315771' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/presidential-actions\/2026\/01\/addressing-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-cuba\/&quot;&gt;ADDRESSING THREATS TO THE UNITED STATES BY THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA&lt;\/a&gt;, Maison-Blanche, 29 janvier 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Bien qu\u2019aucun plan pr\u00e9cis ne semble avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 con\u00e7u \u00e0 ce stade, la Maison-Blanche chercherait \u00e0 reproduire sa strat\u00e9gie adopt\u00e9e pour mettre fin au r\u00e9gime de Maduro en s\u2019appuyant sur un ou des informateurs au plus pr\u00e8s du pouvoir cubain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Face \u00e0 la pression exerc\u00e9e par Washington, le dirigeant cubain Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel s\u2019est dit pr\u00eat vendredi 30 janvier \u00e0 d\u00e9fendre la souverainet\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00eele.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019une mani\u00e8re inattendue, le minist\u00e8re des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res cubain a toutefois publi\u00e9 dimanche soir un communiqu\u00e9 dans lequel le gouvernement se dit pr\u00eat \u00ab&#160;\u00e0 r\u00e9activer et \u00e0 \u00e9largir la coop\u00e9ration bilat\u00e9rale avec les \u00c9tats-Unis afin de faire face aux menaces transnationales communes&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-315771' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-315771' title='Nora G\u00e1mez Torres, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.miamiherald.com\/news\/nation-world\/world\/americas\/cuba\/article314545432.html&quot;&gt;Cuba offers security cooperation to U.S. amid its harassment of American diplomats&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Miami Herald&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 f\u00e9vrier 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La Havane propose notamment de travailler avec Washington dans le cadre de la lutte contre le terrorisme, le blanchiment d&rsquo;argent et le trafic de drogue.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Tout en sugg\u00e9rant que les \u00c9tats-Unis \u00e9taient dispos\u00e9s \u00e0 conclure un \u00ab&#160;deal&#160;\u00bb, Trump n\u2019a pas d\u00e9taill\u00e9 quelles seraient les revendications am\u00e9ricaines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La Maison-Blanche pourrait potentiellement exiger la restitution des biens confisqu\u00e9s aux exil\u00e9s cubains qui ont quitt\u00e9 l&rsquo;\u00eele apr\u00e8s la r\u00e9volution de 1959&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-315771' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/02\/03\/le-regime-cubain-sapprete-t-il-a-ceder-aux-menaces-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-315771' title='Patrick Oppmann, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2026\/01\/29\/americas\/us-cuba-oil-blockade-threat-of-war-intl-latam&quot;&gt;\u2018A hurricane is coming\u2019&amp;#160;: Havana prepares people for war as US shuts off Cuba\u2019s oil valve&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;CNN&lt;\/em&gt;, 29 janvier 2026.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La mise en place de mesures visant \u00e0 freiner l\u2019immigration ill\u00e9gale vers les \u00c9tats-Unis pourrait \u00e9galement faire partie d\u2019un accord, tout comme l\u2019octroi de concessions \u00e0 des entreprises am\u00e9ricaines pour l\u2019extraction de ressources.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cuba est le cinqui\u00e8me producteur de cobalt au monde, et dispose de gisements significatifs de nickel qui repr\u00e9senteraient 6&#160;% des r\u00e9serves mondiales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Des sources au sein de l\u2019administration consid\u00e8rent que l\u2019objectif de Trump et de son secr\u00e9taire d\u2019\u00c9tat, Marco Rubio, dont les parents sont des immigr\u00e9s cubains qui ont fui le pays dans les ann\u00e9es 1950, serait de renverser le r\u00e9gime castriste.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rubio a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 la semaine derni\u00e8re devant le S\u00e9nat qu\u2019il \u00ab&#160;adorerait voir&#160;\u00bb un changement de gouvernement \u00e0 Cuba.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Face aux pressions exerc\u00e9es par la Maison-Blanche, le minist\u00e8re des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res cubain a signal\u00e9 dimanche \u00eatre ouvert \u00e0 un renforcement de sa coop\u00e9ration avec les \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/p>\n<p>Le pays souffre de p\u00e9nuries de p\u00e9trole depuis la menace d\u2019imposition par Washington de tarifs sur les pays approvisionnant l\u2019\u00eele, mena\u00e7ant l\u2019\u00e9conomie d\u2019un effondrement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":315774,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4217],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-315771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitique-de-donald-trump","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le r\u00e9gime cubain s\u2019appr\u00eate-t-il \u00e0 c\u00e9der aux menaces de Trump ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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