{"id":313813,"date":"2026-01-18T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-18T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=313813"},"modified":"2026-01-17T20:24:45","modified_gmt":"2026-01-17T19:24:45","slug":"au-portugal-une-election-presidentielle-incertaine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/18\/au-portugal-une-election-presidentielle-incertaine\/","title":{"rendered":"Au Portugal, une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle incertaine\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 1986, l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle portugaise pourrait ne pas \u00eatre d\u00e9cid\u00e9e au premier tour, signe d\u2019un paysage politique en profonde transformation. En poste depuis deux mandats de cinq ans, le pr\u00e9sident sortant, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD, PPE), ne peut se repr\u00e9senter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Onze candidats sont en lice pour lui succ\u00e9der, dont cinq sont susceptibles d\u2019approcher ou de d\u00e9passer les 15&#160;% des voix&#160;: s&rsquo;agit de Lu\u00eds Marques Mendes (PSD, PPE), Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro (PS, S&amp;D), Andr\u00e9 Ventura (Chega, PfE), Jo\u00e3o Cotrim Figueiredo (IL, Renew) et Henrique Gouveia e Melo (ind\u00e9pendant).\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/Tidnq\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Deux candidats sont favoris pour le second tour&#160;: d&rsquo;un c\u00f4t\u00e9, Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro, ancien secr\u00e9taire g\u00e9n\u00e9ral du PS et proche de l&rsquo;ancien Premier ministre Ant\u00f3nio Guterres, dont il fut le num\u00e9ro deux il y a vingt-cinq ans, et de l&rsquo;autre, Andr\u00e9 Ventura, le leader de la formation d&rsquo;extr\u00eame droite Chega.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019arriv\u00e9e de Ventura au second tour \u2014 une premi\u00e8re depuis la restauration d\u00e9mocratique \u2014 serait coh\u00e9rente avec la vassalisation pr\u00e9conis\u00e9e dans la nouvelle Strat\u00e9gie de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale am\u00e9ricaine. Chega est devenu la seconde force politique au parlement au printemps dernier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00e9ritier d\u2019un r\u00e9gime semi-pr\u00e9sidentiel, le futur pr\u00e9sident, qu\u2019il soit issu des rangs traditionnels ou d\u2019une force nouvelle, h\u00e9ritera d\u2019un r\u00f4le influent qui peut affecter l\u2019\u00e9quilibre du pouvoir politique national.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/16\/election-presidentielle-portugal-effet-domino\/\">Yves L\u00e9onard,<\/a> \u00ab&#160;Quel que soit le vainqueur, le futur locataire du palais de Bel\u00e9m pourra capitaliser sur l\u2019interventionnisme h\u00e9rit\u00e9 de son pr\u00e9d\u00e9cesseur ou bien revenir \u00e0 une pratique plus arbitrale des institutions, dans un pays qui cherche un nouveau souffle d\u00e9mocratique, cinquante ans apr\u00e8s les premi\u00e8res \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives et pr\u00e9sidentielle libres.&#160;\u00bb<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd&rsquo;hui, 18 janvier, a lieu l&rsquo;\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle au Portugal.<\/p>\n<p>D\u2019ordinaire consensuel \u2014 depuis le retour de la d\u00e9mocratie en 1974, un seul scrutin a n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 un second tour, en 1986 \u2014, le scrutin est cette fois tr\u00e8s ouvert, avec 11 candidats en lice et le candidat de la formation de droite nationaliste Chega, Andr\u00e9 Ventura, en t\u00eate des sondages.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":313815,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-313813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Au Portugal, une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle incertaine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/18\/au-portugal-une-election-presidentielle-incertaine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Au Portugal, une \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle incertaine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Aujourd&#039;hui, 18 janvier, a lieu l&#039;\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle au Portugal.  D\u2019ordinaire consensuel \u2014 depuis le retour de la d\u00e9mocratie en 1974, un seul scrutin a n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 un second tour, en 1986 \u2014, le scrutin est cette fois tr\u00e8s ouvert, avec 11 candidats en lice et le candidat de la formation de droite nationaliste Chega, Andr\u00e9 Ventura, en t\u00eate des sondages.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/18\/au-portugal-une-election-presidentielle-incertaine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-18T05:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Sans-titre-21.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1966\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1102\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ramona 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