{"id":313694,"date":"2026-01-17T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-17T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=313694"},"modified":"2026-01-16T20:05:25","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T19:05:25","slug":"economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: Moscou compense la baisse de ses recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res par de la dette"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La crise \u00e9conomique qui a touch\u00e9 la Russie dans les ann\u00e9es 1990, provoqu\u00e9e notamment par une baisse des recettes \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques, a \u00e9t\u00e9 suivie par une baisse de la dette publique, mesur\u00e9e en pourcentage du PIB. En 2006, quinze ans apr\u00e8s la dislocation de l\u2019Union sovi\u00e9tique, la dette russe repr\u00e9sentait moins de 10&#160;% du PIB du pays. Celle-ci s\u2019est maintenue \u00e0 un niveau inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 20&#160;% depuis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mais alors que la Russie s\u2019appr\u00eate \u00e0 entrer dans une cinqui\u00e8me ann\u00e9e de guerre, la politique \u00e9conomique du Kremlin pourrait marquer un tournant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En raison des sanctions et de la baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole, les revenus g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9s par les exportations de combustibles fossiles ont chut\u00e9 de 24&#160;% l\u2019an dernier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-313694' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-313694' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.vedomosti.ru\/economics\/articles\/2026\/01\/16\/1169644-neftegazovie-dohodi-upali&quot;&gt;\u041d\u0435\u0444\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0443\u043f\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u043b\u043e\u043c \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0434\u043e \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0443\u043c\u0430 \u0441 2020 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0430&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Vedomosti&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 janvier 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans le m\u00eame temps, les d\u00e9penses de l\u2019\u00c9tat \u2014 dont 40&#160;% sont consacr\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019arm\u00e9e et aux forces de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u2014 n\u2019ont cess\u00e9 d\u2019augmenter.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Afin de financer le d\u00e9ficit provoqu\u00e9 par cette nouvelle r\u00e9alit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique, le Kremlin recourt \u00e0 un endettement massif tout en misant sur une hausse des recettes fiscales&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-313694' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-313694' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/re-russia.net\/analytics\/0377\/&quot;&gt;\u0414\u0432\u0430\u0434\u0446\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043b\u0435\u0442 \u0431\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0434\u0435\u0444\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0442\u0430&amp;#160;: \u041a\u0430\u043a \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0432\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u043f\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0440\u0443\u044e\u0442 \u0441\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u044f\u0442\u044c \u0432\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b, \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0432 \u043d\u0435\u0444\u0442\u044f\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0434\u043e\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0432\u044b\u043c \u0444\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Re:Russia&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 janvier 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/8lMyc\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La Russie est moins endett\u00e9e que la plupart des \u00e9conomies d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es, mais la pression exerc\u00e9e par la dette sur ses finances est plus importante. Si son volume a presque doubl\u00e9 entre 2021 et 2025, passant de 21 000 \u00e0 39 000 milliards de roubles par an, le co\u00fbt du service de la dette a lui \u00e9t\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/12\/14\/economie-russe-le-cout-du-service-de-la-dette-a-ete-multiplie-par-trois-depuis-le-debut-de-la-guerre\/\">multipli\u00e9 par trois depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre<\/a>, notamment en raison des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e9lev\u00e9s de la Banque centrale et de l\u2019impossibilit\u00e9 d\u2019acc\u00e9der aux march\u00e9s \u00e9trangers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cette ann\u00e9e, la Russie consacrera 8,8&#160;% de son budget au paiement des int\u00e9r\u00eats sur sa dette, soit deux fois plus qu\u2019en 2021 (4,4&#160;%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le montant total du service de la dette (3 900 milliards de roubles, soit 42 milliards d\u2019euros) surpassera ainsi les d\u00e9penses en mati\u00e8re de sant\u00e9 et d\u2019\u00e9ducation, qui repr\u00e9senteront 3 600 milliards de roubles environ (38,5 milliards d\u2019euros).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/a6gAo\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Une forte augmentation du co\u00fbt du service de la dette fait peser le risque d\u2019une spirale d\u2019endettement \u2014 lorsque les emprunts servent principalement \u00e0 rembourser la dette existante. Dans un sc\u00e9nario pessimiste, le gouvernement estime que le d\u00e9ficit pourrait d\u00e9passer les 8&#160;% par an \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2042&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-313694' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-313694' title='&lt;a href=&quot;http:\/\/static.government.ru\/media\/files\/pFs6IlwwGaTRB1WMpqELSlbfptSyVmbt.pdf&quot;&gt;\u041f\u0420\u0410\u0412\u0418\u0422\u0415\u041b\u042c\u0421\u0422\u0412\u041e \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0421\u0418\u0419\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0419 \u0424\u0415\u0414\u0415\u0420\u0410\u0426\u0418\u0418 \u0420 \u0410 \u0421 \u041f \u041e \u0420 \u042f \u0416 \u0415 \u041d \u0418 \u0415 \u043e\u0442 11 \u0434\u0435\u043a\u0430\u0431\u0440\u044f 2025 \u0433. \u2116 3702-\u0440&lt;\/a&gt;, 15 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ce d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire serait financ\u00e9 par de la dette. Celle-ci serait susceptible d\u2019atteindre 25&#160;% du PIB en 2030 et 58&#160;% en 2040 \u2014 contre 17,7&#160;% l\u2019an dernier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>En 2023, la vice-ministre des Finances, Irina Okladnikova, avait reconnu qu\u2019une dette de 20&#160;% du PIB correspondait \u00e0 un \u00ab&#160;niveau acceptable&#160;\u00bb, tout en d\u00e9clarant que les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es \u00e0 la guerre seraient financ\u00e9es quoi qu\u2019il arrive&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-313694' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-313694' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/vkvideo.ru\/playlist\/-170206299_-2\/video-170206299_456244412&quot;&gt;\u0417\u0430\u0441\u0435\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u041a\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u0421\u0424 \u043f\u043e \u0431\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0443 \u0438 \u0444\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432\u044b\u043c \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0430\u043c&lt;\/a&gt;, VK, 18 juillet 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine a un lourd impact sur la politique \u00e9conomique de la Russie.<\/p>\n<p>Afin de maintenir un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 de d\u00e9penses tout en faisant face \u00e0 un net recul des revenus \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques, Moscou recourt davantage \u00e0 de la dette.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":313702,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-313694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-russie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9conomie russe : Moscou compense la baisse de ses recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res par de la dette<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c9conomie russe : Moscou compense la baisse de ses recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res par de la dette\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine a un lourd impact sur la politique \u00e9conomique de la Russie.  Afin de maintenir un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 de d\u00e9penses tout en faisant face \u00e0 un net recul des revenus \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques, Moscou recourt davantage \u00e0 de la dette.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/17\/economie-russe-moscou-compense-la-baisse-de-ses-recettes-petrolieres-et-gazieres-par-de-la-dette\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-17T06:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Sans-titre-17.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1962\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1100\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ramona Bloj\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" 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