{"id":311183,"date":"2026-01-02T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-02T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=311183"},"modified":"2026-01-01T22:01:57","modified_gmt":"2026-01-01T21:01:57","slug":"en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"En Iran, les manifestations menacent-elles le r\u00e9gime&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Un important mouvement de protestation a d\u00e9but\u00e9 lundi 29 d\u00e9cembre contre l\u2019inflation et la perte de pouvoir d\u2019achat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les vendeurs de mat\u00e9riel \u00e9lectronique ont ferm\u00e9 leurs boutiques d\u00e8s le 28, avant d\u2019\u00eatre rejoints le lendemain par les commer\u00e7ants du Grand Bazar de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, puis par les \u00e9tudiants mardi 30.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019importants syndicats ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019ils soutenaient le mouvement de gr\u00e8ve et de protestation, comme celui des conducteurs de camion&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-311183' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/IranIntl_En\/status\/2005806523717673135&quot;&gt;Publication sur X&lt;\/a&gt; d\u2019Iran International English, 30 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les manifestations se sont depuis \u00e9tendues \u00e0 tout le pays, \u00e0 Ispahan&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-311183' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/iranwire\/status\/2006316883805450656&quot;&gt;Publication sur X&lt;\/a&gt; d\u2019Iran Wire, 31 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, dans le Sud comme \u00e0 Fasa&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-311183' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iranians-try-access-local-government-building-fourth-day-protests-state-media-2025-12-31\/&quot;&gt;Iranians try to access local government building on fourth day of protests, state media says&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 31 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> et \u00e0 Chiraz, \u00e0 l\u2019Ouest dans la province de Kermanshah comme \u00e0 Hamedan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Le symbole du mouvement est une vid\u00e9o g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9e par l\u2019IA \u00e0 partir d\u2019une photo d\u2019un manifestant, assis par terre, face \u00e0 un grand groupe de policiers \u00e0 moto. Dans la vid\u00e9o, les policiers s\u2019approchent du manifestant, descendent de leur v\u00e9hicule, enl\u00e8vent leur casque, et s\u2019agenouillent en guise de respect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">This AI video of the lone protester by momozo.mlx has reached nearly 17 million views on IG.<br><br>It captures what so many Iranians wished had happened in that moment&#160;: the defiant protester\u2014and the security forces taking a stand and defecting. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UtatgDYrrW\">pic.twitter.com\/UtatgDYrrW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Holly Dagres (@hdagres) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hdagres\/status\/2006073048374313130?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En d\u00e9cembre, le taux d\u2019inflation annuel en Iran a atteint 42&#160;%, tandis que le rial a enregistr\u00e9 une nouvelle d\u00e9valuation record par rapport au dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un dollar vaut d\u00e9sormais plus de 1,3 million de rials sur le march\u00e9 libre \u00e0 T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, contre 800 000 au d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6l2z3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le gouverneur de la Banque centrale, Mohammad Reza Farzin, a d\u00fb d\u00e9missionner lundi 29 d\u00e9cembre. Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 remplac\u00e9 par Abdolnaser Hemmati le 31&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-311183' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/86039588\/%D9%87%D9%85%D8%AA%DB%8C-%D8%B1%D8%A6%DB%8C%D8%B3-%DA%A9%D9%84-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%86%DA%A9-%D9%85%D8%B1%DA%A9%D8%B2%DB%8C-%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%AF&quot;&gt;\u0647\u0645\u062a\u06cc \u0631\u0626\u06cc\u0633\u200c\u06a9\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0646\u06a9 \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Irna&lt;\/em&gt;, 31 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Avec une \u00e9conomie particuli\u00e8rement fragilis\u00e9e par les sanctions internationales, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran propose d\u00e9sormais de vendre des syst\u00e8mes d&rsquo;armement sophistiqu\u00e9s, y compris des missiles balistiques et des drones, en \u00e9change de cryptomonnaies&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-311183' title='Miles Johnson, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d1ceb1a4-3493-4776-ae22-c94d76dc478f?shareType=nongift&quot;&gt;Iran offers to sell advanced weapons systems for crypto&lt;\/a&gt;, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er janvier 2026.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Si beaucoup y voient la possibilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;un changement de r\u00e9gime, des manifestations de grande ampleur ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 eu lieu en Iran ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es sans pour autant menacer le pouvoir en place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis 2017, le pays a connu plusieurs mouvements&#160;: au tournant de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2017-2018, en juin 2018, de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2019\/11\/25\/une-semaine-coupe-du-monde-en-iran\/\">novembre 2019 \u00e0 janvier 2020<\/a>, de juillet \u00e0 novembre 2021, et, \u00e0 partir de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/27\/iran-soulevement-unifie-repression-dispersee\/\">septembre 2022<\/a> le mouvement Femme, Vie, Libert\u00e9, qui s\u2019est prolong\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mais, en l\u2019absence d\u2019une opposition organis\u00e9e, ces mouvements ont \u00e9t\u00e9 brutalement r\u00e9prim\u00e9s \u00e0 chaque fois par le r\u00e9gime \u2014 plus de 1 000 personnes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es en Iran depuis l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ces mouvements conduisent toutefois \u00e0 des reconfigurations des lignes rouges et des rapports de force entre la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 et l\u2019\u00c9tat.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les manifestations renforcent \u00e9galement l\u2019intensit\u00e9 des discussions sur la succession du Guide supr\u00eame, sujet qui accapare l\u2019attention de l\u2019<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/26\/le-futur-dune-ambition-geopolitique-de-liran-dans-lere-post-khamenei-une-conversation-avec-ali-vaez\/\">\u00c9tat profond iranien<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lors du d\u00e9c\u00e8s d\u2019Ali Khamenei, le prochain Guide supr\u00eame sera choisi par l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e des Experts, chambre haute de la R\u00e9publique islamique, constitu\u00e9e de clercs, en bonne partie nomm\u00e9s \u00e0 vie par le Guide actuel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Parmi les candidats figurent Hassan Rouhani, ancien pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publique de 2013 \u00e0 2021, associ\u00e9 \u00e0 la signature de l\u2019Accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien et critique depuis son d\u00e9part du pouvoir d\u2019Ali Khamenei&#160;; Hassan Khomeini, le petit-fils de Rouhollah Khomeini, leader de la R\u00e9volution de 1979, qui dispose d\u2019une grande autorit\u00e9 religieuse, de tr\u00e8s bonnes relations avec les Gardiens de la R\u00e9volutions ainsi qu\u2019avec le clerg\u00e9 chiite irakien de Najaf&#160;; et Mojtaba Khamenei, fils du Guide supr\u00eame actuel, qui aurait une influence consid\u00e9rable sur l\u2019appareil d\u2019\u00c9tat&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-311183' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-311183' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/amwaj.media\/en\/article\/hassan-khomeini-and-iran-s-succession-question-a-future-supreme-leader&quot;&gt;Inside Iran\u2019s quiet but critical struggle over succession&amp;#160;\u00bb&lt;\/a&gt;, &lt;em&gt;Anwaj Media&lt;\/em&gt;, 22 d\u00e9cembre 2025.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apr\u00e8s les bombardements isra\u00e9liens et am\u00e9ricains visant son programme nucl\u00e9aire de juin 2025 et la d\u00e9capitation de son commandement militaire, la R\u00e9publique islamique a maintenu une apparente continuit\u00e9 politique.<\/p>\n<p>Mais depuis plusieurs jours, le pays est travers\u00e9 par les plus importantes manifestations depuis le mouvement \u00ab&#160;&#160;Femme, Vie, Libert\u00e9&#160;&#160;\u00bb de l\u2019automne 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":311185,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"geo":[530],"class_list":["post-311183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","geo-asie-intermediaire"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>En Iran, les manifestations peuvent-elles menacer le r\u00e9gime ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2026\/01\/02\/en-iran-les-manifestations-peuvent-elles-menacer-le-regime\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En Iran, les manifestations peuvent-elles menacer le r\u00e9gime ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Apr\u00e8s les bombardements isra\u00e9liens et am\u00e9ricains visant son programme nucl\u00e9aire de juin 2025 et la d\u00e9capitation de son commandement militaire, la R\u00e9publique islamique a maintenu une apparente continuit\u00e9 politique.  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