{"id":306051,"date":"2025-11-24T08:31:57","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T07:31:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=306051"},"modified":"2025-11-24T08:32:00","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T07:32:00","slug":"en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/","title":{"rendered":"En R\u00e9publique serbe de Bosnie, un scrutin pr\u00e9sidentiel d\u00e9cevant pour l\u2019ensemble des forces politiques\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ces \u00e9lections faisaient suite \u00e0 la r\u00e9vocation par la Commission \u00e9lectorale centrale du mandat de Milorad Dodik, pr\u00e9sident sortant.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00c0 la t\u00eate<em> <\/em>du Parti des sociaux-d\u00e9mocrates ind\u00e9pendants (SNSD) depuis 1996, Dodik avait \u00e9t\u00e9 condamn\u00e9 en f\u00e9vrier 2025 \u00e0 un an de prison et \u00e0 la perte de son mandat par la Cour de Bosnie et Herz\u00e9govine, un jugement confirm\u00e9 en appel le 1er ao\u00fbt.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9lu, tenant d\u2019une ligne eurosceptique et pro-russe, avait refus\u00e9 de se soumettre aux d\u00e9cisions du Haut Repr\u00e9sentant Christian Schmidt (CSU, PPE), ouvrant une crise constitutionnelle entre la R\u00e9publique serbe de Bosnie et l\u2019\u00c9tat f\u00e9d\u00e9ral bosniaque.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>S\u2019il a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 ne pas reconna\u00eetre la d\u00e9cision du tribunal, Milorad Dodik a finalement d\u00e9sign\u00e9 un proche, Sini\u0161a Kiran, pour concourir \u00e0 sa place lors du scrutin du 23 novembre.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c9galement membre du SNSD, Kiran a \u00e9t\u00e9 ministre de l\u2019Int\u00e9rieur de 2022 \u00e0 2025.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il faisait face dans ce scrutin \u00e0 Branko Blanu\u0161a, membre du principal parti d\u2019opposition, le Parti d\u00e9mocratique serbe (SDS, droite). Parti historique de Radovan Karad\u017ei\u0107 et Ratko Mladi\u0107, condamn\u00e9s pour g\u00e9nocide \u00e0 La Haye, le SDS tient aujourd\u2019hui une ligne per\u00e7ue comme plus pro-europ\u00e9enne que celle du SNSD.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Apr\u00e8s d\u00e9pouillement d\u2019environ 93&#160;% des bulletins, la Commission \u00e9lectorale centrale de Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine a annonc\u00e9 que Sini\u0161a Karan \u00e9tait en t\u00eate avec 50,89&#160;% des voix, contre 47,8&#160;% \u00e0 Branko Blanu\u0161a.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La participation \u00e9tait particuli\u00e8rement faible, \u00e0 35,78&#160;%, une baisse de pr\u00e8s de 18 points par rapport au scrutin de 2022. L\u2019\u00e9cart entre les candidats repr\u00e9sente environ 12 000 voix.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le parti de Milorad Dodik, qui tenait l\u2019unique d\u00e9compte relay\u00e9 par les m\u00e9dias jusqu\u2019\u00e0 23 heures, avait revendiqu\u00e9 la victoire au cours de la soir\u00e9e.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le candidat du SNSD a repris le discours polarisant habituel de son parti&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-306051' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-306051' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/n1info.ba\/vijesti\/karan-nakon-proglasene-pobjede-najavio-procvat-rs-pa-porucio-srpski-narod-je-rekao-ne-uzurpatorima\/&quot;&gt;Karan nakon progla\u0161ene pobjede najavio procvat RS pa poru\u010dio&amp;#160;: Srpski narod je rekao \u00ab&amp;#160;ne&amp;#160;\u00bb uzurpatorima&lt;\/a&gt;, N1, 23 novembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Le peuple serbe a donn\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui une r\u00e9ponse d\u00e9finitive \u00e0 tous les \u00e9trangers et les usurpateurs qui souhaitent changer sa volont\u00e9&#160;: ils ont dit qu\u2019ils voulaient d\u00e9cider eux-m\u00eames de leur destin&#160;\u00bb.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le SDS avait dans un premier temps refus\u00e9 de reconna\u00eetre le compte du SNSD, arguant d\u2019un faible \u00e9cart. Un peu avant 23 heures, le candidat Branko Blanu\u0161a a accus\u00e9 le SNSD au pouvoir d\u2019avoir mis en place un contexte m\u00e9diatique et politique in\u00e9quitable, une \u00ab&#160;manipulation&#160;\u00bb sans laquelle il aurait \u00ab&#160;d\u00e9j\u00e0 pu annoncer sa victoire&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-306051' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-306051' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/n1info.ba\/vijesti\/izbori-za-predsjednika-rs-2025-rezultati\/&quot;&gt;CIK saop\u0161tio rezultate nakon 92,87 posto obra\u0111enih glasova&lt;\/a&gt;, N1, 23 novembre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans l\u2019ensemble, les r\u00e9sultats apparaissent d\u00e9cevants pour les forces politiques en pr\u00e9sence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Par rapport au pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent scrutin, le SNSD, malgr\u00e9 la tentative de Dodik de pr\u00e9senter ce scrutin comme un symbole de la r\u00e9sistance serbe aux diktats de Bruxelles, perdra probablement un peu moins d\u2019un tiers de ses \u00e9lecteurs, et n\u2019a pas su mobiliser largement.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le SDS a pour sa part \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 capitaliser sur l\u2019opposition \u00e0 Dodik et \u00e0 son parti pour renverser la tendance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00a0Quant \u00e0 Christian Schmidt et \u00e0 la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine, ils feront face dans les prochains mois \u00e0 un SNSD qui pourra s\u2019affirmer l\u00e9gitim\u00e9 par les urnes, m\u00eame si son r\u00e9sultat s\u2019est dans les faits av\u00e9r\u00e9 d\u00e9cevant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019\u00e9lection intervient apr\u00e8s des mois de gouvernance dysfonctionnelle.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cet \u00e9t\u00e9, la Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine avait vu son allocation dans le cadre du Plan de croissance pour les Balkans occidentaux r\u00e9duite de 10&#160;% \u2014 soit 100 millions d\u2019euros \u2014 par la Commission suite \u00e0 l\u2019incapacit\u00e9 des autorit\u00e9s bosniaques de finaliser dans les temps leur Agenda de r\u00e9formes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-306051' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-306051' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eeas.europa.eu\/delegations\/bosnia-and-herzegovina\/cut-bosnia-and-herzegovina%E2%80%99s-allocation-under-growth-plan_en?s=219&quot;&gt;On the cut to Bosnia and Herzegovina\u2019s allocation under the Growth Plan&lt;\/a&gt;, Delegation of the European Union to Bosnia and Herzegovina &amp;amp; European Union Special Representative in Bosnia and Herzegovina, 19 juillet 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce retard avait \u00e9t\u00e9 caus\u00e9, pour une large part, par le veto du SNSD au sein du Conseil des ministres de Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine. Le document attendu a finalement \u00e9t\u00e9 transmis d\u00e9but octobre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-306051' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-306051' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eeas.europa.eu\/delegations\/bosnia-and-herzegovina\/adoption-reform-agenda-just-beginning-let%E2%80%99s-work-together-reach-finish-line_en?s=219&quot;&gt;The adoption of the Reform Agenda is just the beginning. Let\u2019s work together to reach the finish line&lt;\/a&gt;, Delegation of the European Union to Bosnia and Herzegovina &amp;amp; European Union Special Representative in Bosnia and Herzegovina, 3 octobre 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Le scrutin du 23 novembre a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9maill\u00e9 d\u2019irr\u00e9gularit\u00e9s plus ou moins importantes et de difficult\u00e9s logistiques alors que le pays faisait face \u00e0 des chutes de neige.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019ONG \u00ab&#160;pod lupom&#160;\u00bb qui avait d\u00e9ploy\u00e9 plus de 400 observateurs, a relev\u00e9 une dizaine d\u2019irr\u00e9gularit\u00e9s graves&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-306051' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/24\/en-republique-serbe-de-bosnie-un-scrutin-presidentiel-decevant-pour-lensemble-des-forces-politiques\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-306051' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/radiosarajevo.ba\/vijesti\/bosna-i-hercegovina\/koalicija-pod-lupom-do-9-sati-zabiljezeno-deset-tezih-oblika-izbornih-nepravilnosti-u-rs\/615218&quot;&gt;Koalicija \u00ab&amp;#160;Pod lupom&amp;#160;\u00bb&amp;#160;: Do 9 sati zabilje\u017eeno deset te\u017eih oblika izbornih nepravilnosti u RS&lt;\/a&gt;, 23 novembre 2025.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> dont des entorses \u00e0 la tr\u00eave \u00e9lectorale, des cas d\u2019obstruction du travail des observateurs et un manque de mat\u00e9riel \u00e9lectoral dans certains bureaux.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans un bureau de la ville de Kne\u017eevo, qui n\u2019a jamais ouvert, la Commission \u00e9lectorale centrale a pris la d\u00e9cision inhabituelle de renvoyer le scrutin au 30 novembre.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les r\u00e9sultats d\u00e9finitifs seront connus dans les prochaines semaines.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 ce stade, les irr\u00e9gularit\u00e9s observ\u00e9es ne semblent pas d\u2019une ampleur suffisante pour remettre en question la validit\u00e9 du scrutin.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Toutefois, une contestation des r\u00e9sultats par le SDS ne peut pas \u00eatre exclue, particuli\u00e8rement si les r\u00e9sultats des derniers bureaux r\u00e9duisent l\u2019\u00e9cart entre les deux principaux candidats.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les \u00e9lecteurs de la R\u00e9publique serbe de Bosnie, entit\u00e9 \u00e0 majorit\u00e9 orthodoxe de Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine, se sont rendus aux urnes  ce dimanche 23 novembre pour \u00e9lire leur pr\u00e9sident dans le cadre d\u2019\u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":306052,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-306051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","staff-francois-hublet","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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