{"id":305379,"date":"2025-11-18T15:50:27","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T14:50:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=305379"},"modified":"2025-11-18T15:50:29","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T14:50:29","slug":"le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Brexit a r\u00e9duit les investissements jusqu\u2019\u00e0 18&#160;% au Royaume-Uni"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Selon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e aujourd\u2019hui, mardi 18 novembre, par des \u00e9conomistes am\u00e9ricains et europ\u00e9ens, la sortie du Royaume-Uni de l\u2019Union a r\u00e9duit le PIB britannique de 6 \u00e0 8&#160;%, les investissements de 12 \u00e0 18&#160;% et le taux d\u2019emploi ainsi que la productivit\u00e9 de 3 \u00e0 4&#160;%&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-305379' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-305379' title='Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen &lt;em&gt;et al.&lt;\/em&gt;, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w34459\/w34459.pdf&quot;&gt;The Economic Impact of Brexit&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, NBER Working Paper Series 34459, 18 novembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019article \u00e9tudie les impacts du Brexit sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie du pays depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum du 23 juin 2016, lorsque 51,89&#160;% des Britanniques avaient vot\u00e9 pour quitter l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les effets n\u00e9gatifs sont dus \u00e0 une combinaison de la hausse des incertitudes li\u00e9es \u00e0 l&rsquo;anticipation d&rsquo;une d\u00e9gradation de la situation \u00e9conomique \u2014 qui a surtout eu un effet n\u00e9gatif sur les investissements \u2014, et des cons\u00e9quences r\u00e9elles de la sortie de l&rsquo;Union.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>On compte parmi celles-ci la baisse de la demande de biens et services, l\u2019allocation par les directions des entreprises de ressources importantes pour la pr\u00e9paration du Brexit et le renforcement des barri\u00e8res commerciales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/VAtXc\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La sortie du Royaume-Uni de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne a \u00e9t\u00e9 un \u00e9v\u00e9nement largement inattendu et aujourd&rsquo;hui, une majorit\u00e9 de Britanniques (56&#160;%) consid\u00e8re que le Brexit \u00e9tait une erreur. Parmi les personnes interrog\u00e9es par YouGov qui estiment que le Brexit a \u00e9t\u00e9 davantage un \u00e9chec qu\u2019une r\u00e9ussite, plus de 80&#160;% d\u00e9signent le Parti conservateur et Boris Johnson comme les principaux responsables&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-305379' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-305379' title='Matthew Smith, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/yougov.co.uk\/politics\/articles\/52410-nine-years-after-the-eu-referendum-where-does-public-opinion-stand-on-brexit&quot;&gt;Nine years after the EU referendum, where does public opinion stand on Brexit&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, YouGov, 19 juin 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/76mj4\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019impopularit\u00e9 du Brexit, le parti de Nigel Farage, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/05\/au-royaume-uni-reform-uk-est-en-train-de-devenir-la-premiere-force-politique-devant-les-travaillistes\/\">Reform UK, est devenu en d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e la premi\u00e8re force politique<\/a> du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il figure en t\u00eate des intentions de vote avec pr\u00e8s de 30&#160;%, soit devant le Parti travailliste du Premier ministre Keir Starmer (18&#160;%) et le Parti conservateur (17&#160;%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon une projection r\u00e9alis\u00e9e le mois dernier par Electoral Calculus, Reform UK pourrait remporter jusqu\u2019\u00e0 367 si\u00e8ges au Parlement \u2014 suffisamment pour permettre \u00e0 Farage d\u2019\u00eatre \u00e9lu Premier ministre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-305379' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-305379' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.electoralcalculus.co.uk\/blogs\/ec_vipoll_20251015.html&quot;&gt;MRP Poll October 2025, Electoral Calculus&lt;\/a&gt;, 15 octobre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce dernier refuse de lier la chute de la livre sterling et la d\u00e9gradation de la situation du pays au Brexit, estimant que les probl\u00e8mes \u00e9conomiques sont ancr\u00e9s depuis longtemps dans le pays&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-305379' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-305379' title='Mishal Husain, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/features\/2025-nigel-farage-weekend-interview\/&quot;&gt;Nigel Farage&amp;#160;: Britain Has Had \u2018Too Many Unifiers\u2019&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 24 octobre 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/T3nP3\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le parti de Farage attire principalement des \u00e9lecteurs conservateurs, \u00e2g\u00e9s de 50 ans ou plus, et qui ont vot\u00e9 en faveur du Brexit en 2016.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les sondages indiquent que la plupart se seraient rapproch\u00e9s de Reform UK en raison de son agenda en mati\u00e8re d\u2019immigration, mais \u00e9galement car il constitue une alternative aux deux grands partis traditionnels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pr\u00e8s de dix ans apr\u00e8s la victoire du \u00ab&#160;Leave&#160;\u00bb lors du r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur la sortie du Royaume-Uni de l&rsquo;Union europ\u00e9enne en 2016, l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie britannique continue de souffrir des cons\u00e9quences du Brexit. <\/p>\n<p>Selon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e aujourd&rsquo;hui, le Brexit a co\u00fbt\u00e9 jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 8&#160;% du PIB du pays et 18&#160;% des investissements.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":305384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-305379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":305384,"excerpt":"Pr\u00e8s de dix ans apr\u00e8s la victoire du \u00ab Leave \u00bb lors du r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur la sortie du Royaume-Uni de l'Union europ\u00e9enne en 2016, l'\u00e9conomie britannique continue de souffrir des cons\u00e9quences du Brexit. \r\n\r\nSelon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e aujourd'hui, le Brexit a co\u00fbt\u00e9 jusqu'\u00e0 8 % du PIB du pays et 18 % des investissements.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le Brexit a r\u00e9duit les investissements au Royaume-Uni de 18 %<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le Brexit a r\u00e9duit les investissements au Royaume-Uni de 18 %\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" 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Selon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e aujourd&#039;hui, le Brexit a co\u00fbt\u00e9 jusqu&#039;\u00e0 8&#160;% du PIB du pays et 18&#160;% des investissements.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/18\/le-brexit-a-reduit-les-investissements-jusqua-18-au-royaume-uni\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-11-18T14:50:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-18T14:50:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/gc-share-impact-eco-brexit.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1880\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1048\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" 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