{"id":304929,"date":"2025-11-12T14:18:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T13:18:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=304929"},"modified":"2025-11-12T14:18:17","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T13:18:17","slug":"ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019administration Trump a-t-elle fait plier l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le rapport 2024 de l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie (AIE) sur les perspectives \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques mondiales annon\u00e7ait <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/16\/apres-le-charbon-et-le-petrole-le-monde-sapprete-a-entrer-dans-lere-de-lelectricite\/\">le d\u00e9but d\u2019une nouvelle \u00ab&#160;\u00e8re de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9&#160;\u00bb<\/a>, marqu\u00e9e par un pic de la demande d\u2019hydrocarbures et une \u00e9lectrification massive des usages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L&rsquo;actualisation de 2025, publi\u00e9e aujourd\u2019hui, mercredi 12 novembre, semble beaucoup plus pessimiste.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans son sc\u00e9nario bas\u00e9 sur les politiques actuelles (CPS) mises en place par les \u00c9tats, r\u00e9introduit pour la premi\u00e8re fois cette ann\u00e9e depuis 2020, l\u2019AIE anticipe une hausse de la demande de p\u00e9trole de 13&#160;% d\u2019ici 2050 \u2014 qui atteindrait ainsi 113 millions de barils par jour&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-304929' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/af5ac385-8fce-4cc7-8c73-107a3aade95e\/WorldEnergyOutlook2025.pdf&quot;&gt;World Energy Outlook 2025&lt;\/a&gt;, Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, 12 novembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La demande de gaz naturel atteindrait quant \u00e0 elle 5 600 milliards de m\u00e8tres cubes d\u2019ici la moiti\u00e9 du si\u00e8cle, marquant une augmentation de 30&#160;% par rapport aux niveaux de 2024 (4 300 milliards).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si la consommation mondiale de charbon devrait bien diminuer d\u2019ici 2050 comme anticip\u00e9 l\u2019an dernier, la consommation en 2030 devrait \u00eatre 6&#160;% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e par rapport aux derni\u00e8res projections de l\u2019agence.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/rDbuX\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le rapport, dont la publication co\u00efncide avec <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/10\/la-cop-30-souvre-a-belem\/\">la COP de Bel\u00e9m qui s\u2019est ouverte lundi 10 novembre<\/a>, souligne toutefois des am\u00e9liorations, notamment en mati\u00e8re d\u2019\u00e9nergies renouvelables, qui devraient d\u00e9passer le p\u00e9trole pour devenir la premi\u00e8re source d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie d&rsquo;ici le d\u00e9but des ann\u00e9es 2040. Le prix moyen des panneaux solaires et des batteries \u00e9lectriques pour voitures a quant \u00e0 lui chut\u00e9 de plus de 80&#160;% au cours de la derni\u00e8re d\u00e9cennie, et la part des voitures \u00e9lectriques devrait atteindre 50&#160;% des ventes dans le monde d\u2019ici 2035.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019AIE se d\u00e9fend d\u2019avoir r\u00e9introduit son sc\u00e9nario CPS en r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la pression exerc\u00e9e par l\u2019administration Trump&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-304929' title='Malcolm Moore, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/8696254d-1873-434a-96be-88aa690f9b75&quot;&gt;Oil and gas demand to rise for 25 years without global change of course, says IEA&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 novembre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Durant l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/11\/chris-wright-tsar-fossile-donald-trump\/\">le tsar fossile de Donald Trump et secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9nergie, Chris Wright<\/a>, avait menac\u00e9 de quitter l\u2019agence \u2014 dont le budget est financ\u00e9 \u00e0 14&#160;% par les \u00c9tats-Unis \u2014 si celle-ci ne \u00ab&#160;r\u00e9formait pas son fonctionnement&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-304929' title='Ari Natter, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-07-15\/us-threatens-to-abandon-iea-over-green-leaning-energy-forecasts?sref=AIrcm1cJ&quot;&gt;US Threatens to Abandon IEA Over Green-Leaning Energy Forecasts&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 juillet 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Wright a notamment qualifi\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;d\u2019absurde&#160;\u00bb les sc\u00e9narios de l\u2019AIE anticipant un pic de la demande mondiale de p\u00e9trole au cours de la d\u00e9cennie et d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00eatre en contact avec le directeur de l\u2019agence, Fatih Birol.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Au-del\u00e0 d\u2019accuser l\u2019agence d\u2019\u00eatre devenue trop \u00ab&#160;id\u00e9ologique&#160;\u00bb dans ses pr\u00e9visions, l\u2019administration Trump craint \u00e9galement que des pr\u00e9visions trop pessimistes pour le futur de l\u2019industrie fossile ne dissuadent de nouveaux investissements dans l\u2019exploitation de p\u00e9trole et le gaz&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-304929' title='Brian Dabbs et Sara Schonhardt, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2025\/08\/09\/trump-team-pushes-for-ouster-of-top-iea-official-cw-00495441&quot;&gt;Trump team pushes for ouster of top IEA official&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Politico&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 ao\u00fbt 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/JLqtt\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/11\/chris-wright-tsar-fossile-donald-trump\/\">un article publi\u00e9 en juillet<\/a>, Wright d\u00e9clarait consid\u00e9rer le changement climatique \u00ab&#160;non pas une crise existentielle, mais un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne physique r\u00e9el, cons\u00e9quence du progr\u00e8s&#160;\u00bb. Il ajoutait&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Oui, le CO2 atmosph\u00e9rique a augment\u00e9 au fil du temps, mais l\u2019esp\u00e9rance de vie aussi [&#8230;] Je suis pr\u00eat \u00e0 accepter cette contrepartie l\u00e9g\u00e8rement n\u00e9gative en \u00e9change de cet h\u00e9ritage du progr\u00e8s humain&#160;\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis le retour au pouvoir de Trump en janvier, la Maison-Blanche a nomm\u00e9 une quarantaine de responsables ayant travaill\u00e9 dans l\u2019industrie fossile \u00e0 des postes supervisant l&rsquo;\u00e9laboration des politiques \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques et environnementales&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-304929' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.citizen.org\/article\/trumps-polluter-playground\/&quot;&gt;Trump\u2019s Polluter Playground&amp;#160;: Fossil Fuel Insiders &amp;amp; Ideologues Prop Up Dirty Energy &amp;amp; Derail Clean Power&lt;\/a&gt;, Public Citizen, 6 octobre 2025.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le d\u00e9partement de l\u2019Int\u00e9rieur a quant \u00e0 lui approuv\u00e9 la vente de plusieurs dizaines de concessions p\u00e9troli\u00e8res offshore dans le Golfe du Mexique et au large des c\u00f4tes de l\u2019Alaska.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tandis que la production am\u00e9ricaine de p\u00e9trole est d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 son niveau le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 de l\u2019histoire, des responsables r\u00e9publicains \u00e9tudient \u00e9galement l\u2019ouverture de la c\u00f4te californienne \u00e0 la vente de concessions p\u00e9troli\u00e8res&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-304929' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-304929' title='Jake Spring et Evan Halper, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/climate-environment\/2025\/11\/10\/offshore-drilling-california-gulf-alaska\/&quot;&gt;Trump plan would open California to offshore oil drilling&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Washington Post&lt;\/em&gt;, 11 novembre 2025.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Depuis plusieurs mois, le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9nergie am\u00e9ricain Chris Wright m\u00e8ne une campagne contre l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et ses sc\u00e9narios.<\/p>\n<p>Dans son dernier rapport publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui, mercredi 12 novembre, l\u2019AIE semble avoir c\u00e9d\u00e9 aux demandes am\u00e9ricaines en r\u00e9introduisant son sc\u00e9nario bas\u00e9 sur les politiques actuelles (CPS), qui laisse voir une hausse de la demande mondiale de p\u00e9trole de 13&#160;&#160;% d\u2019ici 2050.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":304933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-304929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump a-t-il fait plier l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump a-t-il fait plier l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Depuis plusieurs mois, le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9nergie am\u00e9ricain Chris Wright m\u00e8ne une campagne contre l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et ses sc\u00e9narios.  Dans son dernier rapport publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui, mercredi 12 novembre, l\u2019AIE semble avoir c\u00e9d\u00e9 aux demandes am\u00e9ricaines en r\u00e9introduisant son sc\u00e9nario bas\u00e9 sur les politiques actuelles (CPS), qui laisse voir une hausse de la demande mondiale de p\u00e9trole de 13&#160;% d\u2019ici 2050.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/12\/ladministration-trump-a-t-elle-fait-plier-lagence-internationale-de-lenergie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-11-12T13:18:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-12T13:18:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/gc-share-wright-IAE.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1886\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1044\" 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