{"id":304264,"date":"2025-11-05T11:06:12","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T10:06:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=304264"},"modified":"2025-11-05T11:21:50","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T10:21:50","slug":"comment-mamdani-a-t-il-gagne-une-premiere-analyse-electorale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/11\/05\/comment-mamdani-a-t-il-gagne-une-premiere-analyse-electorale\/","title":{"rendered":"Comment Mamdani a-t-il gagn\u00e9&#160;? Une premi\u00e8re analyse \u00e9lectorale"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le candidat d\u00e9mocrate Zohran Mamdani a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9lu aujourd\u2019hui, mercredi 5 novembre, maire de la ville de New York avec 50,4&#160;% des voix, sur la base de 91&#160;% des bulletins d\u00e9pouill\u00e9s \u00e0 11h (Paris). Son principal opposant, l\u2019ex-gouverneur d\u00e9mocrate de l\u2019\u00c9tat de New York Andrew Cuomo, qui se pr\u00e9sentait en tant qu\u2019ind\u00e9pendant apr\u00e8s avoir perdu la primaire du parti en juin, a obtenu 41,6&#160;% des votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le r\u00e9publicain Curtis Sliwa, qui n\u2019avait pas obtenu le soutien de Donald Trump, peine quant \u00e0 lui \u00e0 passer la barre des 7&#160;% des voix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La victoire de Mamdani \u00e9tait largement attendue, notamment en raison de la faiblesse du ticket r\u00e9publicain mais \u00e9galement de la nette pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence des habitants de la ville pour le Parti d\u00e9mocrate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kamala Harris avait obtenu plus de 68&#160;% des voix \u00e0 New York l\u2019an dernier, un chiffre tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9 qui \u00e9tait pourtant en-de\u00e7\u00e0 des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes performances des candidats d\u00e9mocrates \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mamdani et Cuomo ont tous deux surperform\u00e9 par rapport aux agr\u00e9gations de sondages, qui pla\u00e7aient Sliwa \u00e0 17&#160;% des voix en moyenne.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/K9k4C\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La victoire de Mamdani n\u2019en reste pas moins sans appel. Le candidat d\u00e9mocrate, per\u00e7u comme tr\u00e8s progressiste au sein de son propre camp, a remport\u00e9 plus d\u2019un million de voix, soit une performance in\u00e9dite depuis l\u2019\u00e9lection de John Lindsay en 1969. Le taux de participation est quant \u00e0 lui le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 depuis plus d\u2019un demi-si\u00e8cle, selon la Commission \u00e9lectorale de la ville.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La coalition ayant soutenu Mamdani pr\u00e9sente un assemblage assez in\u00e9dit dans l\u2019histoire \u00e9lectorale new-yorkaise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Celui-ci a aussi bien remport\u00e9 la majorit\u00e9 des voix parmi les \u00e9lecteurs immigr\u00e9s du Queens et du Bronx qu\u2019au sein des circonscriptions lib\u00e9rales blanches du nord de Manhattan et de Brooklyn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mamdani a aussi am\u00e9lior\u00e9 son score par rapport \u00e0 la primaire parmi les communaut\u00e9s noires et latino-am\u00e9ricaines, remportant le Bronx avec une marge de 11 points \u2014 alors qu\u2019il avait perdu le <em>borough <\/em>de 18 points contre Cuomo en juin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce dernier a mieux perform\u00e9 que Mamdani dans les circonscriptions \u00e0 majorit\u00e9 blanche, remportant 52&#160;% des voix contre 38&#160;%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/H7Ize\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En plus de l\u2019\u00e9lection du maire, les New-Yorkais votaient \u00e9galement pour renouveler le conseil municipal de la ville, l\u2019organe l\u00e9gislatif qui jouera un r\u00f4le clef dans la mise en \u0153uvre du programme de Mamdani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les D\u00e9mocrates, dont la plupart se pr\u00e9sentaient ou se repr\u00e9sentaient dans des campagnes peu comp\u00e9titives, gagnent un si\u00e8ge de plus par rapport \u00e0 2023, en remportant 46 sur les 51 que compte le conseil.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les candidats r\u00e9publicains ont n\u00e9anmoins connu quelques succ\u00e8s, notamment la r\u00e9\u00e9lection de Vickie Paladino dans le 19e district, dans le nord-est du Queens, qui a battu le d\u00e9mocrate Benjamin Chou.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 Staten Island, le seul <em>borough <\/em>remport\u00e9 par Cuomo (avec 33 points d\u2019avance), le GOP conserve deux si\u00e8ges dans les 50e et 51e districts, tandis que la d\u00e9mocrate Kamillah Hanks est r\u00e9\u00e9lue dans le 49e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zohran Mamdani est le premier candidat \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection municipale dans la ville de New York \u00e0 avoir obtenu plus d\u2019un million de voix depuis John Lindsay en 1969.<\/p>\n<p>La coalition ayant soutenu le candidat d\u00e9mocrate, per\u00e7u comme tr\u00e8s progressiste au sein de son propre camp, pr\u00e9sente un assemblage assez in\u00e9dit dans l\u2019histoire \u00e9lectorale new-yorkaise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":304269,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-304264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Comment Mamdani a-t-il gagn\u00e9 ? 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