{"id":300377,"date":"2025-10-06T15:54:46","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T13:54:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=300377"},"modified":"2025-10-10T22:59:53","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T20:59:53","slug":"apres-la-demission-de-lecornu-quelle-majorite-a-lassemblee-nationale-testez-notre-simulateur-de-coalition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/06\/apres-la-demission-de-lecornu-quelle-majorite-a-lassemblee-nationale-testez-notre-simulateur-de-coalition\/","title":{"rendered":"Apr\u00e8s la nomination de Lecornu&#160;: quelle majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e nationale&#160;? Testez notre simulateur de coalition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>S\u00e9bastien <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/06\/le-gouvernement-lecornu-est-le-plus-court-de-la-veme-republique\/\">Lecornu a d\u00e9pos\u00e9 sa d\u00e9mission ce matin<\/a>, lundi 6 octobre, 27 jours apr\u00e8s sa nomination par Emmanuel Macron \u2014 il s\u2019agit du cinqui\u00e8me Premier ministre en moins de deux ans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  frame-coalition-fr-div\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/iframes\/coalitions_fr_4.htm\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La nomination des 19 ministres hier soir et la publication des nominations dans le Journal officiel fait que les ministres d\u00e9missionnaires, qui auraient d\u00fb faire aujourd\u2019hui la passation des pouvoir, sont d\u00e9sormais charg\u00e9s des affaires courantes. Les nouveaux ministres sont en effet comp\u00e9tents d\u00e8s la signature du d\u00e9cret relatif \u00e0 la composition du gouvernement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il s\u2019agit d\u2019une situation in\u00e9dite sous la Ve R\u00e9publique qui donne tr\u00e8s peu de l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 politique aux ministres.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pour le moment, le budget 2026 est la seule contrainte constitutionnelle. Celui-ci doit en th\u00e9orie \u00eatre pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 au Conseil des ministres avant le premier mardi d\u2019octobre \u2014 soit demain \u2014 et devant le Parlement au plus tard le 13 afin que l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e puisse disposer des 70 jours pr\u00e9vus par la Constitution.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il n&rsquo;est pas non plus impossible, au vu de la situation internationale, que des d\u00e9cisions concernant plusieurs dossiers clefs \u2014 les arm\u00e9es, par exemple \u2014 soient prises au niveau du cabinet du Premier ministre d\u00e9missionnaire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans ce contexte unique, le Secr\u00e9tariat g\u00e9n\u00e9ral du gouvernement prend une centralit\u00e9 in\u00e9dite, tout comme les directions d\u2019administrations centrales qui, en l\u2019absence de traction politique, devront trouver des moyens d\u2019agir et d\u2019arbitrer sur des sujets parfois cruciaux dans les limites de leurs comp\u00e9tences.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Plusieurs possibilit\u00e9s s&rsquo;offrent d\u00e9sormais au Pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publique.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le \u00ab&#160;Socle commun&#160;\u00bb, l\u2019alliance regroupant les partis de la coalition pr\u00e9sidentielle Ensemble&#160;! et Les R\u00e9publicains, dispose de 211 si\u00e8ges \u00e0 l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pour construire une majorit\u00e9, 289 si\u00e8ges sont requis. Le camp pr\u00e9sidentiel, alli\u00e9 avec le LR, doit donc obtenir le soutien de 78 d\u00e9put\u00e9s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Si les chances d&rsquo;une nouvelle dissolution ont consid\u00e9rablement augment\u00e9 depuis ce matin \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/06\/chute-du-gouvernement-lecornu-en-depassant-litalie-la-france-sendette-desormais-plus-cher-que-le-reste-de-leurope\/\">ce qui se refl\u00e8te \u00e9galement dans la r\u00e9action des march\u00e9s<\/a> \u2014, rien n&rsquo;oblige constitutionnellement Emmanuel Macron \u00e0 retourner aux urnes pour un scrutin qui serait, selon les sondages les plus r\u00e9cents, potentiellement tr\u00e8s d\u00e9favorables au forces du centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>S\u2019il ne provoque pas de nouvelles \u00e9lections, le pr\u00e9sident peut \u00e0 nouveau nommer un Premier ministre.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il pourrait se tourner vers la gauche en choisissant une personnalit\u00e9 plus ou moins proche du PS \u2014 rien n&rsquo;indique toutefois qu&rsquo;un tel Premier ministre parviendrait \u00e0 faire adopter un budget par l&rsquo;Assembl\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pour obtenir une majorit\u00e9, ce gouvernement hypoth\u00e9tique aurait besoin du soutien des \u00c9cologistes, de l&rsquo;ensemble de l\u2019ex-majorit\u00e9 pr\u00e9sidentielle, mais aussi des LR ou du groupe LIOT.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bruno Retailleau, \u00e0 la t\u00eate des R\u00e9publicains, a d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il \u00ab&#160;est hors de question de cautionner un gouvernement et un Premier ministre de gauche&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plusieurs options s\u2019offrent \u00e0 Emmanuel Macron apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9mission de S\u00e9bastien Lecornu, accept\u00e9e lundi 6 octobre.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 l&rsquo;heure actuelle, deux sc\u00e9narios semblent les plus probables&#160;: soit une tentative de formation d&rsquo;un nouveau gouvernement qui pourrait \u00eatre soutenu par le camp pr\u00e9sidentiel, le PS, les \u00c9cologistes, le LIOT ou Les R\u00e9publicains, soit une nouvelle dissolution de l&rsquo;Assembl\u00e9e, r\u00e9clam\u00e9e par le Rassemblement national.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":300404,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-300377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politique","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":300404,"excerpt":"Plusieurs options s\u2019offrent \u00e0 Emmanuel Macron apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9mission de S\u00e9bastien Lecornu, accept\u00e9e lundi 6 octobre.\r\n\r\n\u00c0 l'heure actuelle, deux sc\u00e9narios semblent les plus probables : soit une tentative de formation d'un nouveau gouvernement qui pourrait \u00eatre soutenu par le camp pr\u00e9sidentiel, le PS, les \u00c9cologistes, le LIOT ou Les R\u00e9publicains, soit une nouvelle dissolution de l'Assembl\u00e9e, r\u00e9clam\u00e9e par le Rassemblement national.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Apr\u00e8s la nomination de Lecornu : quelle majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e nationale ? Testez notre simulateur de coalition | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/06\/apres-la-demission-de-lecornu-quelle-majorite-a-lassemblee-nationale-testez-notre-simulateur-de-coalition\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Apr\u00e8s la nomination de Lecornu : quelle majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e nationale ? 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