{"id":300049,"date":"2025-10-03T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=300049"},"modified":"2025-10-03T04:30:05","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T02:30:05","slug":"vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/","title":{"rendered":"Vers une victoire du parti d\u2019Andrej Babi\u0161 en Tch\u00e9quie&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le parti populiste de droite ANO (PfE), men\u00e9 par l\u2019ancien Premier ministre Andrej Babi\u0161, au pouvoir de 2017 \u00e0 2021, est largement en t\u00eate des sondages (environ 30&#160;% des intentions de vote) face \u00e0 la coalition de centre-droit au pouvoir Spolu dirig\u00e9e par le pr\u00e9sident du gouvernement Petr Fiala (environ 20&#160;%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le scrutin s\u2019annonce clef pour l\u2019orientation pro-europ\u00e9enne et internationale du pays.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Un gouvernement ANO pourrait ainsi rapprocher la Tch\u00e9quie de la Hongrie et de la Slovaquie, cr\u00e9ant un troisi\u00e8me si\u00e8ge en d\u2019opposition constante \u00e0 Bruxelles.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cette situation rappellerait les ann\u00e9es du groupe de Visegr\u00e1d en 2015 dans une ambiance d\u00e9sormais ukraino-sceptique \u2014 avec l\u2019exception d\u2019une Pologne gouvern\u00e9e par les lib\u00e9raux.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Andrej Babi\u0161 est toutefois per\u00e7u plut\u00f4t comme \u00e9tant pragmatique, dont les choix pourraient d\u00e9pendre des coalitions qu\u2019il parviendra \u00e0 construire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 Strasbourg, ANO a longtemps fait partie de Renew avant de rejoindre les Patriotes pour l\u2019Europe (PfE) en 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/h4bCw\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>ANO promet de r\u00e9duire les imp\u00f4ts, baisser les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et s\u2019oppose aux quotas migratoires, tout en promettant de stopper les livraisons d\u2019armes \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine. En face, la coalition sortante Spolu insiste sur l\u2019importance de la d\u00e9fense, le respect des engagements internationaux et la continuit\u00e9 du soutien \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine. Le scrutin est \u00e9galement marqu\u00e9 par la mont\u00e9e de mouvements radicaux, comme la coalition SPD (extr\u00eame droite) ou le parti Sta\u010dilo&#160;! (gauche radicale).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Comme dans les cas de la <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/05\/03\/presidentielle-en-roumanie-6-points-sur-une-nouvelle-election-sans-georgescu-mais-a-lombre-de-lextreme-droite-et-des-ingerences-de-moscou-et-washington\/\">Roumanie<\/a> et de la <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/28\/elections-en-moldavie-la-campagne-dingerence-russe-setend-du-numerique-au-theologique\/\">Moldavie<\/a>, l&rsquo;ing\u00e9rence russe au cours de la campagne \u00e9lectorale a \u00e9t\u00e9 amplement document\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon une analyse r\u00e9alis\u00e9e par la revue tch\u00e8que <em>Voxpot<\/em>, les plus grands sites de d\u00e9sinformation proches du Kremlin produisent plus de contenu que tous les m\u00e9dias traditionnels tch\u00e8ques r\u00e9unis&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-300049' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-300049' title='Vojt\u011bch Boh\u00e1\u010d et Vojt\u011bch Pecka, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.voxpot.cz\/ruska-kampan-v-cesku-je-mnohem-vetsi-nez-jste-si-mysleli\/&quot;&gt;Rusk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 v \u010cesku je mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jste si mysleli&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Voxpot&lt;\/em&gt;, 25 ao\u00fbt 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le 28 septembre, le Centre de recherche sur les risques en ligne notait dans un communiqu\u00e9 que des comptes TikTok tch\u00e8ques comptant des millions d&rsquo;abonn\u00e9s \u00ab&#160;diffusent syst\u00e9matiquement de la propagande pro-russe et soutiennent les partis antisyst\u00e8me par le biais d&rsquo;une manipulation de l&rsquo;engagement&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-300049' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-300049' title='Rikard Jozwiak, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.rferl.org\/a\/czech-elections-shift-country-from-pro-european-path-ukraine-support\/33544846.html&quot;&gt;Czech Elections Could Shift Country Away From Pro-European Path, Impacting Support For Ukraine&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Radio Free Europe&lt;\/em&gt;, 1er octobre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/eAN8L\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon une enqu\u00eate Lord Ashcroft, pr\u00e8s de la moiti\u00e9 (46&#160;%) de la population tch\u00e8que consid\u00e8re que le soutien \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine \u00ab&#160;rend le pays moins s\u00fbr&#160;\u00bb. Ce chiffre monte \u00e0 56&#160;% chez les \u00e9lecteurs d\u2019ANO, tandis qu\u2019il n\u2019est que de 19&#160;% chez les soutiens de la coalition de centre droit Spolu&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-300049' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-300049' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/1lZOcNWTVS9ep4YJOQo62MbEIDBR_Wsny\/view&quot;&gt;Czech Election Survey&lt;\/a&gt;, Lord Ashcroft Polls, septembre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon le Kiel Institute, la R\u00e9publique tch\u00e8que se classe au 24e rang des pays ayant apport\u00e9 une assistance \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine depuis f\u00e9vrier 2022, avec une aide rapport\u00e9e au PIB de 0,16&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Prague a n\u00e9anmoins jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le clef dans plusieurs programmes, notamment <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/20\/a-linitiative-de-la-republique-tcheque-les-soutiens-de-lukraine-veulent-livrer-15-million-dobus-a-lukraine\/\">en coordonnant une initiative<\/a> visant \u00e0 livrer plusieurs centaines de milliers d\u2019obus \u00e0 l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Le pr\u00e9sident Petr Pavel, \u00e0 la t\u00eate du comit\u00e9 militaire de l\u2019Alliance atlantique de 2015 \u00e0 2018, sera amen\u00e9 \u00e0 jouer un r\u00f4le important dans la formation d\u2019une coalition de gouvernement. Celui-ci a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 en ao\u00fbt&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Quiconque encourage la Tch\u00e9quie \u00e0 se retirer de l&rsquo;OTAN ou de l&rsquo;Union europ\u00e9enne porte, \u00e0 mes yeux, pr\u00e9judice \u00e0 notre pays&#160;\u00bb. Il a ajout\u00e9&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Et c&rsquo;est l&rsquo;un des crit\u00e8res que je prendrai en compte lorsque je recevrai une proposition concernant la composition du nouveau gouvernement&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-300049' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-300049' title='Karolina Brodn\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e1, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/volby-do-poslanecke-snemovny-pavel-kazdy-kdo-nabada-k-odchodu-z-eu-a-nato-cesko-poskozuje-40534770&quot;&gt;Pavel&amp;#160;: Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo nab\u00e1d\u00e1 k odchodu z EU a NATO, \u010cesko po\u0161kozuje&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Novinky&lt;\/em&gt;, 18 ao\u00fbt 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui et demain, vendredi 3 et samedi 4 octobre, les Tch\u00e8ques sont appel\u00e9s aux urnes pour renouveler leur parlement \u2014 dont les membres \u00e9liront le Premier ministre. <\/p>\n<p>Le scrutin est clef pour l\u2019orientation internationale du pays, notamment vis-\u00e0-vis de l\u2019OTAN et de l\u2019Union.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":300053,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-300049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Vers une victoire du parti d\u2019Andrej Babi\u0161 en Tch\u00e9quie ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/10\/03\/vers-une-victoire-du-parti-dandrej-babis-en-tchequie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Vers une victoire du parti d\u2019Andrej Babi\u0161 en Tch\u00e9quie ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Aujourd\u2019hui et demain, vendredi 3 et samedi 4 octobre, les Tch\u00e8ques sont appel\u00e9s aux urnes pour renouveler leur parlement \u2014 dont les membres \u00e9liront le Premier ministre.   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