{"id":299589,"date":"2025-09-29T11:51:01","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T09:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=299589"},"modified":"2025-09-29T11:51:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T09:51:03","slug":"economie-russe-le-gouvernement-a-soumis-son-projet-de-loi-budgetaire-pour-2026-a-la-douma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/29\/economie-russe-le-gouvernement-a-soumis-son-projet-de-loi-budgetaire-pour-2026-a-la-douma\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: le gouvernement a soumis son projet de loi budg\u00e9taire pour 2026 \u00e0 la Douma"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le gouvernement table sur une croissance du PIB de 1,3&#160;% en 2026 (contre 1&#160;% dans les derni\u00e8res projections du FMI) et une hausse cumul\u00e9e de pr\u00e8s de 7&#160;% sur les trois prochaines ann\u00e9es&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-299589' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/29\/economie-russe-le-gouvernement-a-soumis-son-projet-de-loi-budgetaire-pour-2026-a-la-douma\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-299589' title='&lt;a href=&quot;http:\/\/government.ru\/news\/56347\/&quot;&gt;\u041f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0432\u043d\u0435\u0441\u043b\u043e \u0432 \u0413\u043e\u0441\u0434\u0443\u043c\u0443 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442 \u0442\u0440\u0451\u0445\u043b\u0435\u0442\u043d\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0431\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u043d\u0430 2026\u20132028 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u044b&lt;\/a&gt;, Gouvernement russe, 29 septembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cette augmentation ne suffirait toutefois pas \u00e0 compenser la hausse des d\u00e9penses, et le gouvernement russe anticipe ainsi un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 3 800 milliards de roubles l\u2019an prochain (soit 1,4&#160;% du PIB).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Celui-ci devrait baisser pour atteindre 3 100 milliards en 2027 (environ 1,2&#160;% du PIB, selon les projections de croissance actuelles) avant de remonter \u00e0 3 500 milliards en 2028 (1,2&#160;% du PIB).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/o01ZY\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le budget russe pour 2026 pr\u00e9sente trois axes principaux&#160;: le maintien des d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense \u00e0 leur niveau actuel \u2014 selon des documents vus par <em>Reuters<\/em>, celles-ci devraient en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 diminuer de 7&#160;% et passer de 13 500 milliards de roubles \u00e0 12 600 milliards&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-299589' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/29\/economie-russe-le-gouvernement-a-soumis-son-projet-de-loi-budgetaire-pour-2026-a-la-douma\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-299589' title='\u00a0Darya Korsunskaya et Gleb Bryanski, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/currencies\/russian-finance-ministry-proposes-raising-vat-help-finance-war-ukraine-2025-09-24\/&quot;&gt;Russian finance ministry proposes raising VAT to help fund Ukraine war&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 24 septembre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> \u2014, le \u00ab&#160;respect des obligations sociales&#160;\u00bb de l\u2019\u00c9tat ainsi que les mesures visant \u00e0 relancer la d\u00e9mographie. Avec 141 enfants pour 100 femmes en moyenne au cours de leur vie, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/05\/17\/vers-un-hiver-demographique-en-russie-la-perspective-dune-retraite-a-80-ans\/\">le taux de fertilit\u00e9 russe est l\u2019un des plus faibles au monde<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En d\u00e9cembre 2024, Vladimir Poutine avait d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00e0 plusieurs reprises vouloir atteindre un taux de 2,3 d\u2019ici 2030 afin d\u2019\u00e9viter \u00ab&#160;l\u2019extinction&#160;\u00bb du peuple russe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le ministre des Finances russe, Anton Siluanov, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense se maintiendraient \u00e0 leur niveau actuel en 2026&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-299589' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/29\/economie-russe-le-gouvernement-a-soumis-son-projet-de-loi-budgetaire-pour-2026-a-la-douma\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-299589' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/8077973&quot;&gt;\u0421\u0438\u043b\u0443\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432&amp;#160;: \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0431\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0443 \u0432 2026 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u043d\u0435 \u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u043d\u044f\u0442\u0441\u044f&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Kommersant&lt;\/em&gt;, 29 septembre 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Celles-ci repr\u00e9sentent cette ann\u00e9e 32,5&#160;% des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires totales, soit environ 13 500 milliards de roubles.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/R5gfy\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Afin de maintenir ce niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 de d\u00e9penses malgr\u00e9 une baisse des revenus, le budget contient plusieurs mesures potentiellement impopulaires comme <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/25\/economie-russe-pour-financer-la-guerre-le-kremlin-veut-augmenter-la-tva\/\">une hausse de la TVA de deux points<\/a>, la suppression de la r\u00e9duction de certaines cotisations sociales mise en place durant la pand\u00e9mie ainsi que l\u2019introduction de taxes suppl\u00e9mentaires sur les paris sportifs et les jeux d\u2019argent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le budget russe a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9labor\u00e9 sur la base d\u2019un taux directeur situ\u00e9 entre 12 et 13&#160;%, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/12\/economie-russe-face-a-la-menace-dune-recession-la-banque-centrale-abaisse-son-taux-directeur-a-17\/\">contre 17&#160;% actuellement<\/a> \u00e0 la suite d&rsquo;une baisse d\u00e9cid\u00e9e d\u00e9but septembre par la Banque centrale.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon le directeur de Sberbank, German Gref, ce taux est actuellement trop \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour voir une reprise \u00e9conomique en Russie, qui serait entr\u00e9e cet \u00e9t\u00e9 dans <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/04\/economie-russe-le-directeur-de-sberbank-alerte-quant-a-une-stagnation-technique-du-pays\/\">une phase de \u00ab&#160;stagnation technique&#160;\u00bb<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le conseil d\u2019administration de la Banque de Russie devrait se r\u00e9unir \u00e0 deux reprises d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, le 24 octobre puis le 19 d\u00e9cembre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, lundi 29 septembre, le Pr\u00e9sident du gouvernement russe Mikha\u00efl Michoustine a soumis \u00e0 la Douma d\u2019\u00c9tat, la chambre basse du parlement, le projet de loi budg\u00e9taire pour 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":299592,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-299589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-russie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9conomie russe : que contient le projet de budget pour 2026 ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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