{"id":297574,"date":"2025-09-12T14:52:23","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T12:52:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=297574"},"modified":"2025-09-12T14:52:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T12:52:25","slug":"economie-russe-face-a-la-menace-dune-recession-la-banque-centrale-abaisse-son-taux-directeur-a-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/12\/economie-russe-face-a-la-menace-dune-recession-la-banque-centrale-abaisse-son-taux-directeur-a-17\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9conomie russe&#160;: face \u00e0 la menace d\u2019une r\u00e9cession, la Banque centrale abaisse son taux directeur \u00e0 17&#160;%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La Banque centrale russe a proc\u00e9d\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 12 septembre, \u00e0 la troisi\u00e8me baisse de son taux directeur depuis le mois de juin. Celui-ci passe ainsi de 18 \u00e0 17&#160;%, soit un niveau toujours bien sup\u00e9rieur aux ann\u00e9es ayant pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9 le lancement de l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine, en f\u00e9vrier 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La majorit\u00e9 des \u00e9conomistes sond\u00e9s par les journaux russes pr\u00e9disaient une baisse de 2 points du taux directeur, en citant notamment un ralentissement plus rapide qu\u2019anticip\u00e9 du taux d\u2019inflation, un optimisme croissant de la part des entreprises ainsi qu\u2019une crainte li\u00e9e aux perspectives de croissance, revues \u00e0 la baisse ces derniers mois&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-297574' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/12\/economie-russe-face-a-la-menace-dune-recession-la-banque-centrale-abaisse-son-taux-directeur-a-17\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-297574' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/quote\/news\/article\/68c3a3e69a794730276cb814&quot;&gt;\u041a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u0430\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430 \u0426\u0411, \u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0438\u0433\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438, \u043a\u0443\u0440\u0441 \u0440\u0443\u0431\u043b\u044f&amp;#160;: \u0437\u0430 \u0447\u0435\u043c \u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044f&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;RBC&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 septembre 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/DbGla\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans son communiqu\u00e9, le conseil d\u2019administration de la Banque de Russie a indiqu\u00e9 que \u00ab&#160;les indicateurs de durabilit\u00e9 de la croissance des prix actuels n&rsquo;ont pas \u00e9volu\u00e9 de mani\u00e8re significative, et restent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 4&#160;% en rythme annualis\u00e9&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-297574' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/12\/economie-russe-face-a-la-menace-dune-recession-la-banque-centrale-abaisse-son-taux-directeur-a-17\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-297574' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/cbr.ru\/press\/pr\/?file=12092025_133000key.htm&quot;&gt;\u0411\u0430\u043d\u043a \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043d\u044f\u043b \u0440\u0435\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043d\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u0443\u044e \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0443 \u043d\u0430 100 \u0431.\u043f., \u0434\u043e 17,00&amp;#160;% \u0433\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque de Russie, 12 septembre 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Selon l\u2019institution, l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe \u00ab&#160;poursuit son retour \u00e0 une trajectoire de croissance \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e&#160;\u00bb \u2014 un diagnostic contest\u00e9 par plusieurs acteurs \u00e9conomiques russes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00e9but septembre, lors du Forum \u00e9conomique oriental, auquel a particip\u00e9 Vladimir Poutine, German Gref, le directeur de la plus grande banque russe, Sberbank, avait d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/09\/04\/economie-russe-le-directeur-de-sberbank-alerte-quant-a-une-stagnation-technique-du-pays\/\">la Russie \u00e9tait entr\u00e9e dans une phase de \u00ab&#160;stagnation technique&#160;\u00bb<\/a> marqu\u00e9e par une croissance proche de z\u00e9ro durant l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon Gref, la Banque de Russie doit ramener son taux directeur autour de 12&#160;% pour esp\u00e9rer voir une reprise de l\u2019\u00e9conomie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ces inqui\u00e9tudes quant \u00e0 la sant\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe sont partag\u00e9es par le ministre du D\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomique Maxim Reshetnikov, qui avait d\u00e9clar\u00e9 d\u00e8s le mois de juin que le pays se trouvait \u00ab&#160;<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/06\/19\/economie-russe-moscou-se-trouverait-au-bord-de-la-recession\/\">au bord de la r\u00e9cession<\/a>&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poutine a quant \u00e0 lui d\u00e9fendu la politique de \u00ab&#160;refroidissement&#160;\u00bb de l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe mise en place par la pr\u00e9sident de la Banque centrale, Elvira Nabioullina, rejetant ainsi le diagnostic expos\u00e9 par Gref.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/5piJq\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans son rapport annuel publi\u00e9 la semaine derni\u00e8re, la Banque centrale russe anticipe un retour de l\u2019inflation autour de 4&#160;% au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026. L\u2019institution a toutefois de nouveau soulign\u00e9 dans son communiqu\u00e9 qu\u2019une baisse de la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale ainsi que des prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient affaiblir le rouble, et ainsi contribuer \u00e0 une hausse de l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019inflation annuelle se situait \u00e0 8,2&#160;% au 8 septembre, selon la Banque de Russie, soit une baisse de 0,6 point par rapport \u00e0 juillet (8,8&#160;%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans ses pr\u00e9visions, l\u2019institution vise un taux d\u2019inflation entre 6 et 7&#160;% d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le conseil d\u2019administration de l\u2019institution devrait se r\u00e9unir \u00e0 deux reprises d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, le 24 octobre puis le 19 d\u00e9cembre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 12 septembre, le conseil d\u2019administration de la Banque de Russie a annonc\u00e9 avoir pris la d\u00e9cision d\u2019abaisser son taux directeur d\u2019un point de pourcentage, qui passe ainsi de 18 \u00e0 17&#160;&#160;%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":297578,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-297574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-russie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9conomie russe : la Banque centrale abaisse son taux directeur<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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