{"id":292588,"date":"2025-08-13T07:43:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T05:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=292588"},"modified":"2025-08-13T07:44:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T05:44:03","slug":"les-employes-du-pentagone-commandent-ils-plus-de-pizzas-avant-de-lancer-des-operations-militaires","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/08\/13\/les-employes-du-pentagone-commandent-ils-plus-de-pizzas-avant-de-lancer-des-operations-militaires\/","title":{"rendered":"Les employ\u00e9s du Pentagone commandent-ils plus de pizzas avant de lancer des op\u00e9rations militaires&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Sur X (ex-Twitter) et dans les cercles journalistiques, les bombardements et frappes am\u00e9ricaines sur le programme nucl\u00e9aire iranien du 22 juin ont provoqu\u00e9 la perplexit\u00e9 pour deux raisons&#160;: tout d\u2019abord, car il s\u2019agissait de la premi\u00e8re fois que l\u2019arm\u00e9e am\u00e9ricaine attaquait directement l\u2019Iran&#160;; mais \u00e9galement, car une fois encore, l\u2019attaque semble avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 anticip\u00e9e par un indicateur pr\u00e9cis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le \u00ab&#160;Pizza Index&#160;\u00bb du Pentagone est tr\u00e8s probablement apparu pour la premi\u00e8re fois en 1989, en amont de l&rsquo;invasion am\u00e9ricaine du Panama d\u00e9cid\u00e9e par George H. W. Bush.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Avant Internet et le suivi en temps r\u00e9el de la fr\u00e9quentation des lieux via Google Maps, des employ\u00e9s de plusieurs pizzerias Domino\u2019s de Washington avaient d\u00e9clar\u00e9&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Nous le savons [&#8230;] Les commandes du Pentagone ont doubl\u00e9 la veille de l&rsquo;attaque contre Panama&#160;; la m\u00eame chose s&rsquo;est produite avant l&rsquo;invasion de la Grenade&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-292588' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/08\/13\/les-employes-du-pentagone-commandent-ils-plus-de-pizzas-avant-de-lancer-des-operations-militaires\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-292588' title='Paul Gray, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/time.com\/archive\/6715614\/and-bomb-the-anchovies\/&quot;&gt;And Bomb The Anchovies&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Time&lt;\/em&gt;, 13 ao\u00fbt 1990.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aujourd&rsquo;hui, un compte X suivi par plus de 200 000 personnes baptis\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;Pentagon Pizza Report&#160;\u00bb, surveille en temps r\u00e9el l\u2019affluence dans les pizzerias de la capitale dans l\u2019espoir d&rsquo;anticiper le moindre pic.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zmkBI\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon cette th\u00e9orie, en amont d&rsquo;une hausse de la charge de travail, susceptible d&rsquo;\u00eatre provoqu\u00e9e par le lancement d&rsquo;une op\u00e9ration militaire, les pizzerias situ\u00e9es \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 du Pentagone re\u00e7oivent davantage de commandes. Celles-ci pourraient provenir de fonctionnaires du d\u00e9partement de la D\u00e9fense et de leurs familles, qui commanderaient davantage de pizzas que d&rsquo;habitude.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Un lien de causalit\u00e9 entre la hausse des commandes de pizza et le lancement d&rsquo;op\u00e9rations militaires est toutefois peu plausible pour plusieurs raisons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tout d\u2019abord, le Pentagone compte plus d\u2019une dizaine de restaurants et de fast-foods en son sein, ce qui rendrait la commande d&rsquo;en-cas pour une longue nuit de travail bien plus facile.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>De plus, comme en t\u00e9moigne un ancien conseiller du d\u00e9partement de la D\u00e9fense am\u00e9ricain, il est tr\u00e8s difficile de se faire livrer des pizzas \u00e0 l&rsquo;int\u00e9rieur du b\u00e2timent pour des raisons de s\u00e9curit\u00e9. Sortir pour r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer une commande de pizzas en temps de crise serait \u00e9galement particuli\u00e8rement sensible&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-292588' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/08\/13\/les-employes-du-pentagone-commandent-ils-plus-de-pizzas-avant-de-lancer-des-operations-militaires\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-292588' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/etbrooking\/status\/1819777339636564352?lang=fr&quot;&gt;Publication sur X d\u2019Emerson T. Brooking&lt;\/a&gt;, 3 ao\u00fbt 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La m\u00e9thode de Google pour \u00e9valuer la fr\u00e9quentation d&rsquo;un lieu par rapport \u00e0 une moyenne historique, utilis\u00e9e pour surveiller \u00ab&#160;l&rsquo;activit\u00e9&#160;\u00bb dans les pizzerias situ\u00e9es \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 du Pentagone, pourrait par ailleurs s&rsquo;av\u00e9rer approximative.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>De plus, toutes les pizzerias de la capitale f\u00e9d\u00e9rale ne disposent pas d\u2019un affichage des donn\u00e9es de fr\u00e9quentation en raison d\u2019une quantit\u00e9 trop faible de donn\u00e9es d\u2019utilisateurs ou bien d\u2019une fermeture temporaire pour travaux, d\u2019une ouverture r\u00e9cente, etc\u2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019apparente causalit\u00e9 entre un pic d\u2019activit\u00e9 et des attaques am\u00e9ricaines lors des frappes sur l\u2019Iran du 22 juin semble avoir contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 renforcer un biais de confirmation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cependant, Google ne rendant pas publiques ses donn\u00e9es sur les horaires d\u2019affluence, il est impossible de mener une \u00e9tude rigoureuse permettant de tester cette th\u00e9orie.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, une croyance s&rsquo;est form\u00e9e&#160;&#160;: il serait possible de pr\u00e9dire le lancement imminent d&rsquo;une intervention am\u00e9ricaine ou d&rsquo;une crise g\u00e9opolitique en surveillant la fr\u00e9quentation des pizzerias situ\u00e9es \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 du Pentagone.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":292589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3468],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-292588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donnees-qui-changent-la-donne","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les employ\u00e9s du Pentagone commandent-ils plus de pizzas avant de lancer des op\u00e9rations militaires ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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