{"id":286850,"date":"2025-07-07T13:16:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T11:16:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=286850"},"modified":"2025-07-07T13:16:07","modified_gmt":"2025-07-07T11:16:07","slug":"alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/07\/alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie\/","title":{"rendered":"Alors qu\u2019elle peine \u00e0 avancer dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe reconsid\u00e8re sa strat\u00e9gie"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Si l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe a acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 son rythme de progression en Ukraine au cours des derni\u00e8res semaines, et conquis <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/03\/larmee-russe-a-conquis-556-km%C2%B2-de-territoire-ukrainien-en-juin-soit-25-de-plus-quen-mai\/\">556 km\u00b2 de territoire ukrainien en juin<\/a> \u2014 soit 25&#160;% de plus qu\u2019en mai \u2014, ses principaux objectifs sont loin d\u2019\u00eatre atteints. C\u2019est notamment le cas dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk, en direction de Kostiantynivka, o\u00f9 les combattants russes peinent \u00e0 progresser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kostiantynivka fait partie, aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de Droujkivka, Kramatorsk et Sloviansk, des \u00ab&#160;bastions&#160;\u00bb toujours aux mains des Ukrainiens dans le sud du pays.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leur capture faciliterait consid\u00e9rablement le lancement par Moscou de nouveaux assauts dans la r\u00e9gion, et permettrait \u00e0 Poutine de s\u2019approcher de son objectif de guerre&#160;: occuper la totalit\u00e9 des oblasts de Donetsk et Louhansk.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le commandement russe cherche \u00e9galement \u00e0 compl\u00e9ter la fermeture de la poche de r\u00e9sistance ukrainienne autour de Toretsk afin de niveler le front et ainsi attaquer Kostiantynivka depuis le sud.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/hcWMa\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Plus d&rsquo;un an apr\u00e8s avoir p\u00e9n\u00e9tr\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/05\/13\/a-tchassiv-yar-poutine-envoie-sa-propre-garde-presidentielle-pour-capturer-la-ville\/\">dans la ville de Tchassiv Yar<\/a>, situ\u00e9e \u00e0 une dizaine de kilom\u00e8tres au nord-est de Kostiantynivka, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe est enlis\u00e9e dans cette direction. Au sud, autour de Toretsk, la situation est relativement similaire&#160;: l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe est entr\u00e9e dans la ville en ao\u00fbt 2024, et peine toujours \u00e0 progresser le long de la route \u0422-05-16, qui relie Kostiantynivka, \u00e0 une quinzaine de kilom\u00e8tres au nord-ouest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Face \u00e0 une apparente impasse, le commandement russe semble reconsid\u00e9rer sa strat\u00e9gie.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En grande partie bloqu\u00e9e le long des principaux axes routiers et ralentie par les d\u00e9fenses ukrainiennes, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe a renforc\u00e9 ses efforts offensifs en direction de villages situ\u00e9s entre Pokrovsk et Kostiantynivka.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La semaine derni\u00e8re, Moscou a ainsi captur\u00e9 Koptieve et Shevchenko Pershe, et progresse d\u00e9sormais en direction de Popiv Yar, Razine et Novotoretske.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fin juin, le commandant en chef des forces arm\u00e9es ukrainiennes, Oleksandre Syrsky, avertissait que les combats dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk se poursuivaient dans une \u00ab&#160;nouvelle direction&#160;\u00bb, vers Dobropillia&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-286850' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/07\/alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-286850' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/osirskiy\/1200&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram d\u2019Oleksandre Syrsky&lt;\/a&gt;, 28 juin 2025.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/vl6SX\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Apr\u00e8s plusieurs mois de tentatives d\u2019assauts frontaux et de frappes de drones et de bombes planantes, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe pourrait ainsi renoncer \u00e0 sa tentative de capturer directement Kostiantynivka. \u00c0 la place, il semble que le commandement favorise la formation d\u2019un chaudron, large d\u2019une vingtaine de kilom\u00e8tres, qui consisterait \u00e0 prendre en tenaille la ville et contraindre les d\u00e9fenseurs ukrainiens \u00e0 \u00e9vacuer, appliquant ainsi une strat\u00e9gie utilis\u00e9e pour <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\">capturer Avdiivka<\/a> en f\u00e9vrier 2024&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-286850' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/07\/alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-286850' title='Donald Hill, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/substack.com\/@xxtomcooperxx\/p-167708120&quot;&gt;Don&amp;rsquo;s Weekly, 7 July 2025&amp;#160;: Part 1&lt;\/a&gt;, Substack, 7 juillet 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Au rythme actuel, il faudrait plus de deux ans (26 mois) \u00e0 l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe pour occuper le reste de l\u2019oblast de Donetsk.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si Poutine semble d\u00e9termin\u00e9 \u00e0 maintenir son offensive en Ukraine et refuse tout cessez-le-feu avant d\u2019avoir atteint ses objectifs de guerre, la Russie dispose de r\u00e9serves humaines <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/01\/larmee-russe-peut-elle-gagner-la-guerre-sans-vehicules-blindes\/\">et mat\u00e9rielles<\/a> limit\u00e9es \u2014 bien que substantielles.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ces derniers mois, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/05\/economie-russe-larmee-de-poutine-perd-elle-plus-de-soldats-quelle-nen-recrute\/\">les recrutements dans l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe ont ralenti<\/a> par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019hiver 2024, poussant le pr\u00e9sident russe \u00e0 user de son image lors d&rsquo;\u00e9v\u00e9nements publics pour encourager la jeunesse russe \u00e0 s\u2019engager dans l\u2019arm\u00e9e&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-286850' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/07\/alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-286850' title='&lt;a href=&quot;http:\/\/kremlin.ru\/events\/president\/news\/77371&quot;&gt;\u0424\u043e\u0440\u0443\u043c \u041d\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0444\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u00ab&amp;#160;\u0412\u0441\u0451 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u041f\u043e\u0431\u0435\u0434\u044b&amp;#160;!&amp;#160;\u00bb&lt;\/a&gt;, Kremlin, 6 juillet 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Au rythme actuel, il faudrait plus de deux ans \u00e0 la Russie pour occuper le reste de l\u2019oblast de Donetsk.<\/p>\n<p>Alors qu\u2019elle est en grande partie enlis\u00e9e en direction de Kostiantynivka, l\u2019un des principaux objectifs de guerre de Poutine, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe semble r\u00e9orienter ses efforts afin de contourner la ville et la prendre en tenaille.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":286852,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-286850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":286852,"excerpt":"Au rythme actuel, il faudrait plus de deux ans \u00e0 la Russie pour occuper le reste de l\u2019oblast de Donetsk.\r\n\r\nAlors qu\u2019elle est en grande partie enlis\u00e9e en direction de Kostiantynivka, l\u2019un des principaux objectifs de guerre de Poutine, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe semble r\u00e9orienter ses efforts afin de contourner la ville et la prendre en tenaille.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Enlis\u00e9e \u00e0 Donetsk, l&#039;arm\u00e9e russe reconsid\u00e8re sa strat\u00e9gie<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/07\/07\/alors-quelle-peine-a-avancer-dans-loblast-de-donetsk-larmee-russe-reconsidere-sa-strategie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Enlis\u00e9e \u00e0 Donetsk, l&#039;arm\u00e9e russe reconsid\u00e8re sa strat\u00e9gie\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Au rythme actuel, il faudrait plus de deux ans \u00e0 la Russie 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