{"id":279849,"date":"2025-05-18T21:09:35","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T19:09:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=279849"},"modified":"2025-05-18T21:26:45","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T19:26:45","slug":"pologne-trzaskowski-en-tete-de-la-presidentielle-vers-un-duel-ko-pis-au-second-tour-exit-polls-a-21h","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/05\/18\/pologne-trzaskowski-en-tete-de-la-presidentielle-vers-un-duel-ko-pis-au-second-tour-exit-polls-a-21h\/","title":{"rendered":"Pologne&#160;: Trzaskowski en t\u00eate de la pr\u00e9sidentielle, vers un duel KO-PiS au second tour (exit polls \u00e0 21h)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><br>Les Polonais votaient aujourd\u2019hui dans le cadre du premier tour de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle. Les sondages de sortie des urnes sont relativement conformes aux derniers sondages avant l\u2019\u00e9lection, mais ils donnent une moindre avance que pr\u00e9vue au candidat en t\u00eate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/eHHo5\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00c0 la premi\u00e8re place, les Polonais ont plac\u00e9 Rafa\u0142 Trzaskowski, actuel maire lib\u00e9ral de Varsovie et candidat de la Coalition civique (KO, PPE), coalition de centre-droit dont est issu le Premier ministre Donald Tusk. Trzaskowski a obtenu 30,8&#160;% des voix selon le sondage IPSOS publi\u00e9 par la cha\u00eene TVP Info.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le maire de Varsovie devrait affronter au second tour Karol Nawrocki, historien jusqu\u2019alors directeur de l\u2019Institut de la m\u00e9moire nationale, adoub\u00e9 par le parti national-conservateur Droit et justice (PiS, CRE), qui a obtenu 29,1&#160;% des voix.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 la troisi\u00e8me place, et donc non qualifi\u00e9 pour le second tour, figure S\u0142awomir Mentzen, candidat du regroupement d\u2019extr\u00eame-droite Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration, qui aurait obtenu 15,4&#160;% des voix, alors qu\u2019il atteignait parfois jusqu\u2019\u00e0 19&#160;% des intentions de vote en mars, avant de replonger \u00e0 l\u2019approche du scrutin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il faut noter la quatri\u00e8me place occup\u00e9e par le candidat d\u2019extr\u00eame-droite antis\u00e9mite Grzegorz Braun, qui devance le pr\u00e9sident de la Di\u00e8te Szymon Ho\u0142ownia et les candidats de gauche.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les r\u00e9sultats d\u00e9finitifs sont attendus plus tard dans la nuit. Pour le second tour, tous les sondages publi\u00e9s jusqu\u2019\u00e0 vendredi donnaient Trzaskowski gagnant, m\u00eame si l\u2019\u00e9cart s\u2019est resserr\u00e9 derni\u00e8rement. Si les \u00e9lecteurs du centre et de la gauche devraient plut\u00f4t se tourner vers Trzaskowski, les reports de voix des \u00e9lecteurs de Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration sont les plus volumiques \u00e0 engranger pour les deux candidats. La pr\u00e9sence de Braun dans le quatuor de t\u00eate est \u00e0 l\u2019heure actuelle l\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ment qui frappe le plus l\u2019opinion publique polonaise. Il constitue une r\u00e9serve de voix probable pour Nawrocki, mais peut-\u00eatre aussi un argument de mobilisation suppl\u00e9mentaire du camp lib\u00e9ral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/McAcG\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le pr\u00e9sident polonais est le chef de l\u2019\u00c9tat mais n\u2019a pas de r\u00f4le l\u00e9gislatif direct et ne repr\u00e9sente pas le pays dans les institutions internationales&#160;; c\u2019est le r\u00f4le du Premier ministre. En revanche, il dispose d\u2019un <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/04\/03\/le-test-de-tusk-10-points-sur-la-presidentielle-en-pologne-x\/\">droit de v\u00e9to<\/a> sur de nombreux projets de lois, peut diff\u00e9rer l\u2019adoption d\u2019une loi \u2013 notamment les lois de finance \u2013 et reste le chef des arm\u00e9es, dans un pays qui entend d\u00e9penser 5&#160;% de son PIB dans la d\u00e9fense en 2025. Figure de l\u2019ex\u00e9cutif, il est aussi un visage du pays \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Selon les sondages de sortie des urnes publi\u00e9s \u00e0 21 heures, Rafa\u0142 Trzaskowski, candidat du parti du Premier ministre Donald Tusk, est arriv\u00e9 en t\u00eate du premier tour de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle polonaise, mais de tr\u00e8s peu. Il affrontera au second tour Karol Nawrocki, soutenu par le parti Droit et justice (PiS), le 1er juin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":279850,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[1560],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-279849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","staff-olivier-lenoir","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pologne : Trzaskowski en t\u00eate de la pr\u00e9sidentielle, vers un duel KO-PiS au second tour (exit polls \u00e0 21h) | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/05\/18\/pologne-trzaskowski-en-tete-de-la-presidentielle-vers-un-duel-ko-pis-au-second-tour-exit-polls-a-21h\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pologne : Trzaskowski en t\u00eate de la pr\u00e9sidentielle, vers un duel KO-PiS au second tour (exit polls \u00e0 21h) | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Selon les sondages de sortie des urnes publi\u00e9s \u00e0 21 heures, Rafa\u0142 Trzaskowski, candidat du parti du Premier ministre Donald Tusk, est arriv\u00e9 en t\u00eate du premier tour de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle polonaise, mais de tr\u00e8s peu. 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