{"id":261288,"date":"2025-02-04T12:30:28","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T11:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=261288"},"modified":"2025-02-04T12:30:30","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T11:30:30","slug":"la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/","title":{"rendered":"La Russie va-t-elle entra\u00eener la G\u00e9orgie dans la guerre&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Suite \u00e0 la livraison par la France et le Royaume-Uni de missiles de croisi\u00e8re SCALP\/Storm Shadow en 2023, l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne a contraint l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/24\/du-drone-au-char-dassaut-la-guerre-dukraine-en-10-armes-clefs\/\">abandonner sa base navale<\/a> de S\u00e9bastopol. Autrefois quartier-g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de sa flotte de la mer Noire, Moscou a entrepris en septembre 2023 la d\u00e9molition des b\u00e2timents accueillant officiers et marins, au c\u0153ur de la ville, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/09\/27\/le-commandant-de-la-flotte-russe-de-la-mer-noire-a-t-il-ete-tue-par-une-frappe-ukrainienne\/\">frapp\u00e9s quelques mois plus t\u00f4t<\/a>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-261288' title='Gilles Gear et Dominic Nicholls, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/world-news\/2023\/09\/25\/russia-blows-up-own-hq\/&quot;&gt;Ukraine&amp;#160;: The Latest -Russia blows up own HQ&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Telegraph&lt;\/em&gt;, 25 septembre 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis cette victoire majeure pour Kiev, qui lui a permis de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/24\/du-drone-au-char-dassaut-la-guerre-dukraine-en-10-armes-clefs\/\">briser le blocus russe<\/a> de la mer Noire, l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne a continu\u00e9 de d\u00e9velopper ses propres missiles et drones, accentuant la menace pour les b\u00e2timents de la marine russe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Principalement d\u00e9plac\u00e9s \u00e0 Novorossiisk, \u00e0 plusieurs centaines \u00e0 l\u2019Est de S\u00e9bastopol, dans le kra\u00ef de Krasnodar, les navires russes font toujours fr\u00e9quemment l\u2019objet d\u2019attaques qui parviennent parfois \u00e0 passer outre les d\u00e9fenses anti-a\u00e9riennes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans la nuit du 10 au 11 janvier, au moins 7 drones ukrainiens ont frapp\u00e9 le port de Novorossiisk&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-261288' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/bazabazon\/34239&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram de Baza&lt;\/a&gt;, 10 janvier 2025.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Ces attaques forcent la marine russe <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/10\/06\/la-russie-est-elle-en-train-de-perdre-le-controle-de-la-mer-noire\/\">\u00e0 \u00e9vacuer ses b\u00e2timents<\/a>, qui sont contraints de naviguer vers le canal Don-Volga, au Nord, ou bien plus au Sud en direction des c\u00f4tes g\u00e9orgiennes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-261288' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/mil.in.ua\/uk\/news\/ugrupuvannya-chornomorskogo-flotu-rf-pokynulo-bazu-v-novorosijsku\/&quot;&gt;\u0423\u0433\u0440\u0443\u043f\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0427\u043e\u0440\u043d\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0440\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0444\u043b\u043e\u0442\u0443 \u0420\u0424 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0438\u043d\u0443\u043b\u043e \u0431\u0430\u0437\u0443 \u0432 \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0443&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;\u041c\u0456\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0430\u0440\u043d\u0438\u0439&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 septembre 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/GkyaN\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Afin de trouver une solution de repli plus permanente pour sa marine, la Russie a entrepris depuis 2023 des travaux visant \u00e0 permettre au port d\u2019Otchamtchir\u00e9, <em>de facto <\/em>contr\u00f4l\u00e9 par les s\u00e9paratistes de la r\u00e9publique d&rsquo;Abkhazie, d\u2019accueillir des navires de guerre. Des images satellites montrent que l\u2019entr\u00e9e du port a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9largie au cours des derniers mois, et un navire remorqueur a \u00e9t\u00e9 vu mouiller dans le port g\u00e9orgien \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2024&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-261288' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/video\/series\/in-depth-features\/russias-new-naval-base-threatens-to-drag-georgia-into-ukraine-war\/A47A5873-B367-4B69-B953-034E0C32EF7F&quot;&gt;Russia\u2019s New Naval Base Threatens to Drag Georgia Into Ukraine War&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 31 janvier 2025.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la Russie venait \u00e0 \u00e9tablir une pr\u00e9sence militaire permanente dans le port d\u2019Otchamtchir\u00e9, le territoire g\u00e9orgien serait susceptible d\u2019\u00eatre vis\u00e9 par des frappes ukrainiennes \u2014 entra\u00eenant ainsi Tbilissi dans la guerre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Moscou dispose d\u00e9j\u00e0 de plusieurs bases militaires terrestres en Abkhazie, notamment pour accueillir des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de sa 58e arm\u00e9e. Les forces s\u00e9paratistes g\u00e9orgiennes sont par ailleurs financi\u00e8rement et politiquement d\u00e9pendantes de la Russie, et ne sont pas en mesure de s\u2019opposer \u00e0 la construction d\u2019une base navale&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-261288' title='Natia Seskuria, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/rusi.org\/explore-our-research\/publications\/commentary\/russia-expanding-its-battlefront-georgia&quot;&gt;Is Russia Expanding its Battlefront to Georgia&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, 23 octobre 2023.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si la c\u00f4te g\u00e9orgienne de la mer Noire devenait un th\u00e9\u00e2tre de guerre, cela mettrait grandement en p\u00e9ril la Route internationale de transport transcaspienne, aussi appel\u00e9e <em>middle corridor<\/em>, qui relie l\u2019Europe \u00e0 la Chine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Depuis le lancement de l\u2019invasion en f\u00e9vrier 2022, une partie des marchandises chinoises qui transitaient autrefois par le territoire russe via le corridor du nord ont \u00e9t\u00e9 redirig\u00e9es plus au Sud, par la Caspienne et la mer Noire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La capacit\u00e9 annuelle de transport du <em>middle corridor <\/em>est toujours bien inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la route russe (environ 100 millions), mais conna\u00eet depuis 2022 une forte augmentation. La Banque mondiale anticipe que celle-ci pourrait tripler entre 2023 et 2030, atteignant 11 millions de tonnes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-261288' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/thedocs.worldbank.org\/en\/doc\/6248f697aed4be0f770d319dcaa4ca52-0080062023\/original\/Middle-Trade-and-Transport-Corridor-World-Bank-FINAL.pdf&quot;&gt;The Middle Trade and Transport Corridor&amp;#160;: Policies and Investments to Triple Freight Volumes and Halve Travel Time by 2030&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque mondiale, 27 novembre 2023.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/hiwCY\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La construction par la Russie d\u2019une base militaire \u00e0 seulement 35 kilom\u00e8tres au nord d\u2019Anaklia, le port par o\u00f9 transitent les marchandises du <em>middle corridor<\/em>, pourrait contribuer \u00e0 d\u00e9stabiliser davantage la mer Noire mais \u00e9galement mettre fin aux travaux en cours \u00e0 Anaklia, vus d\u2019un mauvais oeil par Moscou. En 2018, Sergue\u00ef Lavrov avait d\u00e9clar\u00e9&#160;: \u00ab&#160;les Am\u00e9ricains pr\u00e9voyaient d\u2019y d\u00e9ployer leurs sous-marins nucl\u00e9aires [..] Une base de l&rsquo;OTAN est en construction pr\u00e8s de Tbilissi. Ils ont sign\u00e9 une d\u00e9claration officielle \u00e0 cet effet. Et il y a trois laboratoires biologiques en G\u00e9orgie&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-7-261288' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-261288' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/mid.ru\/en\/foreign_policy\/news\/1580376\/?lang=ru&quot;&gt;\u0418\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0432\u044c\u044e \u041c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430 \u0438\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0434\u0435\u043b \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u0421.\u0412.\u041b\u0430\u0432\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0440\u0430\u0434\u0438\u043e \u00ab&amp;#160;\u041a\u043e\u043c\u0441\u043e\u043c\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0430\u044f \u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0434\u0430&amp;#160;\u00bb, \u041c\u043e\u0441\u043a\u0432\u0430&lt;\/a&gt;, Minist\u00e8re russe des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res, 17 d\u00e9cembre 2018.'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 contrainte d\u2019abandonner la base navale de S\u00e9bastopol, en Crim\u00e9e, la marine russe s\u2019est d\u00e9plac\u00e9e plus \u00e0 l\u2019Est, \u00e0 Novorossiisk, en territoire russe. Cependant, en raison de la menace pos\u00e9e par les drones et missiles ukrainiens, Moscou a entrepris en 2023 des travaux visant \u00e0 permettre au port d\u2019Otchamtchir\u00e9, en G\u00e9orgie, d\u2019accueillir des navires militaires.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":261287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-261288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":261287,"excerpt":"Apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 contrainte d\u2019abandonner la base navale de S\u00e9bastopol, en Crim\u00e9e, la marine russe s\u2019est d\u00e9plac\u00e9e plus \u00e0 l\u2019Est, \u00e0 Novorossiisk, en territoire russe. Cependant, en raison de la menace pos\u00e9e par les drones et missiles ukrainiens, Moscou a entrepris en 2023 des travaux visant \u00e0 permettre au port d\u2019Otchamtchir\u00e9, en G\u00e9orgie, d\u2019accueillir des navires militaires.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La Russie va-t-elle entra\u00eener la G\u00e9orgie dans la guerre ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La Russie va-t-elle entra\u00eener la G\u00e9orgie dans la guerre ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 contrainte d\u2019abandonner la base navale de S\u00e9bastopol, en Crim\u00e9e, la marine russe s\u2019est d\u00e9plac\u00e9e plus \u00e0 l\u2019Est, \u00e0 Novorossiisk, en territoire russe. Cependant, en raison de la menace pos\u00e9e par les drones et missiles ukrainiens, Moscou a entrepris en 2023 des travaux visant \u00e0 permettre au port d\u2019Otchamtchir\u00e9, en G\u00e9orgie, d\u2019accueillir des navires militaires.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-04T11:30:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-02-04T11:30:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/gc-share-russie-base-Otchamtchire.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1906\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1068\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/gc-share-russie-base-Otchamtchire.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2025\/02\/04\/la-russie-va-t-elle-entrainer-la-georgie-dans-la-guerre\/\",\"name\":\"La Russie va-t-elle entra\u00eener la G\u00e9orgie dans la guerre ? 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