{"id":253341,"date":"2024-11-29T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-29T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=253341"},"modified":"2024-11-28T21:43:07","modified_gmt":"2024-11-28T20:43:07","slug":"quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/","title":{"rendered":"Qu\u2019attendre des \u00e9lections irlandaises&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La d\u00e9faite d\u00e9mocrate aux \u00c9tats-Unis, l\u2019affaissement de la coalition \u00e9lectorale d\u2019Emmanuel Macron en France ou la d\u00e9faite des Conservateurs au Royaume-Uni ont fait na\u00eetre le sentiment, largement relay\u00e9 et amplifi\u00e9 dans les m\u00e9dias, que les partis au pouvoir connaissaient une ann\u00e9e noire marqu\u00e9e par un taux \u00e9lev\u00e9 de d\u00e9faites dans les urnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si cette observation se v\u00e9rifie en Occident \u2014 et notamment en Europe \u2014, elle ne s\u2019applique pas au reste du monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/5VGKz\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sur les 84 \u00e9lections qui se sont tenues depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, les partis vainqueurs lors du pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent scrutin <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/25\/dans-7-elections-sur-10-depuis-le-debut-de-lannee-les-partis-ayant-remporte-les-precedents-scrutins-ont-a-nouveau-gagne\/\">ont termin\u00e9 premier dans pr\u00e8s de 70&#160;% des \u00e9lections<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En Inde, la coalition de Narendra Modi dispose toujours d\u2019une majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 la Lok Sabha&#160;; au Mexique, le parti de l\u2019ex-pr\u00e9sident Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador a conserv\u00e9 le contr\u00f4le des deux chambres et la pr\u00e9sidence&#160;; en Uruguay, le parti du nouveau pr\u00e9sident Yamand\u00fa Orsi a gagn\u00e9 des si\u00e8ges au S\u00e9nat et \u00e0 la Chambre des repr\u00e9sentants par rapport \u00e0 2019\u2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les \u00e9lections irlandaises ne devraient pas conduire \u00e0 un renversement de la politique du pays. Le paysage \u00e9lectoral est domin\u00e9 par des partis centristes, tandis que la faible demande des \u00e9lecteurs n\u2019a conduit \u00e0 la cr\u00e9ation d\u2019aucun parti majeur populiste ou d\u2019extr\u00eame-droite. Depuis plus d\u2019un si\u00e8cle, seulement deux partis ont produit des Taoiseach&#160;: Fianna F\u00e1il et Fine Gael.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives de 2020 avaient plac\u00e9 le Sinn F\u00e9in (GUE), partisan de la r\u00e9unification de l\u2019Irlande, en t\u00eate. Une coalition tripartite de gouvernement entre le Fianna F\u00e1il (RE), le Fine Gael (PPE) et le Parti vert avait finalement \u00e9t\u00e9 form\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les 3 partis se sont mis d\u2019accord pour anticiper les \u00e9lections initialement pr\u00e9vues pour mars 2025. Ce nouveau scrutin permettra d\u2019\u00e9lire pour la premi\u00e8re fois 174 d\u00e9put\u00e9s (contre 160 actuellement).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/20532607\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les derniers sondages d\u2019intention de vote montrent une chute importante du Sinn F\u00e9in au profit du centre-droit incarn\u00e9 par le Fine Gael du Premier ministre actuel, Simon Harris, et du Fianna F\u00e1il. Cela pourrait aboutir \u00e0 une coalition de gouvernement entre les deux partis, qui n\u2019auraient plus \u00e0 s\u2019appuyer sur leur partenaire \u00e9cologiste.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/OpM2J\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Parmi les grands sujets de campagne, s\u2019est impos\u00e9e l\u2019utilisation propos\u00e9e des revenus issus d\u2019un remboursement de 13 milliards d\u2019euros que la CJUE a impos\u00e9 \u00e0 Apple (12&#160;% des d\u00e9penses de l\u2019\u00c9tat), au profit des finances publiques irlandaises \u2014 l\u2019une des derni\u00e8res grandes victoires de la commissaire \u00e0 la Concurrence Vestager.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le logement est \u00e9galement apparu comme l\u2019un des principaux sujets de la campagne&#160;: entre 2012 et 2022, le prix des logements \u00e0 l\u2019achat a augment\u00e9 de 75&#160;%. Cette hausse est notamment due \u00e0 l\u2019arriv\u00e9e de pr\u00e8s de 100 000 personnes entre avril 2023 et 2024, ainsi que d\u2019un nombre important de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s ukrainiens depuis 2022&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-253341' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-253341' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cso.ie\/en\/releasesandpublications\/ep\/p-pme\/populationandmigrationestimatesapril2024\/keyfindings\/#:~:text=Commenting%20on%20the%20data%2C%20Eva,the%20population%20rose%20by%20109%2C200.&quot;&gt;Population and Migration Estimates, April 2024&lt;\/a&gt;, Central Statistics Office, 27 ao\u00fbt 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019Irlande serait par ailleurs l\u2019un des \u00c9tats membres <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/21\/quels-pays-europeens-seraient-le-plus-impactes-par-les-tarifs-douaniers-annonces-par-trump\/\">les plus impact\u00e9s par des tarifs douaniers am\u00e9ricains<\/a>, Dublin \u00e9tant le troisi\u00e8me exportateur europ\u00e9en de biens vers les \u00c9tats-Unis, derri\u00e8re l\u2019Allemagne et l\u2019Italie.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mMcJ0\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019absence de grand parti d\u2019extr\u00eame-droite, l\u2019immigration s\u2019est invit\u00e9e dans le d\u00e9bat public, accentu\u00e9e par les \u00e9meutes de novembre 2023 d\u00e9clench\u00e9es suite \u00e0 une attaque au couteau men\u00e9e par un Dublinois d\u2019origine alg\u00e9rienne. La concentration de l\u2019offre politique vers le centre-lib\u00e9ral continue cependant \u00e0 faire de l\u2019Irlande une exception en Europe, qui ne devrait pas \u00eatre renvers\u00e9e par le r\u00e9sultat des \u00e9lections qui prennent place aujourd\u2019hui.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 29 novembre, les Irlandais se rendent aux urnes pour \u00e9lire les d\u00e9put\u00e9s du D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann, la chambre basse de leur parlement. Les sondages indiquent qu\u2019une coalition de gouvernement pourrait se former entre le Fianna F\u00e1il et le Fine Gael \u00e0 l\u2019issue du scrutin, qui n\u2019auraient plus \u00e0 s\u2019appuyer sur leur partenaire \u00e9cologiste. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":253345,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-253341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":253345,"excerpt":"Aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 29 novembre, les Irlandais se rendent aux urnes pour \u00e9lire les d\u00e9put\u00e9s du D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann, la chambre basse de leur parlement. Les sondages indiquent qu\u2019une coalition de gouvernement pourrait se former entre le Fianna F\u00e1il et le Fine Gael \u00e0 l\u2019issue du scrutin, qui n\u2019auraient plus \u00e0 s\u2019appuyer sur leur partenaire \u00e9cologiste. ","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Qu\u2019attendre des \u00e9lections irlandaises ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Qu\u2019attendre des \u00e9lections irlandaises ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Aujourd\u2019hui, vendredi 29 novembre, les Irlandais se rendent aux urnes pour \u00e9lire les d\u00e9put\u00e9s du D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann, la chambre basse de leur parlement. Les sondages indiquent qu\u2019une coalition de gouvernement pourrait se former entre le Fianna F\u00e1il et le Fine Gael \u00e0 l\u2019issue du scrutin, qui n\u2019auraient plus \u00e0 s\u2019appuyer sur leur partenaire \u00e9cologiste.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-29T05:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/gc-share-elections-irlandaises-2024.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1064\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/gc-share-elections-irlandaises-2024.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/29\/quattendre-des-elections-irlandaises\/\",\"name\":\"Qu\u2019attendre des \u00e9lections irlandaises ? 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