{"id":250652,"date":"2024-11-05T18:13:28","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T17:13:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=250652"},"modified":"2024-11-05T18:13:29","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T17:13:29","slug":"les-elections-americaines-auront-un-impact-decisif-sur-leurope-victoire-de-trump-ou-non","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/05\/les-elections-americaines-auront-un-impact-decisif-sur-leurope-victoire-de-trump-ou-non\/","title":{"rendered":"Les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines auront un impact d\u00e9cisif sur l\u2019Europe \u2014 victoire de Trump ou non"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>S\u2019il est \u00e9lu, Trump a r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e0 plusieurs reprises qu\u2019il \u00ab&#160;mettrait fin au conflit&#160;\u00bb en Ukraine avant m\u00eame de pr\u00eater serment en janvier 2025. Alors que Kiev s\u2019oppose \u00e0 une paix impos\u00e9e qui lui serait d\u00e9favorable, celui-ci pourrait mettre fin aux livraisons d\u2019armes et d\u2019\u00e9quipements am\u00e9ricains afin de contraindre l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 accepter un accord de cessez-le-feu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>En septembre, le colistier de Trump et potentiel futur vice-pr\u00e9sident des \u00c9tats-Unis, J.D. Vance, avait r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 dans un podcast les contours de ce \u00e0 quoi cet \u00ab&#160;accord&#160;\u00bb forc\u00e9 par Trump pourrait ressembler.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Celui-ci consisterait vraisemblablement en la transformation de la ligne de front en une \u00ab&#160;zone d\u00e9militaris\u00e9e&#160;\u00bb, ce qui aboutirait \u00e0 la reconnaissance <em>de facto<\/em> de pr\u00e8s d\u2019un cinqui\u00e8me du territoire ukrainien comme russe.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/373Mx\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Il est peu probable que les pays europ\u00e9ens parviennent \u00e0 pallier la fin des livraisons am\u00e9ricaines en cas de victoire de Trump. Si les \u00c9tats membres ont fourni <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/10\/sans-renouvellement-de-laide-americaine-lassistance-militaire-a-lukraine-lan-prochain-serait-inferieure-de-30-a-celle-de-2023\/\">plus de 100 milliards d\u2019euros d\u2019aide \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine<\/a>, ils ne disposent ni des stocks suffisants ni des capacit\u00e9s de production de l\u2019industrie am\u00e9ricaine pour assumer seuls cette charge \u2013 et ce malgr\u00e9 des augmentations significatives dans certains domaines, comme la production d\u2019obus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/bNUpn\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>La semaine derni\u00e8re, les progr\u00e8s des forces russes sur le front dans l\u2019Est de l\u2019Ukraine ont \u00e9t\u00e9 plus importants qu\u2019au cours des 9 premiers mois de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, occupant plus de 200 km\u00b2 suppl\u00e9mentaires.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon nos calculs, depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, la Russie aurait conquis 2 406 km\u00b2 de territoire \u2014 soit 0,4&#160;% de la surface de l\u2019Ukraine.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les Europ\u00e9ens se pr\u00e9parent \u00e9galement \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9ventualit\u00e9 d\u2019une guerre commerciale avec les \u00c9tats-Unis en cas d\u2019une \u00e9lection de Donald Trump. Selon des responsables europ\u00e9ens&#160;: \u00ab&#160;le bloc est pr\u00e9par\u00e9, contrairement \u00e0 2016, lorsque l&rsquo;ouragan Trump avait balay\u00e9 les institutions europ\u00e9ennes&#160;\u00bb. Si le candidat r\u00e9publicain est \u00e9lu, l\u2019Union publiera une feuille de route pour \u00e9viter ce sc\u00e9nario en mettant sur la table une offre de coop\u00e9ration \u2014 la suite d\u00e9pendra en grande partie de la r\u00e9action de la Maison Blanche, selon des sources au fait des discussions qui se sont confi\u00e9es au Grand Continent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alors que la pression sur le front s&rsquo;accro\u00eet, l\u2019une des cons\u00e9quences les plus ressenties en Europe des \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines sera sur la guerre en Ukraine. Les Europ\u00e9ens se pr\u00e9parent cependant \u00e9galement \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 une guerre commerciale avec les \u00c9tats-Unis en cas d\u2019\u00e9lection de Donald Trump.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":250656,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1731],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines auront un impact d\u00e9cisif sur l\u2019Europe \u2014 victoire de Trump ou non | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/05\/les-elections-americaines-auront-un-impact-decisif-sur-leurope-victoire-de-trump-ou-non\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"%\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alors que la pression sur le front s&#039;accro\u00eet, l\u2019une des cons\u00e9quences les plus ressenties en Europe des \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines sera sur la guerre en Ukraine. Les Europ\u00e9ens se pr\u00e9parent cependant \u00e9galement \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 une guerre commerciale avec les \u00c9tats-Unis en cas d\u2019\u00e9lection de Donald Trump.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/05\/les-elections-americaines-auront-un-impact-decisif-sur-leurope-victoire-de-trump-ou-non\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-05T17:13:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-05T17:13:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/gc-share-impact-elections-US-Europe.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1748\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"982\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" 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