{"id":250326,"date":"2024-11-04T15:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=250326"},"modified":"2024-11-05T18:20:23","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T17:20:23","slug":"dans-larizona-la-situation-a-la-frontiere-sera-au-coeur-des-elections-du-5-novembre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/04\/dans-larizona-la-situation-a-la-frontiere-sera-au-coeur-des-elections-du-5-novembre\/","title":{"rendered":"Dans l\u2019Arizona, la situation \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re sera au coeur des \u00e9lections du 5 novembre"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>L\u2019Arizona, situ\u00e9 dans le sud-ouest des \u00c9tats-Unis, est le <em>swing state <\/em>qui comporte la part d\u2019\u00e9lecteurs hispano-am\u00e9ricains la plus importante&#160;: elle repr\u00e9sente 25&#160;% du total de l\u2019\u00e9lectorat. Alors que Donald Trump et son entourage ont durci leur rh\u00e9torique raciste et anti-immigration durant la campagne, l\u2019un des principaux d\u00e9terminants de l\u2019\u00e9lection dans cet \u00c9tat de la <em>sun belt <\/em>sera la mani\u00e8re dont celle-ci impactera le vote en Arizona.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 premi\u00e8re vue, l\u2019\u00c9tat du Grand Canyon se trouve dans une dynamique \u00e9lectorale favorable aux D\u00e9mocrates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Contrairement au Nevada, qui a gliss\u00e9 vers la droite en 2016 et 2020, le ticket d\u00e9mocrate a r\u00e9alis\u00e9 des gains substantiels en Arizona entre les deux derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9sidentielles&#160;: + 4,78 points, tandis que Trump a progress\u00e9 de 0,98 point.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les deux \u00c9tats de la <em>sun belt <\/em>partagent pourtant des caract\u00e9ristiques communes, notamment un fort taux de population r\u00e9sidant dans des zones urbaines \u2014 94,1&#160;% pour le Nevada et 89,3&#160;% pour l\u2019Arizona, soit bien plus que les autres <em>swing states<\/em>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u00e0 encore, cette population est concentr\u00e9e dans les deux grandes m\u00e9tropoles du sud de l\u2019\u00c9tat, Phoenix et Tucson, qui repr\u00e9sentent \u00e0 elles deux plus de 30&#160;% des 7,1 millions d\u2019habitants de l\u2019Arizona.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/JVEeA\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Phoenix et ses banlieues sont la clef pour remporter l\u2019\u00c9tat. En 2020, les quartiers o\u00f9 r\u00e9sident principalement des hispano-am\u00e9ricains et des travailleurs appartenant \u00e0 la classe moyenne ont massivement vot\u00e9 pour Joe Biden par rapport \u00e0 2016. En-dehors des grandes villes, Trump a quant \u00e0 lui am\u00e9lior\u00e9 son score dans les comt\u00e9s \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re avec le Mexique&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-250326' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/04\/dans-larizona-la-situation-a-la-frontiere-sera-au-coeur-des-elections-du-5-novembre\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-250326' title='Patrick Ruffini, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.patrickruffini.com\/p\/is-arizona-the-democrats-last-sun&quot;&gt;Is Arizona the Democrats\u2019 Last Sun Belt Hope&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, 8 juillet 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les chiffres de 2020 sugg\u00e8rent que le candidat r\u00e9publicain pourrait disposer d\u2019une r\u00e9serve de voix dans ces comt\u00e9s de Cochise, Santa Cruz, Yuma et Pima (dont Tucson est le si\u00e8ge).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En addition de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle et des autres scrutins f\u00e9d\u00e9raux (notamment au S\u00e9nat, o\u00f9 la s\u00e9natrice sortante Kyrsten Sinema ne s\u2019est pas pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e \u00e0 sa r\u00e9\u00e9lection), les habitants de l\u2019Arizona voteront \u00e9galement pour la proposition 314.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette mesure de vote vise \u00e0 faire du franchissement ill\u00e9gal de la fronti\u00e8re un crime dans la l\u00e9gislation de l\u2019\u00c9tat, d\u00e9courager les migrants en situation irr\u00e9guli\u00e8re \u00e0 solliciter des prestations sociales et autoriser les juges \u00e0 ordonner des expulsions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4sLo8\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Depuis le d\u00e9part de Trump de la Maison-Blanche en janvier 2021, le nombre de franchissements ill\u00e9gaux de la fronti\u00e8re a consid\u00e9rablement augment\u00e9. Ce grand nombre de nouvelles arriv\u00e9es exerce une pression importante sur les structures municipales et \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle des comt\u00e9s, notamment celles en charge de l\u2019accueil puis de l\u2019accompagnement des migrants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/cVNUV\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Donald Trump a insist\u00e9 tout au long de sa campagne sur l\u2019inaction de l\u2019administration Biden et le manque d\u2019investissements plus large du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C\u2019est pourtant le candidat r\u00e9publicain qui a tu\u00e9 dans l&rsquo;\u0153uf au d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e un projet de loi visant \u00e0 passer dans un seul paquet des mesures visant \u00e0 am\u00e9liorer la situation \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re et renouveler l\u2019assistance militaire \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019Arizona partage la deuxi\u00e8me plus grande fronti\u00e8re avec le Mexique parmi les \u00c9tats am\u00e9ricains (600 km), derri\u00e8re le Texas (2 000 km).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En Arizona, les \u00e9lecteurs s\u2019appr\u00eatent \u00e0 voter demain, mardi 5 novembre, pour \u00e9lire leur pr\u00e9sident et renouveler leurs repr\u00e9sentants au Congr\u00e8s, mais \u00e9galement pour se prononcer sur une proposition visant \u00e0 durcir les lois de l\u2019\u00c9tat pour les migrants en situation irr\u00e9guli\u00e8re. Depuis le d\u00e9but de la campagne, Trump a jou\u00e9 sur l\u2019augmentation du nombre de franchissements ill\u00e9gaux de la fronti\u00e8re depuis 2021 pour d\u00e9noncer une inaction de l\u2019administration d\u00e9mocrate. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":250330,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3691],"tags":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-250326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trump-contre-biden-pour-la-maison-blanche-suivre-les-elections-americaines-2024","geo-ameriques"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dans l\u2019Arizona, la situation \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re sera au coeur des \u00e9lections du 5 novembre | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/04\/dans-larizona-la-situation-a-la-frontiere-sera-au-coeur-des-elections-du-5-novembre\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dans l\u2019Arizona, la situation \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re sera au coeur des \u00e9lections du 5 novembre | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En Arizona, les \u00e9lecteurs s\u2019appr\u00eatent \u00e0 voter demain, mardi 5 novembre, pour \u00e9lire leur pr\u00e9sident et renouveler leurs repr\u00e9sentants au Congr\u00e8s, mais \u00e9galement pour se prononcer sur une proposition visant \u00e0 durcir les lois de l\u2019\u00c9tat pour les migrants en situation irr\u00e9guli\u00e8re. Depuis le d\u00e9but de la campagne, Trump a jou\u00e9 sur l\u2019augmentation du nombre de franchissements ill\u00e9gaux de la fronti\u00e8re depuis 2021 pour d\u00e9noncer une inaction de l\u2019administration d\u00e9mocrate.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/11\/04\/dans-larizona-la-situation-a-la-frontiere-sera-au-coeur-des-elections-du-5-novembre\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-04T14:45:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-05T17:20:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/gc-share-swing-states-arizona.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1744\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"980\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta 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