{"id":247743,"date":"2024-10-07T12:46:08","date_gmt":"2024-10-07T10:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=247743"},"modified":"2024-10-07T12:46:09","modified_gmt":"2024-10-07T10:46:09","slug":"que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/","title":{"rendered":"Que peut encore l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 Koursk&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Lorsque Kiev a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de lancer son invasion de l\u2019oblast frontalier russe de Koursk au d\u00e9but du mois d\u2019ao\u00fbt, la situation sur le front \u00e9tait d\u00e9favorable pour l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne. Quelques mois plus t\u00f4t, celle-ci s\u2019\u00e9tait retir\u00e9e d\u2019<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\">Avdiivka<\/a>, dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk, et a \u00e9t\u00e9 contrainte en juillet d\u2019<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/19\/apres-avoir-etabli-une-tete-de-pont-pendant-neuf-mois-larmee-ukrainienne-se-retire-de-la-rive-est-du-dniepr\/\">abandonner une t\u00eate de pont<\/a> \u00e9tablie pendant neuf mois sur la rive Est du Dniepr. En direction de Pokrovsk et Toretsk, les lignes ukrainiennes <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/22\/dans-loblast-de-donetsk-en-direction-de-pokrovsk-et-toretsk-le-front-ukrainien-est-il-en-train-de-ceder\/\">reculaient jour apr\u00e8s jour<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Deux mois apr\u00e8s le lancement de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/08\/22\/incursion-de-koursk-comment-le-kremlin-veut-preparer-la-population-russe-a-une-nouvelle-realite\/\">l\u2019incursion de Koursk<\/a>, l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne est toujours dans une mauvaise posture, potentiellement aggrav\u00e9e par l\u2019allocation d\u2019importantes ressources visant \u00e0 continuer de d\u00e9fendre son enclave en territoire russe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Si peu d\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ments tangibles permettent d\u2019affirmer que l\u2019incursion ukrainienne \u00e0 Koursk a directement conduit \u00e0 acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer le d\u00e9litement du front ukrainien dans l\u2019Est du pays, les donn\u00e9es indiquent que c\u2019est au cours de la p\u00e9riode allant de mi-ao\u00fbt \u00e0 mi-septembre que Moscou a r\u00e9alis\u00e9 ses avanc\u00e9es les plus importantes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En septembre, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/04\/468-km%c2%b2-en-septembre-en-ukraine-la-progression-russe-est-la-plus-importante-depuis-mars-2022\/\">l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe a progress\u00e9 de 468 km\u00b2<\/a> en Ukraine \u2014 soit une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de 33&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 ao\u00fbt (351 km\u00b2). Moscou n\u2019avait pas connu d\u2019avanc\u00e9e aussi rapide depuis deux ans et demi, et occupe d\u00e9sormais 17,87&#160;% de l\u2019Ukraine (+10,82&#160;% depuis le lancement de l\u2019invasion de f\u00e9vrier 2022).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans le m\u00eame temps, la poche contr\u00f4l\u00e9e par Kiev \u00e0 Koursk s\u2019est contract\u00e9e de plus de 40&#160;% depuis la fin de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9, passant de 1 320 km\u00b2 contr\u00f4l\u00e9 par l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne au 23 ao\u00fbt \u00e0 775,46 km\u00b2 au dimanche 6 octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/TrgAP\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Volodymyr Zelensky continue de pr\u00e9senter les op\u00e9rations \u00e0 Koursk comme \u00ab&#160;une phase tr\u00e8s importante de la guerre [qui a] beaucoup aid\u00e9 et continue d&rsquo;aider notre pays&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-247743' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-247743' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.president.gov.ua\/news\/budemo-tisnuti-na-rosiyu-she-silnishe-bo-lishe-siloyu-mozhna-93709&quot;&gt;\u0411\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043c\u043e \u0442\u0438\u0441\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0438 \u043d\u0430 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0456\u044e \u0449\u0435 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0456\u0448\u0435, \u0431\u043e \u043b\u0438\u0448\u0435 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u043e\u044e \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u043c\u0438\u0440 \u2013 \u0437\u0432\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u041f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430&lt;\/a&gt;, Pr\u00e9sidence d\u2019Ukraine, 6 octobre 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Le pr\u00e9sident ukrainien consid\u00e8re qu\u2019en ayant r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 lancer une offensive d\u2019ampleur malgr\u00e9 les difficult\u00e9s auxquelles son arm\u00e9e fait face, les soutiens internationaux de Kiev regagneront confiance dans les capacit\u00e9s de l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 r\u00e9sister face \u00e0 la Russie et, \u00e9ventuellement, repousser ses troupes. La mise en place d\u2019une \u00ab&#160;zone tampon&#160;\u00bb en territoire russe vise \u00e9galement \u00e0 pr\u00e9venir de futures attaques russes en direction de Sumy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/iNoRg\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En envahissant la Russie \u2013 pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale \u2013, l\u2019Ukraine a effectivement <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/08\/20\/pourquoi-zelensky-na-t-il-pas-prevenu-ses-soutiens-internationaux-de-loffensive-de-koursk\/\">fait voler en \u00e9clats le \u00ab&#160;concept na\u00eff et illusoire des soi-disant lignes rouges<\/a> concernant la Russie&#160;\u00bb, selon Zelensky. Son arm\u00e9e est cependant aujourd\u2019hui contrainte de combattre sur un nouveau front, alors qu\u2019elle recule depuis des mois dans le Donbass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les renseignements ukrainiens consid\u00e9raient \u00e0 la fin du mois d\u2019ao\u00fbt que le commandement russe avait \u00e9t\u00e9 contraint de transf\u00e9rer environ 30 000 combattants du front vers l\u2019oblast de Koursk&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-247743' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-247743' title='Iryna Lysohor, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/lb.ua\/society\/2024\/08\/27\/631658_sirskiy_rosiya_perekinula_desyatki.html&quot;&gt;\u0421\u0438\u0440\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439&amp;#160;: \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0456\u044f \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043a\u0438\u043d\u0443\u043b\u0430 \u0434\u0435\u0441\u044f\u0442\u043a\u0438 \u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f\u0447 \u043e\u043a\u0443\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0456\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u041a\u0443\u0440\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u044f\u043c\u043e\u043a, \u0430\u043b\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435 \u0449\u0435 \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0443\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u043e\u043a\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u043c&lt;\/a&gt;\u0443&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;\u041b\u0456\u0432\u0438\u0439 \u0411\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0433&lt;\/em&gt;, 27 ao\u00fbt 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Ce chiffre est aujourd\u2019hui plus proche de 40 000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019ampleur du choc semble avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 telle pour Moscou que l\u2019arm\u00e9e lituanienne a \u00e9galement observ\u00e9 une \u00ab&#160;r\u00e9duction perceptible des forces terrestres russes \u00e0 Kaliningrad&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-247743' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-247743' title='Gail\u0117 Jaru\u0161evi\u010di\u016bt\u0117-Mockuvien\u0117, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.delfi.lt\/news\/daily\/lithuania\/kariuomenes-vadas-apie-rusijos-sausumos-pajegu-pokycius-kaliningrade-reikia-islikti-budriems-120044707&quot;&gt;Kariuomen\u0117s vadas apie Rusijos sausumos paj\u0117g\u0173 poky\u010dius Kaliningrade&amp;#160;: reikia i\u0161likti budriems Skaitykite daugiau&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Delfi&lt;\/em&gt;, 22 ao\u00fbt 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/muO9v\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pour l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne, les co\u00fbts sont \u00e9galement tr\u00e8s importants. L\u2019analyste contributeur au projet Oryx, Naalsio, recensait au 1er octobre la perte de 202 \u00e9quipements (chars, blind\u00e9s, pi\u00e8ces d\u2019artillerie\u2026) ukrainiens \u00e0 Koursk contre 134 pour la Russie&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-247743' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-247743' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/x.com\/naalsio26\/status\/1841649032260657550&quot;&gt;Publication sur X (Twitter) de Naalsio&lt;\/a&gt;, 3 octobre 2024.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le minist\u00e8re russe de la D\u00e9fense estime quant \u00e0 lui que 20 800 combattants ukrainiens auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 bless\u00e9s ou tu\u00e9s dans l\u2019oblast depuis d\u00e9but ao\u00fbt (un chiffre toutefois certainement surestim\u00e9)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-247743' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-247743' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/mod_russia\/44207&quot;&gt;Publication sur Telegram du minist\u00e8re russe de la D\u00e9fense&lt;\/a&gt;, 6 octobre 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/qyFbn\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les forces ukrainiennes r\u00e9sistent \u00e0 Koursk depuis <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/09\/12\/a-koursk-larmee-russe-contre-attaque\/\">la contre-offensive lanc\u00e9e par Moscou<\/a> en septembre, et il appara\u00eet peu probable \u00e0 cette heure que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe parvienne \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/09\/19\/moscou-veut-expulser-les-forces-ukrainiennes-de-koursk-dici-la-fin-du-mois-doctobre\/\">expulser compl\u00e8tement l\u2019Ukraine de l\u2019oblast d\u2019ici la fin du mois d\u2019octobre<\/a>, conform\u00e9ment \u00e0 ses objectifs. Kiev semble aujourd\u2019hui confront\u00e9 \u00e0 un choix&#160;: maintenir une pr\u00e9sence militaire \u00e0 Koursk, au risque qu\u2019elle ne permette une progression russe plus rapide sur le front, ou bien rediriger ses ressources vers la d\u00e9fense des lignes de d\u00e9fense autour de Pokrovsk, Tchassiv Yar et Toretsk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cela fait deux mois que l\u2019Ukraine a lanc\u00e9 une offensive d\u2019ampleur dans l\u2019oblast frontalier de Koursk. Alors que ses troupes reculent dans l\u2019Est du pays, Kiev continue d\u2019allouer des ressources consid\u00e9rables afin de maintenir une pr\u00e9sence arm\u00e9e en territoire russe. Pour Volodymyr Zelensky, cet objectif constitue une partie importante de son \u00ab&#160;&#160;plan de victoire&#160;&#160;\u00bb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":247748,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-247743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Que peut encore l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 Koursk ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Que peut encore l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 Koursk ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Cela fait deux mois que l\u2019Ukraine a lanc\u00e9 une offensive d\u2019ampleur dans l\u2019oblast frontalier de Koursk. Alors que ses troupes reculent dans l\u2019Est du pays, Kiev continue d\u2019allouer des ressources consid\u00e9rables afin de maintenir une pr\u00e9sence arm\u00e9e en territoire russe. Pour Volodymyr Zelensky, cet objectif constitue une partie importante de son \u00ab&#160;plan de victoire&#160;\u00bb.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-07T10:46:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-07T10:46:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/gc-share-koursk-deux-mois-apres-e1728297545685.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"816\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/10\/gc-share-koursk-deux-mois-apres-e1728297545685.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/10\/07\/que-peut-encore-lukraine-a-koursk\/\",\"name\":\"Que peut encore l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 Koursk ? 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