{"id":237075,"date":"2024-07-07T21:31:26","date_gmt":"2024-07-07T19:31:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=237075"},"modified":"2024-07-08T18:28:40","modified_gmt":"2024-07-08T16:28:40","slug":"legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00e9gislatives&#160;: Ensemble, le PS et les LR auraient la majorit\u00e9 absolue. D\u00e9couvrez notre logiciel pour construire votre coalition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Vous avez \u00e9t\u00e9 plusieurs millions \u00e0 suivre les l\u00e9gislatives gr\u00e2ce aux analyses de la revue. Ce travail a un co\u00fbt. Si vous pensez qu\u2019il m\u00e9rite d\u2019\u00eatre soutenu et que vous en avez les moyens, nous vous demandons de <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/offre-legc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>vous abonner au Grand Continent<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-resultats-du-second-tour-decouvrez-notre-simulateur-de-coalition-exclusif\/\">Mise \u00e0 jour de notre simulateur avec les donn\u00e9es r\u00e9elles \u00e0 retrouver ici<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 partir de notre simulateur exclusif de coalitions \u00e0 partir des estimations Ipsos de ce soir, l\u2019alliance du PS, d\u2019Ensemble (MoDem, Renaissance, Horizons, Divers centre) et de la droite (LR et divers droite) serait en mesure d\u2019avoir la majorit\u00e9 absolue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  frame-coalition-fr-div\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/iframes\/coalitions_live2.htm\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Une telle majorit\u00e9 rappellerait une hypoth\u00e8se de coalition connue \u2014 mais jamais exp\u00e9riment\u00e9e au niveau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral \u2014&nbsp;en Allemagne&#160;: la coalition noire-rouge-jaune, les couleurs du drapeau allemand, entre la CDU, le SPD et le FDP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>En plus de la r\u00e9ussite du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/resultats-legislatives-le-nouveau-front-populaire-serait-en-tete-le-rn-loin-de-la-majorite-ensemble-pourrait-le-depasser-x\/\">pari Attal<\/a> sur les d\u00e9sistements qui donnerait au groupe Ensemble entre 150 et 170 si\u00e8ges, l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019un tel sc\u00e9nario d\u00e9coule de deux le\u00e7ons moins visibles de ce second tour&#160;:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le Nouveau front populaire a beaucoup profit\u00e9 au PS, qui augmente son nombre de d\u00e9put\u00e9s de +109&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 2022. En Corr\u00e8ze, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/francois-hollande-elu-dans-la-1ere-circonscription-de-correze-avec-4329-des-voix\/\">Fran\u00e7ois Hollande a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9\u00e9lu<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le d\u00e9clin de LR semble frein\u00e9&#160;: c\u2019est la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 2012 que la droite n\u2019accuse pas de perte massive de si\u00e8ges d\u2019une l\u00e9gislature \u00e0 l\u2019autre en restant stable par rapport \u00e0 2022.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous publions le premier simulateur de coalitions \u00e0 partir des estimations de sorties des urnes Ipsos.<\/p>\n<p>Les socialistes ayant surperform\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 2022 et les LR ayant r\u00e9sist\u00e9 au casse de Ciotti, il existerait une voie pour une coalition centrale \u00e9largie \u2014 du PS aux LR.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":237076,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3811],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-237075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-legislatives-2024","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L\u00e9gislatives: Ensemble, le PS et les LR auraient la majorit\u00e9 absolue. D\u00e9couvrez notre logiciel pour construire votre coalition | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L\u00e9gislatives: Ensemble, le PS et les LR auraient la majorit\u00e9 absolue. D\u00e9couvrez notre logiciel pour construire votre coalition | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nous publions le premier simulateur de coalitions \u00e0 partir des estimations de sorties des urnes Ipsos.  Les socialistes ayant surperform\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 2022 et les LR ayant r\u00e9sist\u00e9 au casse de Ciotti, il existerait une voie pour une coalition centrale \u00e9largie \u2014 du PS aux LR.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-07T19:31:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-08T16:28:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/07\/Capture-decran-2024-07-07-a-9.29.51\u202fPM.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"4096\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2304\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Matheo Malik\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Matheo Malik\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/07\/legislatives-ensemble-le-ps-et-les-lr-auraient-la-majorite-absolue-decouvrez-notre-logiciel-pour-construire-votre-coalition\/\",\"name\":\"L\u00e9gislatives: Ensemble, le PS et les LR auraient la majorit\u00e9 absolue. 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