{"id":236498,"date":"2024-07-04T18:45:21","date_gmt":"2024-07-04T16:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=236498"},"modified":"2024-07-04T18:45:22","modified_gmt":"2024-07-04T16:45:22","slug":"le-vote-pour-le-rn-est-il-avant-tout-un-phenomene-rural","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/04\/le-vote-pour-le-rn-est-il-avant-tout-un-phenomene-rural\/","title":{"rendered":"Le vote pour le RN est-il avant tout un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne rural&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Paris, Lille, Toulouse, Strasbourg, Lyon\u2026 Les principales m\u00e9tropoles fran\u00e7aises ont largement r\u00e9sist\u00e9 \u00e0 la vague bleue qui a d\u00e9ferl\u00e9 sur la France lors du premier tour des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/vFcOD\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Si les partis de gauche sont majoritairement arriv\u00e9s en t\u00eate dans les grandes villes et leurs proches banlieue, le RN y a n\u00e9anmoins r\u00e9alis\u00e9 une perc\u00e9e importante depuis 2022 (+7,5 points de pourcentage \u00e0 Paris, +12,5 \u00e0 Marseille, +25,8 \u00e0 Nice).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 Lyon, le Rassemblement National a doubl\u00e9 son score dans les 4 circonscriptions englobant la ville et sa proche banlieue, atteignant 16,1&#160;%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette progression se retrouve \u00e9galement en p\u00e9riph\u00e9rie de Nantes, Lille ou bien Bordeaux, o\u00f9 l\u2019extr\u00eame-droite atteint environ 15&#160;% lorsqu\u2019on agr\u00e8ge les r\u00e9sultats des diff\u00e9rentes circonscriptions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1RRtN\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La participation dans les grandes villes a quant \u00e0 elle connu une augmentation similaire \u00e0 celle observ\u00e9e dans le pays au premier tour des l\u00e9gislatives, la moyenne des 30 plus grandes villes fran\u00e7aises \u00e9tant sensiblement la m\u00eame que la moyenne nationale (66,71&#160;%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le RN reste tr\u00e8s minoritaire dans les grandes municipalit\u00e9s historiquement marqu\u00e9es \u00e0 gauche, et dont l\u2019\u00e9lectorat n\u2019adh\u00e8re gu\u00e8re aux id\u00e9es de l\u2019extr\u00eame-droite.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ainsi, \u00e0 Paris, Saint-Denis ou \u00e0 Rennes, le RN a recueilli environ 10&#160;% des voix lors du premier tour, et termine loin derri\u00e8re les partis de gauche ou de la coalition pr\u00e9sidentielle.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le d\u00e9coupage par circonscription a n\u00e9anmoins permis \u00e0 certains candidats du RN et de ses alli\u00e9s de franchir le seuil du premier tour dans les agglom\u00e9rations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans la 14\u00e8me circonscription de Paris, le d\u00e9put\u00e9 sortant Benjamin Haddad (Renaissance) affrontera ainsi dimanche Louis Piquet (LR-RN), qui a termin\u00e9 troisi\u00e8me au premier tour avec 17,56&#160;% des suffrages.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/EX4Yp\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Les donn\u00e9es socio-\u00e9conomiques battent en br\u00e8che l\u2019id\u00e9e qu\u2019il existerait une forme de perm\u00e9abilit\u00e9 quasi-mystique des villes au RN et aux partis d\u2019extr\u00eame-droite. La progression du RN de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es est observable en p\u00e9riph\u00e9rie des grandes villes, o\u00f9 une partie plus importante des \u00e9lecteurs que dans les centres urbains partagent des caract\u00e9ristiques sociaux, d\u00e9mographiques et \u00e9conomiques avec la population dominante en ruralit\u00e9&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-236498' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/04\/le-vote-pour-le-rn-est-il-avant-tout-un-phenomene-rural\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-236498' title='Olivier Bouba-Olga, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/blogs.univ-poitiers.fr\/o-bouba-olga\/files\/2024\/07\/corr%C3%A9lations-simples.pdf&quot;&gt;Coefficients de corr\u00e9lation entre les scores au 1er tour des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives de 2024 et un ensemble de variables socio-d\u00e9mo-g\u00e9o-\u00e9conomiques&lt;\/a&gt;, 2 juillet 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c0 l\u2019issue du premier tour, les cartes montrant le parti en t\u00eate par circonscription r\u00e9v\u00e9laient une donn\u00e9e cruciale&#160;&#160;: le RN est arriv\u00e9 premier dans 259 circonscriptions sur 577, principalement dans des zones rurales. Les dynamiques de vote dans les 30 plus grandes villes offrent n\u00e9anmoins un tableau plus nuanc\u00e9 d\u00e9passant le simple clivage villes\/campagnes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":236505,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3811],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-236498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-legislatives-2024","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":236505,"excerpt":"\u00c0 l\u2019issue du premier tour, les cartes montrant le parti en t\u00eate par circonscription r\u00e9v\u00e9laient une donn\u00e9e cruciale : le RN est arriv\u00e9 premier dans 259 circonscriptions sur 577, principalement dans des zones rurales. Les dynamiques de vote dans les 30 plus grandes villes offrent n\u00e9anmoins un tableau plus nuanc\u00e9 d\u00e9passant le simple clivage villes\/campagnes.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le vote pour le RN est-il avant tout un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne rural ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/07\/04\/le-vote-pour-le-rn-est-il-avant-tout-un-phenomene-rural\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le vote pour le RN est-il avant tout un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne rural ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00c0 l\u2019issue du premier tour, les cartes montrant le parti en t\u00eate par circonscription r\u00e9v\u00e9laient une donn\u00e9e cruciale&#160;: le RN est arriv\u00e9 premier dans 259 circonscriptions sur 577, principalement dans des zones rurales. 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